If the 100 SMA Holds, the Bullish Reversal Is On in USD/CAD

USD/CAD is finding support at the 10-0 SMA again today

Let's see if the 100 SMA will hold again on the H4 chart

The CAD is closely correlated to the Canadian Dollar, so USD/CAD has been following Oil prices up and down, on the opposite direction, since the CAD is the second currency of this pair. Crude Oil was climbing since April until the beginning of September, hence the strong bearish trend in USD/CAD .

USD/CAD fell below 1.30 for a brief moment, but the bullish trend ended in crude Oil, so the decline in USD/CAD also ended. This forex pair climbed more than 400 pips higher, getting above 1.34. Moving averages provided some resistance again as the price was climbing higher, but they eventually turned into support after being broken.

The 100 SMA (grey) held the price during the pullback by the middle of September. That moving average provided support again on Monday, after USD/CAD retreated lower from above 1.34, where it had formed a resistance zone, which eventually reversed the price down.

USD/CAD bounced off the 100 SMA yesterday, but the 50 SMA (yellow) turned into resistance on the H4 chart, rejecting the price and reversing this pair down. Now, sellers are trying the 100 SMA again if it will hold as support. If it does, then the bullish trend is official in this pair. We might go long on this pair if that’s the case.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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