Is the Trend Changing for Crude Oil? - Forex News by FX Leaders
MAs have turned from resistance into support now

Is the Trend Changing for Crude Oil?

Posted Friday, February 21, 2020 by
Skerdian Meta • 1 min read

Crude Oil turned really bearish in the second week of January, after having a great time in December due to OPEC+ cutting production and in the first week of January, as tensions between US and Iran escalated. But, the coronavirus pandemic scared the hell out of traders and the demand for crude Oil fell. As a result, US WTI crude fell below $50 last week.

During the decline, moving averages turned into resistance, stopping the pullbacks higher and pushing the price lower. But, the decline stalled last week, after we heard comments from OPEC that they want to cut production again, this time by a massive 600k barrels/day.

But, the coronavirus seems to be slowing the pace of spreading now and the sentiment has improved somewhat. WTI crude has climbed above moving averages and now these moving averages have turned into support. The 50 SMA (yellow) provided support first on the H4 chart, earlier this week, and now it’s the 20 SMA (grey) which is acting as such.

This picture shows that the trend might be changing for crude oil now. But, that will depend on how coronavirus will go from here, as well as on OPEC cutting production further or not. But, one thing is for certain now – the downside is not as attractive as a week ago, so if you want to sell, better be careful.

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About the author

Skerdian Meta // Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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