Shorting USD/CAD, After the Canadian GDP Report
Skerdian Meta•Friday, April 30, 2021•2 min read
[[USD/CAD-sponsored]]
USD/CAD turned around in March last year at 1.4660s and it entered a major bearish trend. The price declined to 1.2360 by the middle of March this year, almost exactly a year after the decline started. But started to retreat higher as crude Oil prices were retreating lower, sending the CAD down and USD/CAD up.
Although the 50 SMA brought an end to that retrace on the daily chart and this pair reversed back down. On Wednesday sellers pushed below last month’s low and now the price is trading nearly 100 pips lower. The Canadian date such as the GDP report earlier on are helping the cause so we decided to open a sell forex signal after a slight retrace higer to the 50 SMA (yellow). Below is the GDP report for February:
Canada GDP Report, February 2021
- Monthly GDP 0.4% versus 0.5% estimate. Last month +0.7%
- YoY GDP -2.2% versus -2.3% estimate. Last month -2.3%
- 14 of the 20 sectors were higher
- this is the 10th consecutive monthly increase, although economic activity is 2% below the level observed in February 2020
- services +0.6%
- goods producing industries -0.2% for the first time since April
- preliminary information indicates an approximate 0.9% increase in real GDP for March
- retail trade +4.5% following two months of declines. 10 of the 12 sectors were up in February as a result of using of lockdown measures with clothing and clothing accessories up 23.5%, sporting goods, hobby, booking music stores +28.2%, and home and furniture up 11.7%
- construction rose 2.0% February with all subsectors up
- mining quarrying and oil and gas extraction fell for the first time in six months at -2.8% with two of three subsectors contracting
- manufacturing felt -0.9% versus 1.5% gain in January. Both durable and nondurable manufacturing were down in February (durable -0.9% versus +2.2% in January. Nondurable -1.0% in February with four of nine subsectors down)
- professional services +1.2%
- public-sector +0.6%
- other industries +3.5% following five consecutive months of declines. Food services and drinking places rose 4.0%. Transportation fell -2.0%. Wholesale trade fell -1.0%. Utilities +1.3%. Finance insurance +0.4%
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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst.
Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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