Category: Stock Market

US Treasury Prices Climb Sharply as Traders Pare Back Higher Rate Forecasts Over Middle East Risks

Posted on by Olumide Adesina

US Treasury prices surged as traders reduced bets on higher interest rates due to concerns that the Middle East conflict would cause a severe economic slowdown. US stock futures increased as Brent reached $116 per barrel.

 

US yields fell across the curve after money markets reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate increase in 2026 to 25% from roughly 35% on Friday.

Two-year Treasury bond rates fell two basis points to 3.89 percent. After the benchmark fell to an August low at the end of last week, S&P 500 futures increased by 0.2 percent. The value of the dollar barely changed. The actions followed missile strikes that tore through the Middle East over the weekend as Iran and its proxies attacked US allies. After a month of fighting, concerns about an escalation increased with the arrival of Iran-backed Houthi forces and a US amphibious assault group.

Some of Wall Street’s largest bond fund managers predicted that yields will begin to decline as the war’s effects on growth become more evident, even though traders have so far mostly concentrated on the inflation shock caused by rising oil prices, sending the Treasury market toward its biggest monthly loss since October 2024

It’s becoming clear that markets are expecting an extended period of high oil prices, with stagflationary implications for the global economy.  According to credit traders, the cost of insuring Asian investment-grade debt increased by roughly two basis points on Monday to about 94 basis points, a level last observed in May of 2025. After a central bank action intended to reduce speculation caused lenders to sell dollars, the Indian rupee saw its biggest increase since February.

Forex Signals March 31: Nike, McCormick MKC, Beyond Meat BYND Earnings Preview Today

Posted on by Skerdian Meta

Nike, Inc., McCormick & Company, and Beyond Meat lead Tuesday’s earnings, which offer crucial insights into consumer trends and demand conditions. Continue reading “Forex Signals March 31: Nike, McCormick MKC, Beyond Meat BYND Earnings Preview Today” →

USAR And TMC Stock Risk Breakdown as Weak Earnings Offset NOAA Regulatory Boost

Posted on by Skerdian Meta

USA Rare Earth and The Metals Company surged on regulatory optimism, but weak earnings have reversed gains and put key support levels at risk. Continue reading “USAR And TMC Stock Risk Breakdown as Weak Earnings Offset NOAA Regulatory Boost” →

QS Stock Slides Toward $5 after $6.50 Break, as Commercial Progress Fails to Lift Sentiment

Posted on by Skerdian Meta

QuantumScape Corporation records its first customer revenue, but weak sentiment and execution concerns continue to push the stock lower toward key support levels. Continue reading “QS Stock Slides Toward $5 after $6.50 Break, as Commercial Progress Fails to Lift Sentiment” →

JPMorgan: Bitcoin Outperforms Gold, Silver Amid Escalating Global Tensions

Posted on by Olumide Adesina

Bitcoin has proven more resilient than gold and silver, while precious metals have faced pressure from significant outflows, forced position unwinds, and declining liquidity.

Managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou oversaw the analysis, which compared flow data, institutional positioning, momentum signals, and liquidity conditions for gold, silver, and Bitcoin

Bitcoin is dropping after risk sentiment climbs.

Gold has dropped by about 15% so far this month. A rally that had driven prices to a record close to $5,500 per ounce in January was reversed by the decline. Silver, which had peaked around $120, declined similarly.

JPMorgan attributes the decline to rising interest rates and a stronger dollar, as well as profit-taking by investors who had accumulated sizable holdings earlier in the year. In the first three weeks of March, withdrawals from gold ETFs totaled almost $11 billion.

Additionally, momentum indicators diverged. Commodity trading advisors and other trend-following investors drastically cut their exposure to gold and silver. For those metals, positioning signals fluctuated between overbought and below-neutral.

Momentum indicators for Bitcoin reversed course, moving from oversold to neutral. Conditions for liquidity also changed significantly. Gold’s market share declined to the point where it now lags behind Bitcoin, reversing a relationship that had previously favored gold.

Silver’s market depth deteriorated even more, which JPMorgan claimed could have contributed to the metal’s recent price drops.

Using data from Chainalysis, the analysts also mentioned an increase in cryptocurrency activity in areas impacted by rising geopolitical tensions. Locals transferred money from local exchanges to international platforms and self-custody wallets. Bitcoin was also practical due to its 24/7 availability, self-custody capability, and borderless settlement.