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Retail Sales (MoM) (US)

Event Date: Thursday, September 16, 2021
Event Time: 12:30 CET

Sales Expected to Remain Negative in August

Updated Thursday, September 16, 2021
We have seen some volatile numbers for retail sales. In March last year, we saw a decent 1.6% jump in sales, but they returned to negative in April, declining by 0.2%. Although, last month the numbers for April were revised higher to 0.3% for core sales from -0.2% in the prelim reading which headline sales were revised to 0.5% from 0.1%. In June, both numbers showed a 0.5% increase for May, while the report released in July showed a 0.4% increase. For August, sales posted a decent increase of 0.4% while core sales fell flat at 0.0%, but they both declined in September. In October, they turned positive and in November sales were expected to increase further, by 0.4% for core sales and 0.5% for headline sales but missed expectations, with retail sales increasing by 0.2% and core sales by 0.1%. But we saw a decent jump of 0.7% in December for core sales. So, sales have been positive since then, but turned negative in February, while in March they posted a larger decline of 8.7%, which got bigger at -16.4% in April. But in May we saw a 17.7% surge as the country reopened and in June the increase was at 7.5%, but the pace of the increase slowed in July for both, core and headline sales and again in August, but in September we saw a reversal in the trend as sales increased by 1.9%. In October the increase slowed to 0.3%, while sales declined in November and December. They jumped by 5.3% in January but declined by 3% in February, although increased by nearly 10% again in March. In April they came flat at 0% while in May core sales declined by 0.7% and headline sales by 1.3%. In June we saw an increase, but the decline resumed in July and August is expected tobe negative again. Please follow us for live coverage in real-time of the event by experienced analysts. 

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About Retail Sales (MoM) (US)
Released by the U.S. Census Bureau, Retail Sales (MoM) is an aggregate measure of activity in the retail sector. It is calculated as a percentage change and made available to the public on a monthly basis.The Retail Sales report is widely viewed as a barometer of consumer confidence and spending. Higher than expected levels are interpreted as being positive for the U.S. economy and USD. A lagging or negative release is bearish toward the USD.
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Louis van der Merwe
Louis van der Merwe
3 years ago

So the greenback is going to lose some ground?

Skerdian Meta
2 years ago

The Buck lost around 15 pips on the headline number, but is reversing back up now since the control group was solid.

2 years ago

If EU/USD will be volatile,does it mean that go Bulish or Bearish?

Skerdian Meta
2 years ago
Reply to  Hezekiah

Volatile means there will be action, but it may be on both sides, such as the small jump in EUR/USD, which is now reversing back down.

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