US Inventories, A Double Edged Sword

US wholesale inventories came up higher today. Although, this report might be seen from both sides by forex traders, both of which are right

US inventories posted an increase today

The US wholesale inventories were released a while ago and they came at 1%, which shows that inventories grew by 1.0% against 0.8% expected. Wholesale trade sales also increased by 0.8% against 0.5% expected.

This particular report is a bit difficult to trade for forex traders because, as the title implies, it is a double edged sword. On one side, the growth in inventories points to higher GDP reading for the quarter since the GDP figures include the inventories as well.

On the other hand, the growth in inventories means that the retail companies are not doing that good. Business is not good if inventories keep increasing; it shows that sales are not going as these companies were expected.

Although, the worst is not over, it is yet to come. If retailers have too much stock in their warehouses, then they are unlikely to buy more stock in the coming weeks and months. This means that producers and importers will have to face slower business during the coming weeks and months.

So, as you can see, this is a double edged sword for traders because you never know how the market will react. It might decide to see the increase in inventories as a positive thing since it increases the next GDP reading, or it might see this as a negative thing since business will be slower in the short term future and vice versa.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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