EUR/USD Respects the Range, Despite the Decline in Industrial Production

The economic data from the Eurozone leaned on the negative side, but EUR/USD is bouncing off the bottom of the range again now

Skerdian Meta•Wednesday, August 14, 2019•1 min read

We will trade the range again, selling at the top

Earlier on, we had the Eurozone GDP report release as well as the industrial production figures. The GDP showed that the economy expanded by 0.2% in Q2, which is half of the growth in Q1, and growth in employment was also slashed in half at 0.2% from 0.4% in Q1.

The industrial production for June was expected to decline by 1.4% which is a big decline, but the decline was bigger at -1.6%. Industrial production has been declining since February, apart from May, so it returns back to negative now, which is negative for the Eurozone economy.

It should have been negative for the Euro as well, but EUR/USD is trading the range mostly and is ignoring the data right now. We highlighted this range yesterday which stretched between the 200 SMA (purple) at the top and the 100 SMA (green) at the bottom.

This pair has been slipping lower since yesterday, but it couldn’t push below the 100 SMA which has been providing support for more than a week. The price formed a spinning bottom above the 100 SMA earlier today which is a reversing signal and now it is climbing higher. So, the range continues for this pair. We didn’t buy at the bottom, but we’ll try to sell this pair at the top when the price gets there.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More

Skerdian Meta

Lead Analyst

Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.