Decisive Time for Oil at the 50 Daily SMA, After Falling Below $60

Crude Oil has been really bullish since April last year, when it reversed from the abyss, following a crash to -$ 37 for US WTI crude. Buyers have been pushing higher without much resistance on the way, apart from the slight pullback in September and October.

But, that pullback didn’t last and Oil resumed the bullish trend, pushing above $50 and $ 60 pretty easily.  During the bullish trend, moving averages have been doing a great job as support for Oil, especially the 20 SMA (gray) on the daily chart.

Although yesterday we saw a big reversal and a crash lower, which took the price more than 6 cents down. The 20 SMA was broken on the daily chart and after a failed attempt to reverse the price higher, Oil is back down, trading at the 50 SMA (yellow) now. This might be a good place to look for longs on Oil, but yesterday’s decline was too strong, so we are observing the price action down here, in order to decide whether to buy Oil or not.

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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