Morning Brief, Oct 31 – Top Forex Trade Setups and Economic Events

Posted Wednesday, October 31, 2018 by
Arslan Butt • 2 min read

In this update, we will discuss:

  • The Bank of Japan keeps monetary policy steady as widely expected.
  • Maintains short-term interest rates target at -0.1%, driving weakness in the Japanese Yen
  • Canadian GDP remains in focus to trade during the US session.
  • US ADP reports awaited at 12:15 (GMT) to drive the sentiments regarding Non-farm payroll.
  • News trading on USD/JPY & USD/CAD today and quick trade setups.

The Greenback remains firm near a two-month high against a basket of major currencies, supported by worries about intensifying of the Sino-US trade war and more signs of the United States economy beating its peers. What I like about forex trading is that we can encash the uncertainty by short selling and hedging against GOLD . That’s exactly what we did yesterday and we managed to closed another strong day with five take profits in a row.

Today, the investor focus remains on the Canadian GDP and the US ADP figures. Let’s take a look at the trade setups…

 

Major Forex Setups & Economic Events Today

 

 USD/JPY – Triple Top Breakout, BOJ in Play

The BOJ left the monetary policy on hold, keeping the interest rate unchanged at -0.10% which is weakening the safe haven currency JPY. The technical outlook of the USD/JPY remains bullish as the pair has crossed above a triple top resistance area of 112.700 to test 113.345 resistance. Today, the violation of 113.345 can lead the pair towards 113.650.

Potential Economic Events to Impact Trading 

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change – The Automatic Data Processing, Inc. will be releasing the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change at 12:15 (GMT). It’s an estimated change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry and government. In September, ADP reported a robust gain of 230K jobs, while a lower gain of 190K is predicted for October. Stronger figures may drive further buying in the USD/JPY today.

Daily Technical Levels

Support     Resistance

112.76       113.29

112.43       113.5

111.9          114.03

Key Trading Level:    112.97

 USD/JPY – Market Sentiment

Weekly – Strong Buy

Daily – Strong Buy

Hourly – Buy

 USD/JPY – Trade Plan

Today, the idea is to stay bullish above 113 to target 113.650, while selling is preferred near 113.750 today.  

 

 USD/CAD – Trading the Canadian GDP Figures

The Loonie is going to be one of the hottest currency pairs in traders’ watchlist as the Canadian economy is due to release the gross domestic product data later today.  

At the moment, the USD/CAD is trading in a bullish channel which is supporting the pair near $1.3120 along with a resistance at $1.3150. While the lagging indicators such as 20 and 50 periods EMA are also supporting the bullish trend of the pair.

The GDP figures have remained shaky and highly unpredictable during Q3 2018. One month, it’s showing a rise of 0.5% while another month’s figure plunges to 0%. But it’s good for us as the divergence between the forecast and actual figures give us an opportunity to catch nice moments.

Economists are expecting a slower growth rate of 0.0% vs. 0.2% growth rate previously. On that note, the USD/CAD can be traded with a bullish sentiment.

Daily Technical Levels

Support     Resistance

1.3093       1.314

1.3074       1.3167

1.3027       1.3214

Key Trading Level:    1.3121

 USD/CAD – Market Sentiment

Weekly – Strong Buy

Daily – Strong Buy

Hourly – Buy

 USD/CAD – Trade Plan

Today, the idea is to stay bullish above $1.3110 to target $1.3150, while the bullish breakout of 1.31500 is likely to open further room for buying until 1.3185.

Good luck and stay tuned to FX Leaders for more updates and trading signals.

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About the author

Arslan Butt is our Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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