Meta Shares Below $600 in play on Escalating Fears Over Massive AI Capex

Meta’s CEO Mark Zuckerberg rekindled concerns that the historic levels of investment he’s making to catch up in the artificial intelligence race won’t pay off.

Strong Revenue and Profit Growth Offset by Higher Investment Costs

This possibility caused shares to plummet. The social media behemoth predicted full-year capital expenditures of $125 billion to $145 billion, surpassing analysts’ projections and representing roughly a 7.4% increase over the company’s January projections.

Chief Financial Officer Susan Li stated on a call with investors on Wednesday that Meta is dealing with “higher component pricing” and additional data center costs, while maintaining its conviction that its AI strategy is working.

Zuckerberg stated that his company would invest hundreds of billions of dollars in AI infrastructure by the end of the decade. Meta has revealed deals worth billions of dollars.

Wall Street did not share Zuckerberg’s “confidence” in the decision to increase AI spending.  The CEO’s failure to explain how Meta intends to generate a return on its investments infuriated investors, causing shares to drop as much as 7% during prolonged trading.

Meta wasn’t the only significant tech company to increase expenditures. Amazon. Com revealed quarterly capital expenditures on increasing data center capacity that exceeded analysts’ expectations.  Google increased its capital expenditures for the entire year to $190 billion.

Google sparked a rally despite beating on quarterly revenue and profit, indicating confidence in the company’s AI bets. Meta beat Wall Street’s estimate of $55.51 billion with first-quarter sales of $56.3 billion. Sales for the current quarter were estimated between $58 billion and $61 billion, which is about in line with expectations. The number of daily active users on Meta’s social media platforms decreased slightly to 3.56 billion in the first quarter.

The business mentioned Russia’s limitations on WhatsApp access and internet outages in Iran. Since the company started using that metric, that was the first decline. Meta would have seen positive, according to CFO Li.

Google, Amazon Outpace Facebook in AI Race During Earnings Surge

Meta Platforms is falling behind while Alphabet’s Google is clearly benefiting from its AI investment.  Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon. Com released a plethora of financial data on Wednesday, including the two companies’ results and Microsoft.  The four businesses are at the center of an infrastructure build-out anticipated to cost trillions of dollars because they are the biggest spenders on AI data farms

Amazon Surges on Earnings Beat as Investors Question Sustainability

Alphabet’s stock increased by 7% in late trading, outperforming other AI behemoths. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index saw a 0.9 percent increase in futures. It was more difficult for Meta to convince investors. After the company increased full-year capital expenditures to as much as $145 billion, partly due to rising component prices, its shares fell more than 6%. Google and other companies have also raised their spending targets, so Meta is not the only one.

However, Meta doesn’t have as much to show for this enormous investment. Its consumer AI app has taken longer to gain traction than Google’s, and it does not offer cloud computing services.

Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of Meta, stated that he was confident in the choice to increase spending, but his responses to analysts were ambiguous. He stated on a conference call that Meta does not have “a very precise plan” for how each AI product will be developed. Zuckerberg stated, “I think we have a sense of the shape of where things need to be,” although he acknowledged that his responses might not be “fulfilling.

According to Forrester Research Inc., “the companies continue to make those bets, forcing investors and customers alike to assess how their interests are impacted because the potential payoff of AI leadership seems so high.” In a note, analyst Lee Sustar stated.

Revenue from Amazon’s cloud division increased by 28% over the previous year, the fastest growth rate since the second quarter of 2022. That company acts as a gauge for the advancement of AI. Additionally, the company has benefited from investments in two of the top AI startups, OpenAI and Anthropic PBC.

Amazon’s stock increased on Wednesday After News revealed that Anthropic was contemplating a new funding round at a valuation of more than $900 billion.

Microsoft predicted that revenue from cloud computing would rise along with spending. The company projects “modest acceleration” in the second half of the year and a 40% increase in sales in its Azure cloud division in the current quarter. The low proportion of Microsoft Office users who are paying for the company’s Copilot AI tools continues to raise concerns. According to the company, the number of paid Copilot seats increased by 5 million from the previous quarter to 20 million

 

Microsoft Ends Revenue Share Payments to OpenAI

Microsoft (MSFT) shares decreased on Monday as the tech giant and OpenAI (OPENAI) announced that their partnership has continued to develop and that OpenAI’s license will become non-exclusive. Microsoft stated on its website, ”

Microsoft Slides on Buyout Plan as AI Costs and Margins Stay in Focus

Miss/soft guidance on Copilot slowdown, higher-for-longer CapEx, or AI returns → another leg down, possibly testing $400 or lower (support levels discussed around there). This risk is highlighted in some Reddit and analyst chatter following the stock’s decline below $400 per share.
MSFT stock has faced pressure in 2026 (down significantly YTD from highs), with analysts mixed on AI spending, competition, and growth outlook. Some see the dip as a buying opportunity.

Today, we are announcing an amended agreement to simplify our partnership and the way we work together, grounded in flexibility, certainty, and a focus on delivering the benefits of AI broadly.

The amended agreement’s increased predictability enhances our combined capacity to develop and run AI platforms at scale while giving both businesses the freedom to explore new prospects. Microsoft will be OpenAI’s main cloud partner under the revised agreement, and OpenAI products will launch first on Azure.

A change has been made, though, stating that OpenAI may look elsewhere if Microsoft “cannot and chooses not to support the necessary capabilities.” Julian Lin is the head of the Best of Breed Growth Stock investing group.

Additionally, OpenAI can offer all of its products to clients via any cloud provider, including Amazon Web Services (AMZN). Additionally, Microsoft will have a non-exclusive license to use OpenAI’s intellectual property for its models and products through 2032.

Amazon shares lost 0.8 percent in late morning trading, giving up earlier gains. As part of the revised agreement, Microsoft will no longer give OpenAI a revenue share; however, OpenAI will continue to pay Microsoft revenue shares through 2030.

Oracle, CoreWeave Back OpenAI After Report Reveals Missed Sales and User Targets

Oracle (ORCL) and CoreWeave (CRWV) supported OpenAI on Tuesday after the Wall Street Journal revealed that the AI developer had recently fallen short of user and sales goals, rekindling worries about excessive spending in the industry.

Shares of companies that partnered with the company plummeted following the report, indicating that OpenAI’s business was slowing. Oracle, a major software company, and CoreWeave, a provider of data centers, both experienced closures of about 4% and 5%, respectively

High Hopes, Thin Margins: Oracle’s AI Cloud Growth Faces Profitability Test

Oracle wrote, “We’re incredibly excited about our partnership with OpenAI and remain focused on building and delivering the capacity they need to support rapidly growing demand.” 

CoreWeave expressed a similar sentiment that it had other partners. A CoreWeave representative stated, “OpenAI is a terrific partner, but not our only one.” The company has an “expanding set of customers like Meta Platforms, Anthropic, Microsoft, Google, IBM, Perplexity AI, Jane Street,

OpenAI has been on a spending binge due to CEO Sam Altman’s hasty acquisition of processing power. The missed metrics have rekindled concerns about the company’s rising costs amid intensifying competition.

The report comes at a crucial time because the company was reportedly preparing to go public this year. With commitments totaling $122 billion at $852 billion, OpenAI announced last month that it had closed its most recent funding round. That is more than the $110 billion the company reported raising in February, when its valuation was $730 billion.

 

Major Blow to Meta — China Forces Reversal of $2B AI Startup Takeover

China has decided to prohibit Meta Platforms Inc. from its $2 billion purchase of the agentic AI startup Manus, an unexpected move to end a contentious agreement that has drawn criticism over technology leaks to the US. In a brief statement on Monday, the National Development and Reform Commission issued an order to cancel the agreement.

Meta Rebounds on Earnings, Though Spending Outlook Keeps Investors Cautious

Without providing further details, the influential state planner stated in a one-line notice that it has decided to forbid foreign investment in the startup in compliance with laws and regulations.

The decision, which surfaced weeks before a high-profile summit between US President Donald Trump and China’s Xi Jinping, is expected to send a chill through China’s rapidly developing AI industry. Following the mostly finalized deal, Beijing has increased its scrutiny of important industry companies.

Although domestic critics have since bemoaned the loss of valuable technology to a geopolitical rival, the sale was initially praised as a model for startups with global aspirations.

The founders of Manus began in China, but in 2025, they moved their main office and important employees to Singapore. When the agreement was made public in December, it was unclear whether Beijing would use its power over a transaction that, in theory, happened outside of its borders.

According to Ke Yan, a tech analyst with DZT Research in Singapore, “the Manus block is a clarifying moment.”. “Manus was pulled back even though its founders were based in Singapore and it was incorporated here. Beijing’s message is that the location of the legal entity is not important. “As Meta looks to compete in AI against rivals from Microsoft Corp., the Manus decree may be a setback.” and Alphabet Inc., Google to Anthropic PBC and OpenAI. Manus was meant to assist Meta in taking the lead in the rapidly evolving field of AI agents, or services that employ AI to carry out tasks.

US Government Accuses DeepSeek of Stealing American AI Tech

The US State Department has ordered a global campaign to draw attention to what it claims are widespread attempts by Chinese businesses, including AI startup DeepSeek, to steal intellectual property from US AI labs.

 

“Warn of the risks of utilizing AI models distilled from US proprietary AI models, and lay the groundwork for potential follow-up and outreach by the US government,” according to the cable.

Distillation is the process of training smaller AI models using output from larger ones to reduce the cost of training a potent new AI tool. China’s increasing independence in the field was highlighted on Friday when DeepSeek, the Chinese startup whose low-cost AI model stunned the world last year, unveiled a sneak peek of a highly anticipated new model tailored for Huawei chip technology

Chinese AI companies Moonshot AI and MiniMax were also mentioned in the cable. Beijing “attaches great importance to the protection of intellectual property rights,” according to the Chinese Embassy in Washington, which referred to the White House’s similar accusations this week as “baseless allegations.”.

The cable instructs diplomatic personnel to discuss “concerns over adversaries’ extraction and distillation of US AI models” with their foreign counterparts. It was sent to diplomatic and consular posts worldwide on Friday.

According to the document, “a separate demarche request and message has been sent to Beijing for raising with China.” The unreported cable indicates that the Trump administration is paying attention to worries about the Chinese distillation of US AI models. “Foreign actors can release products that seem to perform comparably on specific benchmarks at a fraction thanks to AI models developed from covert, unauthorized distillation campaigns.”.

Nvidia Stock’s NVDA Record Highs Masks Mounting Valuation Risks Beneath the Surface

Nvidia’s progress is seriously threatened by worries about overvaluation, geopolitical setbacks, and growing skepticism about the longevity of AI after it reached fresh all-time highs. Continue reading “Nvidia Stock’s NVDA Record Highs Masks Mounting Valuation Risks Beneath the Surface”

Nvidia Tops $5 Trillion, Intel’s Best Day Since 1987

Nvidia’s shares closed at a record on Friday for the first time since October, as investors poured into the AI chip trade ahead of next week’s earnings from tech’s hyperscalers, pushing the company’s market cap over $5 trillion.

Nvidia's stock fell after their earnings report.

The stock closed at $208.27, up 4.3 percent.  NVIDIA has grown more than 14 times since the end of 2022 due to the skyrocketing demand for AI models and services.

Model developers OpenAI and Anthropic, as well as Google, Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon, depend on Nvidia’s graphics processing units. Chipmaker Intel, which has largely stayed out of the AI market until recently, reported better-than-expected earnings late Thursday, spurring Friday’s rally.  Intel’s stock saw its best performance since 1987 with a 24% increase,

Qualcomm, a manufacturer of chips for mobile devices, increased 11%, while Advanced Micro Devices, a rival of Nvidia and Intel, increased 14%.  investors had been reducing their holdings of large-cap technology stocks because of the Iran War and rising oil prices,

However, technology has recently gained popularity, and there is no indication that the demand for AI infrastructure will decline. With a 15% increase in April, the Nasdaq is on track to have its best month since April 2020. Alphabet, a significant Nvidia client, has revealed new chips that will compete with Nvidia’s products when they become available to cloud users later this year. NVIDIA does face growing competition in AI.

Intel Jumps as Analysts Hike Targets to $100 on AI Surge

The long-struggling chipmaker is benefiting from the massive build-out of artificial intelligence computing, as evidenced by Intel’s spectacular sales forecast that exceeded Wall Street expectations.

The stock surged to the $82-85 range intraday (hitting new highs, surpassing its .-com era peak in some sessions) after closing around $66.78 pre-earnings. The volume was very high. Citing AI CPU momentum, foundry advancement, and turnaround under CEO Lip-Bu Tan, some companies raised their ratings and targets following (or before) earnings: Roth Capital: Upgraded to Buy, target $100 (from $50). HSBC: Increased to $100 (from $95), on server CPU growth, buy rating.

 

Volatility Persists, as Intel Doubles Down on AI With SambaNova Stake

The positive outlook indicates that CEO Lip-Bu Tan is moving forward with a difficult recovery plan. He is now fulfilling a pledge to enhance operations after securing significant investments in Intel last year, which strengthened the company’s balance sheet.

Great Hill Capital Chairman Thomas Hayes, an Intel investor, stated on Bloomberg Television that “everyone is starting to direct orders to Intel, and I think we are in the early days.” In a very short time, this has transitioned from hopelessness to exhilaration. The earnings report demonstrates the necessity of a data center.

Great Hill Capital Chairman Thomas Hayes, an Intel investor, stated on Bloomberg Television that “everyone is starting to direct orders to Intel, and I think we are in the early days.” In a very short time, this has transitioned from hopelessness to exhilaration

. According to the earnings report, demand for Intel’s flagship Xeon server processors is rising because of the need for data center chips to support the massive expansion of AI. The central processing unit, or CPU, is a type of general-purpose semiconductor that businesses attempting to transform their AI software into profitable services are focusing on again. Tan stated in an interview that Intel produced a “solid result” that exceeded its expectations.

He stated that the company is “laser-focused” on boosting output from Intel’s factories, which are still unable to produce enough to fulfill all of its orders, and he anticipates that the robust demand for processors used in AI systems will grow.

 

China Slams Door on US Investors in Strategic Tech Companies

Chinese regulators intend to prohibit technology companies, including some of the nation’s best-known AI pioneers, from accepting US capital without government approval.

Trade war between the United States and Chine is heating up.

The contentious purchase of startup Manus. According to people familiar with the situation, agencies such as the National Development and Reform Commission have instructed several private companies in recent weeks to reject US-origin capital in funding rounds unless specifically authorized.

Moonshot AI, which is considering going public, was among the companies that received advice from the influential state planner. Another person claimed that StepFun, a fellow Chinese startup, was given similar instructions and asked to remain anonymous to discuss a private matter.

Regulators have also decided to impose comparable limitations on ByteDance Ltd. The most valuable startup in the nation, according to the people, is the owner of TikTok.

The main goal of the most recent regulations is to keep US investors from investing in delicate industries where national security is a top concern. The $2 billion Manus buyout earlier this year, which prompted a Beijing investigation into illicit foreign investment and tech exports soon after its December announcement, is the source of the previously unreported action.

Critics have since bemoaned the loss of important AI technology to a geopolitical rival, despite the deal’s initial praise as a model for startups with international goals. According to the people, the commission, a potent state planning agency with extensive policy-making authority, is currently leading a multi-agency investigation into the deal and its consequences that involves the Ministry of Commerce.

The new regulations run the risk of further cutting off China’s rebounding tech industry from the venture capital funding that has supported it for the past 20 years, a portion of which came from American endowments and pensions. Beijing’s decision to prohibit “red chips,” or Chinese companies incorporated abroad, from pursuing initial public offerings in Hong Kong threatens to disrupt a decades-old strategy that allowed Chinese businesses to access foreign capital by floating abroad.