Germany to Experience Recession Due to Coronavirus? - Forex News by FX Leaders
Germany to Experience Recession Due to Coronavirus?

Germany to Experience Recession Due to Coronavirus?

Posted Thursday, February 13, 2020 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

A recent study by Deutsche Bank Research reveals that German economy could experience a recession in 2020 as a result of the coronavirus outbreak. This is because Germany is an export oriented economy which enjoys a strong trade relationship with China.

A prolonged economic slowdown in China, given by the virus outbreak can depress domestic consumption in the country and cause it to reduce imports of goods from other countries including Germany. Last year, Germany’s key manufacturing sector already experienced a significant slowdown on account of the growing trade tensions between the US and China which resulted in slowing of economic growth in China and reduced the demand for German cars in the country as a result.

However there is a possibility of improvement in the second half of the year if we outbreak peaks soon and China is able to recover swiftly. Prior to news about the outbreak, there were expectations that economic growth in Germany could stabilize this year. Germany is due to publish its GDP report at the end of the week which should give a clearer picture of the possible impact of coronavirus on its economy.

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About the author

Arslan Butt // Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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