NVIDIA Stock Forecast Today: NVDA Reclaims $210 as AI Demand Outweighs Financing Concerns

NVIDIA (NVDA) trades above $209 as AI demand remains strong despite financing concerns. Investors now focus on August 26 earnings...

NVDA

Quick overview

  • NVIDIA's stock has risen to around $210 after surpassing a key technical resistance level, with investors closely watching the upcoming earnings report.
  • The company reported record revenues of $81.6 billion in Q1 FY 2027, driven by a 92% growth in its Data Center business, which now constitutes 92% of total revenue.
  • Despite its strong financial performance, NVIDIA faces scrutiny over its increasing financial ties to the AI sector, including a potential $250 billion financing deal related to AI infrastructure.
  • Investor focus is shifting to NVIDIA's second-quarter earnings on August 26, where projected revenue is expected to be around $91 billion.

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) traded at around $210 on Monday after breaking above a critical technical resistance zone. Investors have favored AI infrastructure providers in the face of rising criticism of NVIDIA’s expanding financial concerns for the AI ecosystem.

Investors now watch tomorrow’s NVIDIA earnings for more color on Blackwell demand, AI infrastructure spending, and an updated revised outlook for the company’s second quarter of fiscal 2023, projected to be in the range of $91 billion.

NVIDIA is the AI infrastructure provider with the best results by all measures. The company generates record revenues at a rapid pace with growing demand among enterprises. Still, the beginnings of Wall Street scrutiny is growing as the company takes on more financing risks for the data centers that drive future GPU sales.

NVIDIA’s AI Dominance Continues With More Records

results once again place NVIDIA among the best-in-class companies. In the first quarter of FY 2027, NVIDIA achieved a record $81.6 billion in revenue, reflecting a 20% increase from the previous quarter and an 85% year-over-year increase.

The Data Center business grew by 92% from the same quarter last year and accounted for approximately 92% of total company revenue at $75.2 billion. The results reflect the high level of global investment in AI infrastructure and serve to counterbalance concerns of general tech market valuations.

Increasingly, rather than selling GPUs, NVIDIA has implemented a strategy of selling complete solutions with Blackwell GPUs and Grace CPUs, coupled with AI infrastructure and networking software, creating a greater competitive differentiating position as hyperscale cloud service providers are building more robust AI structures.

Incredible results on all fronts. GAAP gross margin for the quarter was 74.9%, and operating cash flow reached $50.3 billion. NVIDIA has mastered turning burning AI demand into significant free cash. Confident in their long-term cash generation, they increased their quarterly dividend payout to $0.25. Their recent authorization of an additional $80 billion share repurchasing program shows their confidence.

NVIDIA’s Increased Financial Tie to AI has Drawn Attention Away from their Operational Excellence

While NVIDIA continues to be a financially superior company, recent reports on their financial engagement with the broader AI space have drawn negative attention to their operations. Last week, Reuters disclosed that NVIDIA intends to invest $5 billion in Safe Superintelligence (SSI), an AI startup that was co-founded by the co-founder of OpenAI (Ilya Sutskever).

The investment will be used to help deploy NVIDIA’s next-generation Vera Rubin AI systems as well as to help increase SSI’s compute. The Wall Street Journal revealed that NVIDIA has discussed a possibly $250 billion financing backstop connected to an OpenAI-related data center build in Ohio.

While there has been no reported agreement, this potential deal will likely spark debate about whether NVIDIA is continuing to finance more of the AI infrastructure and equipment that the company will intended to sell.

Previously NVIDIA was able to sell their AI edge processors to scale companies. Now investors are speculating whether if NVIDIA continues to underwrite the cost of AI infrastructure, they will take on more credit, construction and utilization risk if the AI investment slows down.

AI Infrastructure Expenditure Continues to Grow at a Robust Clip

While there are these risks, the current infrastructure investment cycle of AI is very robust. Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta invest tens of billions to improve their AI infrastructures while adoption of generative AI spreads across more companies.

Jensen Huang, CEO of NVIDIA, calls the current AI investing boom “the largest infrastructure buildout in technology history,” and believes that AI factories will be critical components of the budding industries that will drive the digital economy.

NVIDIA ranks quite well with the rest of the semiconductor industry with a very strong balance sheet. The company’s cash, cash equivalents, and marketable debt securities plus marketable equity investments totaled about $50.3 billion at the end of the quarter, with about $30 billion cash on the sidelines.

The company is able to invest aggressively in the AI ecosystem and pay out a lot of cash to shareholders thanks to a very flexible balance sheet.

NVIDIA’s Second Quarter Earnings (August 26) has become the Next Big Thing

Investor attention has shifted to NVIDIA’s upcoming (August 26) Earnings Release. Management had previously said that Q2 Revenue would be about $91 billion. Until then everyone will be analyzing Blackwell production, networking growth, Rubin deployment, advanced-memory availability, export restrictions to China, and any other customer financing announcements.

Source: Nvidia.com
Source: Nvidia.com

The earnings call will tell if the exceptional revenue growth will maintain the focus, or if the supporting investments towards future AI Infrastructure will begin to capture the investor attention.

NVIDIA Technical Analysis: Breakout Above Trendline Targets $212 and $224

NVIDIA has seen considerable bullish momentum after pushing past the descending trendline which had been in place since late July. The stock is at $209.92 and is comfortably above the 50 period EMA at $202.10 and the 100 period EMA at $203.57. This shows buyers have the control in the shorter term.

NVDA Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
NVDA Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

The breakout created the now support level at $202-$204. Price is at $211.69, which was a previous area of selling pressure. Beyond this area, the next level of resistance would come in at $217.99 and $224.37 respectively.

As the RSI moves up to about 66, the buying pressure is present but still greater than normal and not overbought. Some normal consolidation around this level would be expected, as the larger structure of the chart is still in favor of price holding the moving averages.

A break back below $203.57 would weaken the breakout and put $202.16 in play for support. The next level of support would come in at $190.02.

Key Levels

Resistance: $211.69, $217.99, $224.37

Support: $203.57, $202.16, $190.02, $184.32

Trade Setup: NVIDIA is still in a bullish position as long as $203.57 holds. A breakout above $211.69 favors continued moves to $218 and $224. A close below the moving averages would increase the risk for

Frequently Asked Questions

What’s driving NVIDIA’s stock rise today?

Strong Blackwell demand and record-breaking quarterly revenue have NVIDIA in the spotlight for AI infrastructure spending. Plus, investors are adjusting their portfolios for NVIDIA’s report on August 26.

What’s Wall Street’s biggest issue with NVIDIA?

NVIDIA financing customer AI infrastructure concerns is the biggest issue. There have been reports of a $250 billion financing backstop, but there has been no official confirmation of a deal, so no credit exposure has been determined.

When do NVIDIA earnings report?

NVIDIA will release fiscal second-quarter 2027 results on August 26, 2026. The focus will be on quarterly revenue of about $91 billion, with Blackwell shipments and AI customer financing comments all closely monitored.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Ali Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Ali Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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