Ringgit Hits Multi-Month Low as Iran War Keeps Regional Markets on Edge

Malaysia’s ringgit has not had a good week. Six consecutive sessions of losses brought the currency down 0.7% on Thursday alone, pushing it to nearly 4.00 per dollar, a level not seen since January. What started the year as a modest outperformer has now given back most of those gains, with year-to-date returns down to just 1.7%.

The irony for Malaysia is that it is a net oil exporter, which historically gives the ringgit some insulation when crude prices climb. That buffer has not been enough this time. Anwar Ibrahim came out Wednesday with a commitment to roll out early measures to shore up economic resilience, energy security included, making clear the government sees the risks as real enough to move on now rather than wait.

The Philippines was dealing with its own version of the pressure. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas called a rate meeting nobody had on their calendar, coming in weeks ahead of its April 23 review to tell markets it was holding at 4.25% and watching closely. The country had already gone further earlier in the week, declaring a national energy emergency and pulling the plug on spot electricity trading as fuel supply concerns mounted.

Elsewhere the selling was broad. Seoul dropped 3.2% by the close, standing out even in a down day for the region. Thailand and Indonesia each fell under 2%, while Taiwan and Singapore gave up earlier gains to finish around flat.

Goldman Sachs put a number on the broader damage: foreign investors have net sold around $57 billion in emerging market Asian equities since the war began. Iran’s Foreign Ministry said Thursday it was open to talks if its conditions were met, leaving resolution as uncertain as it has been all week.

Oil Drops, Asia Rallies on Reports of U.S. Push for Iran Ceasefire

Reports of a U.S. peace proposal to Iran moved markets faster than most economic data does. Brent crude slid below $100 a barrel after the story broke, and Asian equities picked up from there. For energy-importing economies across the region, the math is straightforward: lower oil takes pressure off import bills, inflation, and central bank decisions all at once.

Japan put up the biggest numbers, with the Nikkei near 3% and the Topix not far behind at 2.3%. Korea and India each added between 1% and 2%. Australia had a solid session as well, finishing up 2% after a February inflation reading came in slightly softer than the prior month, though underlying price pressure stayed stubborn enough to leave the Reserve Bank of Australia’s next move genuinely uncertain. Mainland China indices picked up about 1% each, while Hong Kong barely moved, reflecting a different set of domestic pressures that a dip in crude prices does little to address.

On the Iran situation, the session’s optimism rested on shaky ground. Trump spoke publicly about active negotiations and described the Iranian side as reasonable. Hours later, officials in Tehran said there were no talks happening.

Markets were essentially buying the American version of the story while the other party was telling a different one. That kind of gap does not usually stay open for long, and how it resolves will matter more for the next few sessions than anything in Wednesday’s closing prices. U.S. futures had already been pointing upward before Asia opened, which gave traders something to lean on early and kept the tone constructive through most of the day.

South Korea Leans on Its Pension Fund Again to Steady the Won

South Korea is once again turning to the National Pension Service to take some pressure off the won. Sources familiar with the matter say the fund has been carrying out strategic currency hedging, a move that speaks to how much the currency has struggled lately and how limited the government’s toolkit has become. The won has not been this weak against the dollar in roughly 15 years, and conventional intervention has only gone so far.

The NPS is not a small player in this. The fund manages close to a trillion dollars in assets, with overseas holdings accounting for the majority of that. That scale means its currency activity moves markets in a way most institutions simply cannot. When the fund sells dollars as part of its hedging program, the impact on the onshore won market is immediate and visible, which is precisely why Seoul keeps reaching for it when the currency comes under pressure.

What is different about the current approach is the deliberate loosening of how the hedging gets executed. The fund previously operated under a fairly rigid framework, with caps on how much of its foreign currency exposure could be hedged at any one time. Authorities have since signaled that those constraints will be applied more adaptively, giving the NPS room to move faster and at different thresholds depending on market conditions. The Bank of Korea also renewed its dollar swap line with the fund, a $65 billion arrangement that allows the NPS to source dollars directly from the central bank rather than buying them in the spot market.

Citigroup analysts put the dollar-won stabilization range at around 1,470 to 1,475, roughly where the hedging activity tends to kick in under the current setup.

For foreign investors, the broader question is sustainability. Using a pension fund as a currency buffer works until it doesn’t, and the structural pressures driving dollar demand in Korea, outflows from equities and ongoing overseas portfolio investment, have not gone away.

Japan Puts Markets on Notice as Yen Slides Toward a Sensitive Level

Tokyo did not stay quiet Monday. Atsushi Mimura, the Finance Ministry official responsible for Japan’s currency policy, came out with remarks that carried more weight than a standard briefing. He said the government has its eye on recent yen moves and is in a position to act if things do not settle down, comments that landed with the dollar sitting uncomfortably close to a level Japan has defended before.

Mimura did not stop at the usual script. He specifically pointed to oil market speculation as something that has been feeding through into currency volatility, which is not a connection Japanese officials typically draw so openly. Crude prices have been running higher on the back of Middle East tensions, and his remarks suggested Tokyo sees the two markets as increasingly linked in how they are affecting the yen.

That linkage is not hard to understand from Japan’s position. The country imports the vast majority of its oil, and a weaker currency on top of already elevated energy prices compounds the problem quickly. Higher import costs feed into broader price pressures, which in turn puts the Bank of Japan in an awkward spot as it tries to gradually unwind the stimulus framework it has leaned on for years.

Following the remarks, the yen edged toward 159.02 before pulling back and settling near 159.40 by end of session. Verbal warnings from Japanese officials tend to produce short-lived moves unless the market believes actual intervention is close behind. Japan stepped in directly in 2024 when the yen crossed 160, drawing on its substantial foreign reserves to defend the currency.

Whether this week’s remarks lead anywhere more concrete will come down to how the dollar trades and whether oil prices give the yen any room to recover on its own.

HFM AND ARSENAL ANNOUNCE MULTI-YEAR, GLOBAL PARTNERSHIP

London, Larnaca, March 20, 2026: HFM, a leading online trading platform, today announces a new multi-year partnership with Arsenal, becoming an Official Global Partner of the club.

Signing Ceremony at Emirates Stadium with (from left to right): Efthymios Mesis, Chief Marketing Officer at HFM; Juliet Slot, Chief Commercial Officer at Arsenal.

The agreement brings together two international brands defined by performance and ambition, united by a shared commitment to long-term success. As HFM continues to expand its global presence, the partnership provides a platform to elevate its brand presence worldwide and engage with Arsenal supporters across the globe.

Signing Ceremony at Emirates Stadium with (from left to right): Juliet Slot, Chief Commercial Officer at Arsenal; Efthymios Mesis, Chief Marketing Officer at HFM; Aaron Ramsey, Arsenal Legend.

As an Official Partner, HFM will benefit from an extensive global rights package, including matchday branding at Emirates Stadium and visibility on Arsenal’s digital platforms, including the recently launched The Arsenal. The partnership will also provide access to club marketing assets and players to create engaging new content and experiences for supporters, launching later this season.

Signing Ceremony at Emirates Stadium with (from left to right): Aaron Ramsey, Arsenal Legend; Efthymios Mesis, Chief Marketing Officer at HFM; Juliet Slot, Chief Commercial Officer at Arsenal; John Keimalis, Communications & PR Manager at HFM.

“This partnership marks an exciting milestone for HFM as we align with one of football’s most iconic clubs,” Efthymios Mesis, Chief Marketing Officer at HFM, said. “Trading and elite sporting performance are both driven by strategic thinking, resilience and the ability to perform under pressure. Through this collaboration, we look forward to creating meaningful global engagement opportunities that reflect our shared commitment to excellence and long-term growth.”

Juliet Slot, Chief Commercial Officer at Arsenal said: “We’re delighted to welcome HFM as an Official Partner of Arsenal. They are a market leader in their field with a strong focus on innovation and long-term success and support our ambition to win major trophies. Partnerships built on shared values help us deliver the best experiences for our supporters around the world, we look forward to working together.”

Arsenal team huddle at Emirates Stadium.

Asia Pacific Markets Find Their Footing Ahead of Fed Rate Call

Wednesday was a decent day for most of Asia, though not for reasons that suggest the turbulence is behind us. Gains showed up across the region with South Korea out front, but position-taking was measured throughout the session. The Federal Reserve concludes its two-day meeting later today, and that alone was enough to keep most traders from making any bold calls before the outcome lands.

Korea stood out. The Kospi jumped more than 4% and the smaller Kosdaq added around 2%, snapping back after a bruising few weeks. Samsung had a lot to do with the earlier pain after the company pushed back its Texas plant production timeline to 2027, which rattled the broader market. Wednesday’s rebound did not erase that, but it gave investors something to point to.

Japan also closed in positive territory. The Nikkei finished up 2.73% and the Topix gained 2.34%, with a stronger trade report doing some of the work. Japanese exports rose 4.2% in February from a year earlier, which came in well above the 1.6% economists had forecast. For a market that has been counting on external demand to pick up some slack, that number arrived at the right time.

The Fed outcome is what everyone is actually waiting for. Rates are widely expected to stay in the 3.5% to 3.75% range, but the decision itself is almost secondary at this point. What markets want to hear is how long policymakers intend to hold, and how they are reading the inflation data that has stayed sticky longer than many anticipated.

Oil is the other variable in the room. Recent attacks on energy infrastructure in the UAE have pushed crude prices higher, and that is a complication investors across the region are folding into their positioning.

Japan’s Crypto Market Grows Up, and Institutions Are Starting to Pay Attention

For most of the past decade, Japan’s relationship with crypto was complicated. The country was an early mover on regulation after the Mt. Gox collapse, but the rules it built treated digital assets essentially like digital cash rather than investment instruments. That framing kept a lot of institutional money on the sidelines.

That is changing in a meaningful way. Japan’s Financial Services Agency has been working to bring crypto under the same legal structure that governs conventional financial products, a shift that carries real weight for institutions that need regulatory clarity before they can allocate. Tighter disclosure standards and clearer custody rules are part of that picture, and for funds that previously had to sidestep the asset class entirely, the direction of travel matters.

The tax treatment is the other piece that had been holding institutional interest back. Crypto gains in Japan were historically lumped in with miscellaneous income, which pushed effective rates high enough to make longer-term positions difficult to justify from a portfolio management standpoint. Recent reforms have moved toward a structure closer to how equities are handled, with provisions that allow losses to be carried forward, giving treasury desks and asset managers something they can actually model.

Corporate Japan is already responding. MetaPlanet, a Tokyo-listed firm, has been building a bitcoin position in a manner that echoes what some U.S. companies began doing several years ago. Separately, established financial groups in Japan are understood to be exploring regulated bitcoin exposure products, which would open the asset class to a much wider pool of domestic institutional capital.

The broader picture here is that Japan is not just updating its rulebook. It is deliberately repositioning itself as a market where institutional capital can operate with confidence, at a time when that kind of clarity is still hard to find in many jurisdictions.

Oracle’s Earnings Give Investors Something to Work With After a Brutal Stretch

Going into Tuesday’s print, Oracle was not in a great spot. The stock had been cut in half from where it traded last September, and the conversation around the company had shifted from growth story to something more uncomfortable. A lot of the worry centered on whether AI would eventually make traditional enterprise software less relevant, and Oracle kept coming up as a name with meaningful exposure to that risk.

Tuesday’s numbers were good enough to interrupt that narrative, at least temporarily. Cloud revenue grew 44% to $8.9 billion, total revenue hit $17.19 billion for the quarter, and adjusted earnings came in at $1.79 a share versus the $1.70 the street was looking for. The stock responded with a roughly 10% move higher before the open.

The part of the report that got the most attention was not on the income statement. Oracle disclosed contracted future revenue of $553 billion, more than four times the level from a year ago, with much of the growth tied to AI infrastructure commitments. Several of those deals are structured so customers either pay ahead of time or bring their own hardware, which matters for a company that critics have flagged for carrying too much debt.

On the earnings call, Ellison did not sidestep the SaaS disruption question. He argued that Oracle is not a company being displaced by AI but one actively building the infrastructure that makes large-scale AI deployments possible. The company raised its fiscal 2027 revenue target to $90 billion in the same breath, a billion above what it had previously guided and ahead of what analysts had modeled.

One quarter does not close the book on Oracle’s challenges. The debt load is still there, and whether these AI contracts translate into the margins investors actually want remains to be seen.

Dubai Warns KuCoin Has No License to Operate in the Emirate

KuCoin picked up another regulatory problem this week. VARA, Dubai’s crypto regulator, put out a public notice naming four corporate entities tied to the exchange, saying they had been taking on Dubai-based users without the approvals required under local law. Alongside that, the regulator took issue with how the exchange had been describing its own status to prospective customers.

VARA said plainly that KuCoin carries no license to do business in Dubai, and that none of its promotional activity in the market had been given the green light. Anyone continuing to use the platform, it added, should understand they are taking on both financial and legal exposure by doing so.

The Dubai notice came just weeks after Austria’s financial regulator moved to stop KuCoin EU from signing up new clients. The Austrian regulator’s concern came down to two things: KuCoin EU’s anti-money laundering setup was not up to standard, and the team responsible for compliance was too small relative to what the business actually required. That finding carried some weight given that KuCoin EU holds a MiCAR license, the EU’s own approval for crypto firms, suggesting the problems developed after the license was granted rather than before it.

Back-to-back actions from Dubai and Vienna within the same month raise a reasonable question about how consistently the exchange is managing its compliance obligations across markets. For regulated investors and institutions, that question matters more than the headlines themselves.

Three Companies Add Strategy’s STRC to Corporate Treasury as Shares Return to Par

Three companies have disclosed positions in Strategy’s preferred equity instrument, STRC, as the security recovered to its $100 par value,  a threshold that allows the company to issue new shares and use the proceeds to acquire additional bitcoin.

Prevalon Energy and Anchorage Digital made their announcements during the “Bitcoin for Corporations” track at Strategy World 2026, held in Las Vegas this week. Benjamin Hunnewell, CFO of Prevalon Energy, described the move as part of a broader capital management strategy. Manuel Andreani, Head of Prime Sales at Anchorage Digital, confirmed the firm holds STRC on its balance sheet and noted that the allocation aligns with its position in regulated bitcoin infrastructure. OranjeBTC, a Brazilian bitcoin treasury company, separately confirmed a similar position at the same conference.

STRC — formally the Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock — carries an 11.25% annual dividend paid monthly and ranks senior to Strategy’s common equity. Its variable dividend mechanism was specifically designed to keep the share price near par even when bitcoin prices fluctuate. Strategy reported the instrument has grown to roughly $3.4 billion in total size, with over $421 million in new shares issued in January 2026 alone.

According to STRC.live, the security briefly touched $100 during Wednesday’s session, with an estimated 22 bitcoin purchased through STRC-related activity. It was again at par in pre-market trading Thursday morning.

When STRC trades at or near par, Strategy can sell additional shares through at-the-market offerings and deploy the proceeds toward bitcoin. That connection between the instrument’s price level and the company’s acquisition capacity makes the return to par a closely watched data point for investors tracking Strategy’s balance sheet activity.