ADB Trims China’s Economic Growth Forecasts

Continuing trade tensions between the US and China have driven the Asian Development Bank to revise economic growth forecasts lower for developing economies in 2019, especially for China and India. The ADB now expects developing Asia to grow at 5.2% in 2019 as well as in 2020, lower than the previous estimates of 5.4% and 5.5% respectively.

China is expected to see a GDP growth of 6.1% and 5.8% in 2019 and 2020, from 6.2% and 6.0% previously. Rising prices of pork on account of African swine fever have also had an adverse impact on consumer spending in China, slowing down economic growth.

China’s Q3 GDP came in at 6.0%, the bottom of the range set by the government as the trade war with the US continued to impact the manufacturing sector and domestic demand. Inflation, however, is expected to remain high especially on account of rising food prices in China as well as in developing Asia overall.

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Arslan Butt
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Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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