US Economy Improving Further as Today’s ISM Services Report Confirmed, Keeping Crude Oil Bullish

Crude Oil keeps pushing higher as the economic data keeps improving

Crude Oil bounced off the 50 SMA again today

Crude Oil has been bullish since April last year, when it reversed following the crash. It stalled in March and April, retracing lower below $60 after placing a top above $68. But then resumed the bullish trend as the global economy kept expanding at a decent pace as Europe and other places started to come out of winter restrictions.

The economic rebound is picking up pace further, with today’s economic reports from the US confirming this. The ISM non-manufacturing indicator which is listed below increased to 64 points, so services as well as manufacturing are absolutely surging.

US Live WTI Oil Chart 

WTI

US WTI crude Oil remains well supported by moving averages, bouncing off the 50 SMA (yellow) earlier today and the positive data is keeping it bullish. So, pullbacks down to the 50 SMA or the 100 SMA (green) should be seen as opportunities to go long on Oil.

 

ISM services index

ISM services
  • ISM services index rises to 64.0 from 62.7 last month. Estimate 63.2
  • Activity/production 66.2 versus 62.7 last month
  • Employment 55.3 from 58.8 last month
  • New orders 63.9 from 63.2 last month
  • Prices paid 80.6 from 76.8 last month. Highest since September 2005
  • Order backlog 61.1 versus 55.7 last month
  • Export orders 60.0 versus 58.6 last month
  • Import 50.4 versus 55.7 last month
  • Supplier deliveries 70.4 versus 66.1 last month.
The services index is the highest on record  (going back to 1997 ). Port congestions continues to delay deliveries. The numbers suggest the economy is ripping higher with supply and employment constraints. US 10 year yield is up to 1.613%, up 2.55 basis points. The high yield reached 1.6164%.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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