USD/CAD Breaks Out To The Bull, Double Top Pattern In View

Posted Thursday, July 19, 2018 by
Shain Vernier • 1 min read

The USD/CAD is on the march north, smashing resistance on its way to a test of the 1.3275 handle. Traders have jumped on the USD’s bandwagon and even an early-session bullish breakout in WTI crude oil was no help to the CAD. It appears that fresh yearly highs may be in the cards for the Loonie.

Friday’s session is set up to be a big day for the Canadian dollar. The Bank of Canada (BoC) is set to release its CPI numbers for June. Analysts are projecting 1.4%, up from the previous release of 1.3%. In addition to CPI, Canadian Retail Sales are also scheduled for Friday. Analysts are projecting the number to come in at 0%, up from the last release of -1.2%.

Given the BoC’s rate hike earlier this month, traders are going to be expecting strong CPI and Retail Sales numbers. If performance in these areas lags, then a test of the daily double-top formation at yearly highs may develop.

USD/CAD Technicals

Today’s session has brought heavy bullish action to the USD/CAD. As a result, price has broken through resistance on the daily time frame.

USD/CAD, Daily Chart
USD/CAD, Daily Chart

Bottom Line: For now, it appears the Daily SMA and Bollinger MP are in the rearview mirror and 1.3300 is the next level destined for scrutiny. At press time, the USD/CAD is up 100 pips and pushing intraday extremes. How high can this market go?

Considering the coming economic calendar for the CAD, anything is possible. Shorting the double-top pattern at 1.3385 may come into play by week’s end. Until then, I have sells in the queue from 1.3381. With an initial stop at 1.3406, this trade produces a clean 25 pips using a 1:1 risk vs reward management plan.

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