U.S. Stocks May Lack Direction In Early Trading

After ending yesterday’s choppy trading session mostly higher, stocks may show a lack of direction in early trading on Tuesday. The major index futures are currently pointing to a roughly flat open for the markets, with the S&P 500 futures down by less than a tenth of a percent.

Uncertainty about the near-term outlook for the markets may keep some traders on the sidelines following a strong September, which is historically a weak month for stocks.

Traders may also be reluctant to make significant moves in early trading ahead of the release of the Institute for Supply Management’s report on manufacturing activity in the month of September.

The report, which is due to be released shortly after the start of trading, is expected to show the ISM’s manufacturing PMI inched up to 47.5 in September from 47.2 in August. A reading below 50 would still indicate contraction.

The Labor Department is also due to release its report on job openings in the month of August. Job openings in August are expected to come in unchanged from July at 7.67 million.

Later in the week, the Labor Department’s closely watched monthly jobs report is likely to be in the spotlight, as traders look for additional clues about the outlook for the economy and interest rates.

Economists currently expect the report to show employment rose by 140,000 jobs in September after climbing by 142,000 jobs in August, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold at 4.2 percent.

Stocks showed a lack of direction over the course of the trading session on Monday before eventually ending the day mostly higher. The major averages all finished the day in positive territory following the mixed performance seen last Friday.

The Dow inched up 17.15 points or less than a tenth of a percent to a new record closing high of 42,330.15, while the Nasdaq climbed 69.58 points or 0.4 percent to 18,189.17. The S&P 500 also rose 24.31 points or 0.4 percent to a new record closing high of 5,762.48.

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance on Tuesday, with several major markets closed for holidays. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index jumped by 1.9 percent, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index slid by 0.7 percent.

Meanwhile, the major European markets have all moved to the upside on the day. While the French CAC 40 Index is up by 0.1 percent, the German DAX Index and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index are both up by 0.6 percent.

In commodities trading, crude oil futures are sliding $0.83 to $67.34 a barrel after edging down $0.01 to $68.17 a barrel on Monday. Meanwhile, after slipping $8.70 to $2,659.40 an ounce in the previous session, gold futures are climbing $17.40 to $2,676.80 an ounce.

On the currency front, the U.S. dollar is trading at 143.74 yen compared to the 143.63 yen it fetched at the close of New York trading on Monday. Against the euro, the dollar is valued at $1.1074 compared to yesterday’s $1.1135.

CVS Health Reportedly Mulls Breakup, To Cut 2,900 Jobs

CVS Health Corp. is conducting a strategic review of options including a possible breakup amid issues from its drugstore chain and Aetna health insurance arm, reports said citing person familiar with the matter. The company also plans to reduce its workforce by less than 1 percent, which would affect around 2,900 employees, as part of its cost-cutting efforts.

The multi-year initiative is projected to deliver $2 billion in cost savings by reducing expenses and investing in technologies.

As per the reports, the company retained bankers to facilitate the ongoing review that has been ongoing for weeks. The options under consideration include the various forms of a potential breakup, including a separation of the company’s retail and insurance businesses.

In the proposed job cuts, impacted positions are said to be primarily corporate roles, while the reductions will not impact front-line jobs in stores, pharmacies, and distribution centers.

The healthcare firm, while reporting weak second- quarter earnings in August, had slashed its fiscal 2024 earnings and adjusted earnings guidance, below the Wall Street estimates.

The company then said it revised its annual guidance to reflect continued pressure in the Health Care Benefits segment, partially offset by strong performance in the Health Services and Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segments.

Recently, The Federal Trade Commission or FTC filed an action against CVS Health’s prescription drug benefit manager or PBM, Caremark Rx, along with Cigna’s Express Scripts, and United Health Group’s OptumRx. These companies allegedly engaged in anticompetitive and unfair rebating practices that have artificially inflated the list prices of insulin drugs, restricted patient access to lower-priced options, and shifted the burden of high insulin costs onto vulnerable patients.

On the NYSE, CVS shares are currently trading at $61.77, down 1.77%.

Stellantis Recalls 194K Hybrid Jeep SUVs Over Fire Risk

Automaker Stellantis N.V. (STLA) announced Tuesday it is recalling a total of 194,245 plug-in hybrid electric Jeep SUVs to resolve a potential fire risk. These include 154,032 SUVs in the United States, 14,038 in Canada, 673 in Mexico and 25,502 in certain markets outside North America.

This recall involves certain model-year 2020-2024 Jeep Wrangler 4xe SUVs and model-year 2022-2024 Jeep Grand Cherokee 4xe SUVs. The company estimates that 5 percent of the recalled vehicles may have the defect that can potentially cause a fire.

The company said the recall was initiated on discovery of 13 fires after a routine company review of customer data led to an internal investigation. These vehicles were parked and turned off at the time the fire occurred.

Until a remedy is obtained, the company has advised owners of the recalled vehicles to park them away from structures or other vehicles and to refrain from recharging. The company has noticed that vehicle risk is reduced when the battery charge level is depleted.

The company urges owners to follow the instructions on their recall notices while it notifies affected customers and schedules a service.

In early September, Stellantis recalled about 1.5 million Ram pickup trucks worldwide to address a software issue that may disable the electronic stability control system. The recall included specific trucks from the 2019 and 2021 through 2024 model years, with the majority located in North America.

In mid-June, Stellantis recalled nearly 1.2 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada to fix a software glitch that can disable the rearview cameras. It involved certain 2021-2022 Dodge Durango, 2021-2023 Chrysler Pacifica, Jeep Grand Cherokee L, 2022 Ram 1500, 2500 and 3500, 2022-2023 Jeep Compass, Grand Cherokee, Wagoneer, Grand Wagoneer, and Ram Promaster vehicles.

U.S. Manufacturing Index Indicates Continued Contraction In September

Manufacturing activity in the U.S. continued to contract in the month of September, the Institute for Supply Management revealed in a report released on Tuesday.

The ISM said its manufacturing PMI came in at 47.2 in September, unchanged from August, with a reading below 50 indicating contraction. Economists had expected the index to inch up to 47.5.

Manufacturing activity contracted for the sixth consecutive month and the 22nd time in the last 23 months.

“U.S. manufacturing activity contracted again in September, and at the same rate compared to last month,” said Timothy R. Fiore, Chair of the ISM Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. “Demand continues to be weak, output declined, and inputs stayed accommodative.”

The ISM said the new orders index rose to 46.1 in September from 44.6 in August but remained in contraction territory for the sixth consecutive month

“Demand remains subdued, as companies showed an unwillingness to invest in capital and inventory due to federal monetary policy — which the U.S. Federal Reserve addressed by the time of this report — and election uncertainty,” said Fiore.

The report also said the production index jumped to 49.8 in September from 44.8 in August, with Fiore noting production execution stabilized during the month.

Meanwhile, the employment index fell to 43.9 in September from 46.0 in August, suggesting employment in the manufacturing sector shrunk at a faster rate.

The prices index also slumped to 48.3 in September from 54.0 in August, indicating raw materials prices decreased after eight straight months of increases.

On Thursday, the ISM is scheduled to release a separate report on service sector activity in the month of September. The ISM’s services PMI is expected to inch up to 51.6 in September from 51.5 in August, with a reading above 50 indicating growth.

U.S. Construction Spending Unexpectedly Edges Down 0.1% In August

A report released by the Commerce Department on Tuesday unexpectedly showed a modest decrease by construction spending in the U.S. in the month of August.

The Commerce Department said construction spending edged down by 0.1 percent to an annual rate of $2.132 trillion in August after falling by 0.5 percent to a revised rate of $2.134 trillion in July.

Economists had expected construction spending to inch up by 0.1 percent compared to the 0.3 percent dip originally reported for the previous month.

The unexpected decrease by total construction spending came as spending on private construction slipped by 0.2 percent to an annual rate of $1.642 trillion.

Spending on residential construction fell by 0.3 percent to an annual rate of $899.9 billion, while spending on non-residential construction edged down by 0.1 percent to an annual rate of $742.2 billion.

Meanwhile, the Commerce Department said spending on public construction rose by 0.3 percent to an annual rate of $489.8 billion.

While spending on educational construction was virtually unchanged at an annual rate of $102.4 billion, spending on highway construction jumped by 1.1 percent to an annual rate of $141.4 billion.

U.S. Stocks Move Sharply Lower On Rising Middle East Tension, Dockworkers Strike

Stocks have moved sharply lower during trading on Tuesday, giving back ground after ending the previous session mostly higher. The major averages have all moved to the downside, with the Dow and the S&P 500 pulling back off yesterday’s record closing highs.

Currently, the major averages are off their lows of the session but still firmly negative. The Dow is down 246.18 points or 0.6 percent at 42,083.97, the Nasdaq is down 302.90 points or 1.7 percent at 17,886.27 and the S&P 500 is down 59.77 points or 1.0 percent at 5,702.72.

The sell-off on Wall Street comes amid concerns about escalating tensions in the Middle East after a senior White House official said the U.S. has indications Iran is preparing to imminently launch a ballistic missile attack against Israel.

“We are actively supporting defensive preparations to defend Israel against this attack. A direct military attack from Iran against Israel will carry severe consequences for Iran,” the official said in a statement.

The threat of a direct attack by Iran comes after Israel launched ground operations against the Iranian-backed militia group Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.

The price of crude oil has moved sharply higher on the heels of the news, with crude for November delivery spiking $2.01 or 3.0 percent to $70.18 a barrel.

Concerns about the economic impact of a strike by dockworkers at seaports across the U.S. East and Gulf Coasts may also be weighing on Wall Street.

Around 45,000 dockworkers went on strike after the United States Maritime Alliance and the International Longshoremen’s Association failed to reach a settlement on a new Master Contract.

The ILA union members hit the picket line at midnight after they rejected a wage package offered by the Ocean Carriers, represented by USMX, saying that it was unacceptable.

Sector News

Semiconductor stocks are turning in some of the market’s worst performances on the day, resulting in a 2.5 percent plunge by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.

Considerable weakness has also emerged among computer hardware stocks, as reflected by the 2.4 percent slump by the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index.

Banking stocks have also shown a significant move to the downside on the day, dragging the KBW Bank Index down by 2.0 percent.

Networking and software stocks have also come under pressure, contributing to the steep drop by the tech-heavy Nasdaq.

Airline and telecom stocks are also seeing notable weakness, while energy stocks are bucking the downtrend amid the sharp increase by the price of crude oil.

Other Markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance on Tuesday, with several major markets closed for holidays. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index jumped by 1.9 percent, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index slid by 0.7 percent.

The major European markets have also turned mixed after seeing early strength. While the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index is up by 0.2 percent, the German DAX Index is down by 0.8 percent and the French CAC 40 Index is down by 1.0 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries have moved sharply higher amid concerns about escalating tensions in the Middle East. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is down by 8.4 basis points at 3.718 percent.

CAD the Strongest, As Canada Manufacturing and Oil Price Jump

Today the Oil price has made a strong bullish reversal, jumping $4 higher and reclaiming the $70 level, which is helping the CAD as well, sending USD/CAD 50 pips lower. The USD has benefited from a negative reversal in risk sentiment as the conflict in the Middle East escalates, increasing around 50 pips against most currencies, however, the CAD is 50 pips higher against the US, which means the the CAD is around 1 cent stronger today. Continue reading “CAD the Strongest, As Canada Manufacturing and Oil Price Jump”

US Jobs Improving As Jolts Job Openings Resumes Growing Trend

Markets crashed in early August as US jobs took a dive after slowing throughout Q1 and Q2 of 2024, but it seems like the labor market is back on track now. The JOLTS jobs employment data showed another increase, the third one in the last four months, which shows that the trend is still improving.

Headline JOLTS jobs increased above expectations in September

Continue reading “US Jobs Improving As Jolts Job Openings Resumes Growing Trend”

USDCHF Breaks Resistance After the Swiss Inflation and Retail Sales Fall in October

USDCHF experienced a retreat this week after failing to break above the 0.87 mark, despite showing respectable gains throughout October, rising about 2 cents. However, today’s jump has brought the price back at the highs, after the declinein Swiss CPI inflation and retail sales during October.Swiss inflation report for October

Continue reading “USDCHF Breaks Resistance After the Swiss Inflation and Retail Sales Fall in October”

EURUSD Headed to 1.10 After Eurozone Inflation

EURUSD retreated lower after multiple failed attempts to break the 1.12 resistance zone. Yesterday, the pair dropped by 1 cent, marking another unsuccessful test. Contributing to this downward trend was Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who signaled resistance to a further 50 basis point rate cut in November. At the same time, ECB President Christine Lagarde’s dovish comments, following lower CPI inflation readings from major European economies, have also weighed on the euro.

Eurozone CPI Inflation Report for September

Continue reading “EURUSD Headed to 1.10 After Eurozone Inflation”