Is Gold Breaking the the 50 Daily SMA After the Strong Bounce?
Gold turned bearish in February as the data showed a decent bounce in the US economy in the first two months of this year, increasing odds for a 50 bps hike from the FED. But now markets are not so certain, as the data last week came in mixed, while other factors are also helping push the price of Gold higher.
On Friday, the price of GOLD started to increase after figures showed that the number of Americans who applied for unemployment benefits increased the most in the last five months during February. The non-farm payrolls were strong as well, but they weighed further on the USD and increased the uncertainty, which helped Gold.
If there are signs of possible job losses in the future, this will affect the FED’s policy for the upcoming meetings, indicating that the pace of future tightening may need to be reduced. However, unless there is a significantly negative outcome, the FED should keep its hawkish position.
The wages component on the NFP report was not as strong as anticipated, which offset the higher-than-expected numbers in non-farm payrolls, according to the market. As a result, there was a greater sense of risk aversion among traders as the trading week came to a close, leading to a surge in demand for safe-haven assets such as Gold and Silver.
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