USD Continues to Slide Ahead of the FED Meeting This Evening

The FED is expected to sound sort of dovish today and as a result, the USD is on a slight bearish trend

The FED is expected to hike rates by 0.50% today

The USD has been on a bullish trend for most of last week until Friday when the GDP report which came out painted a pretty confusing picture for the US economy. The GDP for Q1 of this year came a full point above expectations at 3.2%, but the increase was, to a large extent, due to the build up in inventories and trade which are supposed to unwind in the Q2 and as a result, hurt the GDP reading for this quarter.

The US Dollar turned slightly bearish that day and the bearish momentum spilled into this week as we have seen so far. Today, Europe is off for May 1st, so I thought that markets were going to be quiet during the European session. They are sort of quiet, but the decline for the USD is continuing.

Anther reason for that is the FED meeting which will take place this evening. Traders are expecting the FED to be dovish on global economic weakness, as well as on the mixed numbers we have seen on the domestic side in the US. Yesterday, we had the Chicago PMI indicator, which shows the level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the Chicago area, diving from around 59 points to 52.6 points.

That’s quite a dive and it might be a negative sign for the manufacturing and industrial production in the coming months. Although, the consumer confidence jumped higher. So, forex traders are letting go of some of their long positions just in case the FED sounds too dovish. We should be careful until the FED meeting this evening, which I hope will give us some direction finally.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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