Duolingo Crash Below $120 On Weak Sales Outlook

Duolingo shares plunged  12% on Wednesday after a soft third-quarter revenue forecast ($302M vs. $304M expected) overshadowed strong user engagement.

Duolingo Crash Below $120  On Weak Sales Outlook

Quick overview

  • Duolingo's stock fell 12% after a conservative Q3 revenue forecast of $302M, slightly below expectations.
  • Despite the forecast, Q2 revenue rose 18% year-over-year to $298.5M, and Daily Active Users surged 23% to 58.7M.
  • CEO Luis von Ahn anticipates DAU growth will remain above 20% for the rest of the year, aiming for 100M DAUs by 2028.
  • To compete with AI rivals, Duolingo is testing longer free trials to increase conversions to paid subscriptions.

Duolingo shares plunged  12% on Wednesday after a soft third-quarter revenue forecast ($302M vs. $304M expected) overshadowed strong user engagement.

Despite the weak outlook, Q2 revenue beat estimates at $298.5M (up 18% year-over-year), and Daily Active Users (DAUs) surged 23% to 58.7M—beating projections thanks to product updates, marketing tweaks, and a streak-revival promotion.

CEO Luis von Ahn raised the rest-of-year DAU growth forecast above 20%, maintaining the company’s long-term goal of reaching 100M DAUs by 2028. To counter AI-driven competition without frustrating free users, Duolingo is testing longer free trials to boost “Super Duolingo” paid subscriptions. Before the report, the stock was already down 23% for the year.

 Duolingo stock dropped up to 12% Wednesday due to a conservative Q3 revenue forecast ($302M vs. $304M expected), adding to a 23% year-to-date decline. Revenue rose 18% year-over-year to $298.5M, outperforming Wall Street expectations ($295.6M).

Strong User Engagement: DAUs grew 23% to 58.7M (exceeding the 57.4M estimate), driven by product improvements and a popular streak-restoration feature. Growth Strategy & Outlook: CEO Luis von Ahn expects DAU growth to stay above 20% for the rest of the year, targeting 100M DAUs by 2028.

Monetization vs. AI Competition: To stave off AI rivals, Duolingo is expanding free trials to convert unpaid users into “Super Duolingo” subscribers without disrupting the user experience.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Olumide Adesina
Financial Market Writer
Olumide Adesina is a French-born Nigerian financial writer. He tracks the financial markets with over 20 years of working experience in investment trading

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