Gold Prices Edge Higher Amid a Correcting Dollar and Global Economic Concerns

Posted Friday, September 8, 2023 by
Arslan Butt • 2 min read

GOLD prices witnessed a consecutive rise for the second day, surging near $1,920 per troy ounce during Friday’s Asian trading hours. This uptrend found modest backing from a temporary pullback in the US Dollar after its three-day surge, a movement possibly linked to the recent dip in US Treasury yields.

Notably, 10-year US Treasury bonds saw yields slide to 4.22%, a 1.36% reduction within two days.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), a barometer gauging the Dollar’s strength against six significant counterparts, currently hovers around 104.90, its most robust position since last April. This rise seems to be buoyed by a steady inflow of encouraging data about the US economic health.

Recent statistics from the US revealed that Initial Jobless Claims, as of September 1, stood at 216K, markedly below the preceding 229K, defying expectations which predicted an increase to 234K. In contrast, the US Unit Labor Costs for Q2 witnessed an uptick, moving to 2.2% from a previous 1.6%, challenging the prediction of stability.

Driving the recent ascendancy of the US Dollar is the growing conviction among investors regarding a more assertive monetary policy stance from the US Federal Reserve. Market insiders are increasingly factoring in a probable 25 basis point interest rate boost in the upcoming Federal Reserve sessions in November and December. Such a development may hinder gold’s potential upward momentum.

However, investor optimism is kept in check, largely due to looming apprehensions about China’s faltering economy and the sustained trade discord with the US. These factors, rooted in China’s economic wellness and its trade dynamics, might curtail the appetite for the yellow metal.

It’s imperative to highlight that China has recently undertaken numerous policy initiatives to rejuvenate its languishing economy, especially post its rapid post-pandemic economic deceleration. Further policy reforms are projected shortly.

The imminent G20 summit in New Delhi is also on the horizon with U.S. President Joe Biden attending. In contrast, China’s President Xi Jinping’s absence may further strain the tense dynamics between the two dominant nations.

In the absence of impactful economic disclosures today, the financial community will set its gaze on forthcoming addresses by Federal Reserve representatives.

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