Crude Oil Continues Trading Sideways Despite Supply Concerns  - Forex News by FX Leaders

Crude Oil Continues Trading Sideways Despite Supply Concerns

Posted Tuesday, October 22, 2019 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

What’s up, traders.

It’s been a few days now that WTI crude oil prices are trading in an extensive trading range of 54 – 53. Overall, crude oil prices sank nearly 1% on Monday following remarks from a US official regarding concerns about the US-China trade war. It added further worries that a slowing global economy would diminish demand for oil.

China’s GDP growth slowed to 6% year on year in the 3rd-quarter of 2019, against a forecast of 6.1%. Moreover, Russia announced that it produced more than expected oil during the month of September due to an increase in gas condensate output as the country prepared for winter.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Russia and other oil producers, an alliance known as OPEC+, had agreed back in December 2018 to decrease supply by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) from the start of this year.

WTI Crude Oil – Technical Outlook

Technically, crude oil is suggesting a neutral bias, but the breakout setup may help us capture quick trades in WTI crude oil. At the moment, crude oil is facing immediate resistance at 53.85 area, the violation of which could extend bullish rally until 54.50 and 54.92.

On the flip side, crude oil may trade bearish until 52.55 level if it manages to trade below 54. By the way, bullish engulfing and bullish crossover of 50 and 100 periods EMA are suggesting a strong bullish bias among traders.

Daily Support and Resistance
S3 50.56
S2 52.09
S1 53.01
Pivot Point 53.63
R1 54.54
R2 55.16
R3 56.69

WTI Crude Oil – Forex Trading Signal
The idea is to stay bullish above 53.63 with a stop loss below 53.30 and take profit at 54.75.

Good luck!

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About the author

Arslan Butt // Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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