Oracle Stock Down 46%: Can ORCL Recover? Critical Support Levels Ahead

Posted on December 4, 2025 by Konstantin Kaiser

Oracle (ORCL) has plunged 46% over the past three months, putting the tech giant under heavy pressure as investor sentiment turned sharply bearish. This month, however, the stock is showing early signs of strength, bouncing from a key support zone and hinting at a potential short-term reversal. If momentum continues, ORCL could rally toward its next major Fibonacci resistance levels, where the real test of a sustained recovery begins.

Oracle Stock (ORCL) Surged By Over 190 % Since April

Oracle Stock (ORCL) has delivered an exceptional rally, surging more than 190% since April. From April to September, the stock advanced approximately 191% before transitioning into a pronounced correction phase. This pullback has retraced the price back into a key horizontal support zone between $185 and $198.30, where ORCL is currently showing signs of a bullish rebound.

On the monthly chart, the indicators present a mixed outlook. The EMAs remain in a golden crossover, reinforcing the broader long-term bullish trend structure. However, the MACD is flashing early caution, with the histogram having ticked bearishly since last month, and the MACD lines approaching a potential bearish cross. Meanwhile, the RSI sits in neutral territory, offering no clear directional signal at this stage.

Overall, Oracle is at a pivotal technical juncture: supported by strong long-term trend confirmation, yet facing near-term momentum risks that traders should monitor closely.

Oracle Stock Now Faces Major Resistance at the 50-Week EMA at $213.4

Oracle is currently encountering significant resistance at the 50-week EMA at $213.4. This level aligns closely with the former 0.382 Fibonacci support, which has now flipped into resistance at $213.8. A decisive breakout above this confluence zone would open the path toward the next major Fibonacci resistance levels at $246.85 and $290.

Only a confirmed break above the golden ratio at $290 would formally signal the completion of the broader correction phase. In that scenario, Oracle could retest its all-time high near $346, or potentially move beyond it.

The weekly indicators present a mixed technical picture. The EMAs remain in a golden crossover, validating the mid-term bullish trend bias. However, the MACD lines are bearishly crossed, and the histogram has been ticking lower for several consecutive weeks, signaling declining momentum. The RSI, meanwhile, sits in neutral territory and does not provide a clear directional signal.

Overall, Oracle sits at a critical technical inflection point: a breakout above $213.4–$213.8 could re-ignite bullish continuation, while continued rejection at this zone may extend the corrective structure.

Predominantly Bullish Signals on the Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, Oracle is beginning to show increasingly bullish momentum. The MACD lines have crossed bullishly, accompanied by a rising MACD histogram, signaling a strengthening upward shift in short-term momentum. The EMAs continue to hold a golden crossover, reinforcing a bullish trend structure in the short- to medium-term.

Meanwhile, the RSI offers no explicit bullish or bearish signal, remaining in neutral territory. Notably, however, it recently dipped into oversold regions and has since reverted to neutral, a behavior that often aligns with early-stage recovery phases.

Overall, the daily chart now leans bullish, supported by momentum and trend indicators, while remaining structurally neutral on the RSI.

Death Cross on the 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, Oracle exhibits short-term bearish pressure, with the EMAs forming a death cross, confirming a downward trend in this lower time frame. However, the momentum picture contrasts with the EMA structure. The MACD lines are bullishly crossed, and the MACD histogram continues to build a strong upward trend, indicating growing bullish momentum beneath the surface. The RSI remains in neutral territory, offering no immediate directional bias.

Given this mix of signals, the short-term structure suggests that despite the EMA-based bearish trend, Oracle could be positioned for a short-term upward move toward the next Fibonacci resistance levels, supported by improving momentum.

Oracle Stock – Full Technical Summary & Key Levels

Oracle surged by ~191% from April to September before entering a sharp correction down into the key support zone at $185–$198.3, where it is currently showing signs of a bullish rebound.

Monthly Chart:

Long-term trend remains bullish with a golden EMA crossover.
Momentum is weakening: MACD histogram ticking bearish, MACD lines near a bearish cross.
RSI neutral.

Weekly Chart:

Major resistance sits at the 50-week EMA at $213.4, aligned with the 0.382 Fib resistance at $213.8.
If breached, next upside targets are $246.85 and $290.
A break above the golden ratio at $290 would confirm the end of the correction and open the path back toward the ATH at ~$346.
Indicators mixed: EMA golden cross bullish, but MACD bearish and histogram falling; RSI neutral.

Daily Chart:

Structure turning bullish: MACD bullish cross, histogram rising.
EMA golden cross supports short- to medium-term upside.
RSI neutral after recovering from recent oversold levels.

4H Chart:

Short-term EMA structure bearish with a death cross.
Momentum contradicts this: MACD bullish cross and a strongly rising histogram.
RSI neutral.

Overall Outlook:
Despite mixed signals across timeframes, momentum has improved meaningfully on the lower charts. A decisive breakout above $213.4–$213.8 would confirm continuation toward $246.85, $290, and ultimately the ATH at $346.

Will Japan Trigger a Global Liquidation Event? Financial Crisis Warning Signs

Posted on December 3, 2025 by Konstantin Kaiser

Japan’s recent rise in interest rates has shaken global markets, hitting long-dated Japanese government bonds (JGBs) and assets tied to cheap yen funding hardest. For decades, Japan’s near-zero and negative rates fueled a massive carry trade, effectively supplying trillions in low-cost funding to global risk assets. As yields climb, long-duration holders, including domestic pension funds and insurers, face steep losses, while foreign investors unwind positions. The 30-year JGB, in particular, is now under pressure, and a rise to roughly 4.5–5% could trigger widespread liquidation. Such a move would dry up global liquidity, pressure equities and credit markets, and likely force central banks into emergency stimulus. While a rise below ~4% may cause pain, it could be manageable, but surpassing the 4.5% threshold risks systemic stress. This scenario underscores how intertwined Japan’s bond market is with global financial stability.

JP30Y Surged By 1,493 % Since Covid

Since March 2020, the JP30Y yield has skyrocketed by over 1,493%, underscoring a dramatic long-term bullish trend. In the past two months alone, the yield has advanced 13.2%, reflecting continued upward momentum.

On the long-term charts, the monthly EMAs have formed a golden cross, confirming the bullish trend. Momentum indicators further support this view: the MACD lines are bullishly crossed, with the MACD histogram trending higher since last month. The RSI remains in neutral territory, suggesting there is still room for further upside before the market enters overbought conditions.

Overall, JP30Y remains in a strong long-term uptrend, with technical indicators aligned for continued bullish pressure.

Why has JP30Y been rising since COVID?

COVID stimulus: BoJ and the government flooded the market with liquidity and huge bond purchases. Yields were ultra-low (sometimes even negative).
Inflation fears / global pressure: After 2021, inflation pressures globally started rising. Even Japan, historically low inflation, saw upward pressure on rates.
BoJ YCC adjustments: BoJ’s Yield Curve Control (YCC) tried to cap 10Y yields near 0%, but markets increasingly tested long-term yields, pushing the 30Y up.
Market repricing: Investors expect global rates (especially US yields) to stay higher; Japanese long-term bonds need to offer more to remain attractive.

Japanese Yen Has Tanked 11,35 % Since April

The JPY/USD has declined sharply, losing approximately 11.35% since April, reflecting sustained bearish pressure over the past several months. The pair currently finds key support between $0.006176 and $0.00633, a zone where a potential bullish rebound could materialize. On the upside, the next significant Fibonacci resistances are located at $0.00665 and $0.0069, providing clear levels for potential profit-taking or reversal attempts.

From a momentum perspective, the MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, though the MACD histogram has been trending higher since last week, suggesting some short-term bullish divergence. The RSI is moving in neutral territory, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions at present.

Trend analysis on the weekly chart confirms the bearish medium-term structure, as the EMAs continue to display a death cross, reinforcing the ongoing downward trend. Overall, while the mid-term trend remains bearish, the current support zone could act as a pivot for a short-term corrective bounce.

Bitcoin Has Dropped By Roughly 36 %

Over the last few weeks, Bitcoin has retraced approximately 36%, falling from around $126,300 to $80,000 USD. The pair currently appears to be bouncing off the 0.382 Fibonacci support zone between $78,000 and $84,000, having already surged roughly 16%. On the upside, the next significant Fibonacci resistances lie at $98,000 and $109,000, with a break above the golden ratio level at $109,000 required to invalidate the ongoing corrective phase.

The technical indicators present mixed signals. The MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, while the RSI sits in neutral territory, yet the MACD histogram is ticking higher this week, suggesting emerging bullish momentum. Additionally, the EMAs continue to display a golden cross, confirming the mid-term bullish trend.

Overall, Bitcoin is in a corrective bounce phase, with key Fibonacci levels and EMA structure providing guidance for the next potential move.

US Tech Sector Technical Overview

Over the last six weeks, the US tech sector has retraced roughly 17%, reflecting short-term bearish pressure. The sector currently finds key Fibonacci support levels at approximately $188 and $160, with the 50-week EMA providing additional support at $175.

From a trend perspective, the weekly EMAs and MACD lines remain bullishly crossed, confirming the mid-term uptrend. However, the MACD histogram has been ticking lower over the past four weeks, signaling weakening momentum, while the RSI remains in neutral territory.

Overall, despite recent short-term weakness, the sector retains its mid-term bullish structure, with Fibonacci levels and EMA support acting as potential pivot points for a rebound.

Closing Thoughts

Japan’s government debt is massive — over 235 % of GDP, with trillions of dollars in Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) mostly held domestically. The Bank of Japan’s long-term support of bond prices has kept yields very low, encouraging global investors to borrow cheap yen and invest abroad (the “yen carry trade”). If Japanese yields rise, it forces domestic and foreign investors to repatriate capital or sell foreign assets to cover losses. This reduces global money supply and liquidity, making borrowing costlier worldwide. Higher yields also pressure stock markets, as investors rotate out of equities into safer bonds and financing costs for companies rise. Emerging markets and leveraged borrowers are particularly vulnerable. In short, rising Japanese interest rates can tighten global credit, reduce liquidity, and push stock prices down globally, acting as a multiplier of financial stress.

Xiaomi Stock Outlook: XIAFC Stock Could Face Further Downside

Posted on November 30, 2025 by Konstantin Kaiser

Xiaomi’s stock has been in a sustained six-month downtrend, sliding from nearly $9 to around $4.70 and effectively cutting its valuation in half. Yet despite this steep decline, the chart suggests the move may not be finished. Multiple key support zones sit below current price levels, indicating that Xiaomi could still face additional downside before establishing a durable bottom.

Xiaomi Stock Could See Further Downside Towards Golden Ratio Support

Xiaomi remains firmly entrenched in a multi-month downtrend, and the chart continues to open the door for further retracement. The next major structural support sits at $3.80, aligning with the golden ratio Fib level, which represents the most meaningful convergence of buyers on the current leg lower. Below that, Xiaomi faces an additional layer of long-term support at the 50-month EMA around $3.46, a level that historically acts as a cyclical inflection point.

Momentum conditions further support the downside bias: the MACD lines are on the verge of a bearish crossover, while the MACD histogram continues to trend lower, signaling accelerating bearish momentum. At the same time, the RSI remains in neutral territory, offering no countertrend signals and leaving room for continued price weakness.

Xiaomi Stock Bounces Off Support Zone

Xiaomi is currently attempting a bullish rebound from the horizontal support zone between $4.15 and $4.87, a region that has historically acted as a strong demand cluster. This reaction coincides with the MACD histogram beginning to tick higher on the weekly timeframe, marking the first bullish shift after several consecutive weeks of downside momentum.

If Xiaomi extends this rebound, it will face its first major hurdle at the 50-week EMA around $5.82. A decisive break above that level would open the path toward the 0.382 Fib resistance at $6.34, where the price was rejected just two weeks ago. Beyond that, the next major structural barrier is the golden ratio resistance at $7.50—a level that must be reclaimed to formally invalidate the broader correction phase and reestablish a sustained bullish trend.

Death Cross on the Xiaomi Stock Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, momentum has begun to stabilize: the MACD lines have crossed bullishly, and the MACD histogram is currently ticking higher, signaling improving short-term momentum. The RSI remains neutral, providing neither overbought nor oversold signals.

However, despite this short-term strength, the broader trend remains bearish. The 50-day EMA has now crossed below the 200-day EMA, forming a death cross and confirming a bearish short- to medium-term trend structure. Even so, Xiaomi appears to be in the midst of a near-term upward push, with the next significant resistance zone coming into view at the clustered 50-day and 200-day EMAs near $6.

Similar Outlook on the Xiaomi 4H Chart

The 4H chart reflects a similar mixed structure. The EMAs have also formed a death cross, reinforcing a bearish short-term trend bias despite the recent rebound. At the same time, momentum indicators are turning upward: the MACD lines have crossed bullishly, the MACD histogram continues to tick higher, and the RSI remains neutral, leaving room for further upside without signaling exhaustion.

In the immediate term, Xiaomi faces resistance at the 50-4H EMA around $5.50, which represents the first barrier the price must clear before any attempt at a more substantial short-term rally.

Xiaomi Stock — Summary & Key Levels

Xiaomi has been in a clear downtrend, losing nearly half its value over the past six months as it slid from $9 down to $4.7. The broader trend remains bearish, with the weekly and 4H charts both showing death crosses on the EMAs, reinforcing downside momentum.

Despite short-term bullish signals on the 4H MACD, momentum remains weak overall, and the RSI stays neutral with no strong reversal signal yet.

Key Levels to Watch:

Immediate Resistance: $5.5 (4H 50 EMA)
Major Resistance: $6.2 and $7.5
Current Support: $4.15 – $4.87
Major Support Zone: $3.8–$4.2 — a critical level that, if broken, could open the door to further downside.

Overall, Xiaomi remains under pressure unless the price can reclaim the key EMA resistances and break above $5.5 with volume.

Should You Buy Nvidia After the Sell-Off? Expert Breakdown of NVDA’s Correction

Posted on November 30, 2025 by Konstantin Kaiser

Nvidia’s ~20% monthly drawdown has sparked broad market panic, but technically this move is far less dramatic than it looks. The sell-off is a standard retracement within an extended parabolic advance — a long-overdue correction in a market that had been priced for endless growth. Key structural support remains lower, and current volatility profiles indicate the corrective leg is not yet complete.

Nvidia Stock Price Drops By 20 % This Month

Nvidia has retraced roughly 20% this month, sliding from its all-time high of $212 to the $170 region. Despite the magnitude of the pullback, the broader trend structure remains decisively intact. The MACD histogram has begun to roll over bearishly on the monthly timeframe, but both the MACD lines and key EMAs still maintain a bullish cross, confirming that the long-term trend bias remains upward. RSI sits in a neutral zone, offering no clear momentum skew in either direction.

From a structural standpoint, Nvidia’s next meaningful Fibonacci support aligns near the $165 level — a zone where the stock could reasonably attempt a bullish reaction and resume its primary uptrend.

Nvidia Stock Yet To Reach Significant Fib Support

If Nvidia manages to reclaim momentum and bounce, the chart presents initial Fibonacci resistance at $186, followed by a more critical barrier at $195. A decisive break above the $195 golden ratio is essential for confirming an end to the corrective phase. Failure to clear this level keeps the risk tilted toward further downside.

On the other hand, a breakdown below the 0.382 Fib support at $164 would open the door to an extension of the correction toward the 50-week EMA near $156. If that dynamic support also gives way, the next major Fibonacci demand zone lies at the $130 golden ratio, which marks a deeper structural support.

From a trend perspective, the EMAs remain bullishly aligned, reaffirming mid-term trend strength. However, momentum indicators show a contrasting picture: the MACD lines are bearishly crossed and the histogram continues to trend lower, while the RSI sits in neutral territory, offering no clear directional bias.

Nvidia Set To Continue Downward Movement

Nvidia appears positioned to extend its downward movement. The 0.382 Fib level near $186 is reinforced by the 50-day EMA, creating a confluence of resistance on the daily chart. To the downside, the 200-day EMA aligns with the 0.382 Fib level around $162, serving as the next layer of structural support.

Daily indicators present a mixed picture. The EMAs still maintain a golden crossover, keeping the short- to medium-term trend technically bullish. However, the MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, the RSI sits in neutral territory, and the MACD histogram has just started to tick higher, suggesting early signs of bullish momentum despite prevailing downside pressure.

Nvidia

Nvidia Hits Support At the 200-4H-EMA

Nvidia is currently holding at a key intraday support level, the 200-4H EMA at $177. A bullish reaction here would open the path toward the 0.382 Fib retracement at $186, where the 50-4H EMA adds an additional layer of resistance.

Momentum, however, remains weak. The MACD lines are bearishly crossed, the MACD histogram continues to tick lower, and the RSI sits in neutral territory, reflecting a lack of directional conviction. On the bullish side, the EMAs still display a golden crossover, which confirms the trend bullishly in the short-term. Until momentum reverses, the 4H chart favors continued corrective pressure despite the support presently in play.

Nvidia (NVDA) – Technical Summary & Key Levels

NVDA has retraced roughly 20% from its $212 ATH, forming a controlled correction within a still-intact long-term uptrend. Momentum has softened across multiple timeframes, and the chart leaves room for additional downside before major structural support comes into play.

Key Support Levels

$177 – 200-4H EMA (current intraday support)
$165–164 – Major Fib support zone (0.382)
$162 – 200-day EMA
$156 – 50-week EMA
$130 – Major Golden Ratio support (higher-timeframe)

Key Resistance Levels

$186 – 0.382 Fib + 50-4H EMA
$195 – Golden Ratio resistance (break needed to end correction)

Indicators

EMAs: Bullishly crossed on higher timeframes (trend intact)
MACD: Bearish crosses across several timeframes; histogram weak
RSI: Neutral on all major timeframes
Momentum: Mixed, leaning corrective until momentum indicators flip

Bias:
Correction remains active. NVDA likely continues downward/sideways unless it reclaims $195 with strength. A breakdown of $164–162 would expose $156, with $130 as the deeper structural target.

Why Netflix (NFLX) Shares May Fall Another 15% From Here

Posted on November 24, 2025 by Konstantin Kaiser

Netflix shares have been under significant pressure over the past six months, shedding more than 22.6% as sellers steadily regained control. Despite the depth of the decline, the technical and fundamental landscape suggests the stock may not have found a floor yet.

The latest blow came in Q3 2025, when Netflix reported EPS of $5.87, falling well short of market expectations. The earnings miss was primarily driven by an unexpected $619 million tax expense tied to a long-standing dispute in Brazil, which materially distorted the quarter’s profitability. This combination of sustained technical weakness and a notable fundamental setback leaves the stock vulnerable to further downside momentum.

Netflix Stock (NFLX) Could See a Further 15% Downside

Even after a sharp 22.6% decline, Netflix may still have room to fall. A continued correction of roughly 15% would bring the stock into alignment with the significant 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at $89, where a bullish reaction becomes likely. If that level fails to hold, the next major downside target is the 50-month EMA at $72.3. A break below that would expose the golden ratio support at $60, which represents the final major structural support on the long-term chart.

From an indicator perspective, the monthly chart presents mixed signals. The EMAs continue to maintain a golden crossover, keeping the long-term trend technically intact. However, the MACD lines have crossed bearishly, and the MACD histogram has been ticking lower for many consecutive months, reflecting persistent momentum loss. Meanwhile, the RSI remains in neutral territory, offering no immediate directional bias.

Overall, while the broader trend is still technically bullish, momentum clearly favors the bears — and Netflix may need to test deeper support levels before establishing a durable bottom.

Netflix

Netflix Seems to Break the 50-Week EMA Support Bearishly

Netflix currently appears to be breaking below the 50-week EMA at $107.25, a key trend-support level. A confirmed breakdown could drag the stock further toward the next major Fibonacci support at $89.

While the EMAs still display a golden crossover, keeping the mid-term trend technically bullish, momentum indicators show clear bearish pressure. The MACD lines are bearishly crossed, and the MACD histogram has begun ticking lower again this week, indicating renewed downside momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI remains in neutral territory, offering no countertrend signal.

If Netflix manages to bounce bullishly from the 0.382 Fib support at $89, the stock could target the next major Fib resistances at $106 and $118.

Netflix Faced Rejection at the 50-Day EMA Resistance

A few days ago, Netflix was rejected at the 50-day EMA resistance at $114.7, triggering renewed downside pressure. From there, the stock broke below the 200-day EMA at $110.6, confirming a bearish shift in near-term momentum.

Despite this weakness, the daily EMAs still maintain a golden crossover, which technically keeps the short- to medium-term trend bullish. However, momentum indicators lean bearish: the MACD lines have crossed down, and the MACD histogram continues to tick lower, signaling strengthening downside momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI remains neutral, providing no clear directional signal.

Should Netflix attempt an unexpected upward move, the stock faces strong Fibonacci resistance at $115 and $123. Only a decisive breakout above the golden ratio at $123 would invalidate the current correction phase and re-establish a bullish structure.

Death Cross on the 4H Chart

On the 4H chart, the EMAs have formed a death cross, confirming the short-term trend as bearish. In addition, the MACD lines are bearishly crossed, and the MACD histogram has been ticking lower, signaling persistent downside momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI remains in neutral territory, offering no countertrend signal.

Overall, the 4H indicators present a decisively bearish outlook, with momentum and trend structure both favoring further downside in the short term.

Summary

Netflix has dropped more than 22.6% over the past six months and technicals suggest the correction may not be over. The stock is currently breaking below the 50-week EMA at $107.25, exposing downside toward the major 0.382 Fibonacci support at $89. A failure there would open the path toward the 50-month EMA at $72.3, and ultimately the golden ratio support at $60.

On the daily chart, Netflix was rejected at the 50-day EMA at $114.7 and subsequently broke the 200-day EMA at $110.6. The EMAs maintain golden crossovers on higher timeframes, but momentum indicators lean bearish across the board: MACD lines are bearishly crossed on weekly, daily, and 4H charts, and the MACD histogram is consistently ticking lower.

If Netflix stages a bullish reaction at support, the nearest resistance levels sit at $106, $115, $118, and the key golden ratio at $123, which must be broken to end the correction. In the short term, the 4H chart confirms a death cross and broad bearish momentum.

Overall, Netflix remains vulnerable to further downside unless it can hold $89 and reclaim resistance levels up to $123.

Alphabet (Google) Stock Skyrockets in 2025 Amid Tech Stock Market Crash

Posted on November 24, 2025 by Konstantin Kaiser

This year, Alphabet (Google) has delivered an impressive rally, climbing more than 118% from its April low and outperforming much of the tech sector. With investors piling back into AI-driven growth stories and Alphabet posting strong fundamentals, the question now is whether this momentum marks the start of a larger breakout—or if the stock is nearing a point where a healthy correction becomes likely.

Google Stock Remains Unshaken Despite the Broader Tech Sell-Off

Alphabet (Google) continues to demonstrate exceptional relative strength, posting a remarkable 118% rally since April—and doing so entirely unfazed by the sharp tech correction this month that dragged many high-growth names down 10–20%. Price action shows no sign of participating in the broader downturn; instead, Google has maintained its upward trajectory without meaningful retracement.

From a technical standpoint, the setup remains decisively bullish. The MACD lines are firmly crossed to the upside, supported by a strongly rising MACD histogram, reinforcing sustained momentum behind the move. In addition, the key EMAs are aligned in a bullish formation, confirming the long-term trend structure on higher timeframes.

While the RSI currently sits in overbought territory, it is not flashing any bearish divergence or reversal signals. In the context of a strong trend, overbought conditions often reflect persistent institutional buying rather than exhaustion.

Overall, Google’s chart shows continued dominance, trend integrity, and strong momentum—standing out as one of the few major tech names untouched by the recent sector-wide pullback.

Google Stock Shows Bullish Strength on the Weekly Chart

On the weekly timeframe, Alphabet (Google) continues to exhibit strong trend structure. The EMAs remain in a golden crossover, confirming a sustained bullish bias in the mid-term and signaling that momentum remains firmly on the upside. In addition, the MACD lines are cleanly crossed to the upside, while the MACD histogram has begun ticking higher again this month, indicating renewed bullish acceleration.

The RSI is trading in overbought territory, which reflects strong trend momentum, but it also opens the door for a potential bearish divergence if price makes a new high while momentum does not. This is something traders should monitor closely.

If Google enters a corrective phase, the chart offers several well-defined support zones. The next significant Fibonacci retracement levels sit at $243 and $200, providing the first layers of structural support. Around $209, the 50-week EMA adds further confluence and may serve as a dynamic support level during any pullback. Should these areas fail, the broader long-term structure remains intact as long as Google stays above the 200-week EMA near $158, which represents the major cyclical support zone.

Overall, the weekly chart continues to lean decisively bullish, but it is approaching levels where a controlled pullback would be technically healthy.

Bearish Divergence on the Daily RSI

On the daily chart, Google is beginning to show signs of momentum fatigue. The RSI is printing a clear bearish divergence, which introduces the possibility of a near-term correction as price continues making higher highs while momentum starts to lag. Should this divergence play out, Google could retrace toward the 50-day EMA around $262.5, or extend the pullback toward the 0.382 Fibonacci support near $243.

Despite this short-term warning signal, the broader technical picture remains constructive. The MACD lines are still crossed to the upside, and the MACD histogram has been ticking higher over the past several days, signaling ongoing bullish momentum. Additionally, the EMAs continue to hold a golden crossover, indicating a firmly intact trend structure.

Taken together, while the bearish RSI divergence suggests a possible short-term cooling phase, the overall trend remains bullishly confirmed in the short- to medium-term.

Similar Outlook on the 4H Chart

The 4H chart echoes the same structure seen on the daily timeframe. The RSI is forming a bearish divergence, signaling that upward momentum may be weakening even as price continues to push higher. In contrast, both the MACD and the EMAs are still generating bullish signals, underscoring that the underlying trend remains intact for now.

If Google enters a short-term pullback, the chart offers clearly defined support zones. The first major level sits at the 50-4H EMA around $278, a dynamic support area where price has bounced bullishly multiple times in recent sessions. Below that, the 200-4H EMA aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near $243, creating a strong confluence zone of secondary support.

Overall, the 4H chart maintains a bullish structure but carries the same cautionary divergence seen on higher timeframes.

Summary: Key Technical Levels for Google Stock

Google continues to show exceptional strength across all major timeframes, having rallied 118% since April and remaining unaffected by the recent 10–20% tech-sector sell-off. The broader trend structure is decisively bullish, with golden EMA crossovers present on the weekly, daily, and 4H charts, alongside bullish MACD signals and rising histograms.

However, momentum indicators are flashing early warning signs. A strong bearish RSI divergence appears on both the daily and 4H charts, and the RSI on the weekly timeframe is overbought and at risk of forming a bearish divergence.

If a pullback develops, the most important support levels to watch are:

4H timeframe:
- 50-4H EMA at $278
- 200-4H EMA and 0.382 Fib at $243
Daily timeframe:
- 50-day EMA at $262.5
- 0.382 Fib at $243
Weekly timeframe:
- Key Fib supports at $243 and $200
- 50-week EMA around $209
- 200-week EMA near $158 (major long-term support)

Despite potential short-term cooling, the trend remains bullishly aligned in the short- to medium-term as long as these support levels continue to hold.

Is a Bullish Rebound Coming for PayPal Stock?

Posted on November 15, 2025 by Konstantin Kaiser

PayPal (PYPL) stock has faced steep losses since last year, falling from around $93.50 to $56. Since then, the stock has experienced volatile trading, oscillating between key support and resistance levels.

PayPal Stock Price Drops from $93.50 to $56, Key Levels to Watch

Since December last year, PayPal (PYPL) stock has nearly halved, falling from roughly $93.50 to $56. Following this sharp decline, the stock staged a strong recovery, climbing to the golden ratio resistance at $80, where it faced bearish rejection twice. The price subsequently retraced to the golden ratio support at $65, which has successfully held over the past three months.

Moving forward, PayPal may continue oscillating between the $65 support and $80 resistance levels. A bullish breakout above $80 could propel the stock toward the 50-month EMA at $86 or even the recent high near $94. Conversely, a bearish break below $65 could open the door to a decline toward the last local low around $56.

On the indicators side, the MACD histogram on the monthly chart shows a strong downtrend, while the MACD lines remain bullishly crossed, and the RSI sits in neutral territory, signaling potential for further directional movement depending on key support and resistance levels.

PayPal Stock Drops 18% Over the Past Two Weeks

Over the last two weeks, PayPal (PYPL) stock has declined by 18%, reaching the golden ratio support near $65. The stock has also consistently closed below the 50-week EMA resistance at $70.60 over the past four months.

On the weekly chart, indicators signal medium-term bearish momentum: the MACD lines have crossed bearishly, the MACD histogram is trending lower, and the EMAs have formed a death cross, confirming the bearish trend. Meanwhile, the RSI remains in neutral territory, providing no immediate bullish or bearish signals.

Death Cross Appears on PayPal Daily Chart

On the daily chart, PayPal’s EMAs formed a death cross in August, confirming a bearish trend in the short- to medium-term. The MACD lines are bearishly crossed, and the MACD histogram has started to tick lower today, following a brief bullish uptick over the past three days. Meanwhile, the RSI remains in neutral territory, providing no immediate bullish or bearish signal.

Similar Bearish Outlook on the PayPal 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour chart, PayPal’s EMAs also display a death cross, confirming a short-term bearish trend. Additionally, the MACD lines are bearishly crossed, and the MACD histogram continues to trend lower, while the RSI remains neutral, providing no clear directional signal.

PayPal (PYPL) Stock Technical Summary

Current Price: ~$65
Short-Term Resistance: 50-week EMA near $70.60, golden ratio resistance at $80
Short-Term Support: Golden ratio support at $65, last local low near $56
Long-Term Support: historical lows between $50 and $56
Indicators:
- MACD: Bearishly crossed on daily/weekly/4H charts; histogram trending lower
- RSI: Neutral across most timeframes
- EMAs: Death crosses on weekly, daily and 4H charts

Outlook:

Short-term: Correction ongoing; key support at $65 critical.
Medium-term: Bearish signals dominate as long as price stays below $70–$71.
Long-term: Trend remains cautiously bullish on the monthly chart, provided monthly EMAs and golden ratio support hold.

Nvidia Stock Tumbles Over 15% During Market Sell-Off

Posted on November 15, 2025 by Konstantin Kaiser

This month, Nvidia (NVDA) stock has dropped sharply by 15% amid a broad market selloff. The key question now: will the correction continue, or is a rebound imminent?

Nvidia Stock Drops 15% — Is More Downside Ahead?

Nvidia’s stock has fallen sharply this month, dropping around 15%, and the technical structure suggests that further downside remains possible. If the decline extends, NVDA could retest the 0.382 Fibonacci support near $165, a key level where buyers may step in and reassert the broader uptrend. Should this level fail to hold, the next major support zone lies between the golden ratio at $130 and the historical support around $141.

Despite the recent pullback, the MACD lines remain bullishly crossed, and the EMAs continue to confirm a long-term bullish trend, suggesting that broader momentum remains intact. However, early signs of cooling are visible: the MACD histogram has begun ticking lower, and the RSI has exited overbought territory, returning to neutral levels and signaling a moderation in upside momentum.

More Bearish Signals on the Nvidia Weekly Chart

On the weekly chart, indicators present a mixed picture. The EMAs continue to display a golden crossover, confirming a mid-term bullish trend, while the MACD lines remain bullishly crossed and the RSI stays in neutral territory. However, the MACD histogram began trending lower last week, signaling growing short-term bearish pressure. Should Nvidia extend its correction, the 50-week EMA near $154 provides a key support level.

Nvidia Finds Immediate Support at the 50-Day EMA

Nvidia currently finds key support at the 50-day EMA near $186, which could provide a bullish bounce toward the all-time high at $212. If this support fails, the stock may extend its decline toward the 0.382 Fibonacci level around $165 or even the 200-day EMA near $160. In the short term, the MACD lines have crossed bearishly and the MACD histogram is trending lower, while the RSI remains in neutral territory. Nonetheless, the EMAs continue to display a golden crossover, confirming a bullish structure in the short- to medium-term trend.

Similar Outlook on the 4-Hour Chart: Mixed Signals for Nvidia

On the 4-hour chart, indicators present a mixed picture. The MACD lines have crossed bearishly and the MACD histogram is trending lower, while the RSI remains neutral. Meanwhile, the EMAs continue to display a golden crossover, supporting a short-term bullish trend. Currently, Nvidia remains in an ongoing correction phase as long as the stock does not decisively break above the golden ratio resistance near $201.

Nvidia Stock Technical Summary

Current Price: ~$187
Short-Term Resistance: Golden ratio at $201,
Short-Term Support: 50-day EMA near $186–$187, 0.382 Fibonacci at $165, 200-day EMA near $160
Medium-Term Support: 50-week EMA at $154
Long-Term Support: Golden ratio at $130, historical support near $141
Indicators:
- MACD: Mixed — bearishly crossed on 4H/daily charts, bullishly crossed on weekly/monthly charts; histogram ticking lower
- RSI: Neutral across most timeframes
- EMAs: Golden crossover intact → trend bullish in short- to long-term

Outlook:

Short-term: Ongoing correction; a break above $201 could resume bullish momentum.
Medium-term: Support at $154–$165 critical to maintain bullish structure.
Long-term: Trend remains bullish as long as weekly/monthly EMAs and key support levels hold.

eBay Stock Plunges 22%: Is a Strong Recovery on the Horizon?

Posted on November 15, 2025 by Konstantin Kaiser

Last month, eBay’s stock tumbled nearly 22%, approaching key Fibonacci support levels. This month, however, the stock has shown signs of a rebound. Can eBay recover and retest its all-time highs?

eBay Stock Shows Rebound After Sharp Decline

Last month, eBay’s stock plummeted nearly 22%, testing the key Fibonacci support level near $77. Despite this steep drop, the stock has staged a rapid recovery this month and is currently trading at $84.40. On the technical front, the MACD lines have formed a bullish crossover, signaling positive momentum, although the MACD histogram showed a brief bearish tick last month. Meanwhile, the RSI remains in neutral territory, indicating room for further directional movement.

If eBay’s current correction continues, the stock could potentially revisit the next significant golden ratio support near $60, where the 50-month EMA offers additional backing. Beyond that, eBay maintains major support between the 200-month EMA at $39.60 and the golden ratio level around $45. Holding above these zones would preserve the integrity of the broader bullish trend.

Long-term trend analysis remains constructive: the EMAs on the monthly chart still display a golden crossover, reinforcing the overall bullish structure and confirming that the long-term uptrend remains intact.

eBay Stock Gains 12% After Holding Key Support

This week, eBay’s stock has rebounded roughly 12% after finding support above the 50-week EMA and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zone between $77 and $78.30. Despite this bounce, the MACD lines have crossed bearishly, and the MACD histogram has been trending lower for the past three weeks, while the RSI remains in neutral territory, suggesting indecision in momentum.

On the medium-term outlook, the EMAs continue to display a golden crossover, reinforcing a bullish structure. However, if the support zone between $77 and $78.30 fails to hold, eBay could potentially decline toward the next significant golden ratio support at $60, where the 200-week EMA provides additional backing.

eBay Stock Faces Rejection at 50-Day EMA Resistance

Today, eBay’s stock encountered resistance at the 50-day EMA near $89, resulting in a potential pullback toward the 200-day EMA at $80.60, which serves as the next significant support level.

Despite this short-term setback, the EMAs continue to display a golden crossover, confirming a bullish trend in the medium term. The MACD histogram remains positive, with the MACD lines showing the potential for a bullish crossover in the near term. Meanwhile, the RSI remains neutral, signaling no immediate overbought or oversold conditions.

Similar Outlook on the 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour chart, the 50-4H EMA aligns closely with the 50-day EMA at $88.22, acting as a strong resistance level. Currently, eBay appears to be extending its correction phase, which could drive the price toward the 0.382 Fibonacci support at $77.

Short-term indicators show caution: the EMAs may soon form a death cross, signaling a bearish trend in the near term. The MACD histogram is trending lower, though the MACD lines remain bullishly crossed, and the RSI continues to hover in neutral territory, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressure.

eBay Stock Technical Summary

Current Price: $84.40
Short-Term Resistance: 50-day / 50-4H EMA near $88–$89
Short-Term Support: 200-day EMA at $80.60, 0.382 Fib at $77
Medium-Term Trend: EMAs still display a golden crossover → bullish
Medium-Term Support: 50-week EMA & 0.382 Fib at $77–$78.30; next major support at $60 (50-month / 200-week EMA)
Long-Term Trend: Monthly EMAs maintain golden crossover → overall bullish trend intact
Long-Term Support: 200-month EMA at $39.60, golden ratio at $45
Indicators:
- MACD: Mixed signals — bullish crossover in medium-term, short-term histogram ticking lower
- RSI: Neutral across timeframes

Outlook:

Short-term: Potential pullback toward $77–$80.60 if resistance at $88–$89 holds
Medium- to long-term: Trend remains bullish as long as key weekly/monthly support levels hold

Microsoft Stock Pulls Back: Is This the Beginning of a Major Downtrend?

Posted on November 15, 2025 by Konstantin Kaiser

Microsoft has seen unusually high volatility over the past five months. The stock recently printed a new all-time high at $555.50—yet the price action continues to show instability beneath the surface, repeatedly swinging between $492 and $555.

Microsoft Stock (MSFT) Approaches Key Fibonacci Support Levels

Microsoft (MSFT) has spent the past five months oscillating within a broad consolidation range between $492 and $555, following a powerful advance from roughly $350 to $555 in the four months prior—a move that delivered an impressive 61% gain. This extended sideways structure now carries a clear corrective tone, and price is beginning to gravitate toward the next meaningful retracement levels.

The first key downside target sits at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $475.4. A confirmed breakdown below this level would expose MSFT to its next major support zone at the 0.618 “golden ratio” at $420, which represents the deepest retracement that can occur while preserving the structural integrity of the broader uptrend.

From an indicator standpoint, the monthly MACD lines remain in a bullish crossover, reflecting intact long-term momentum, but the MACD histogram has been declining since last month, signaling waning upside momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI remains in neutral territory but is edging toward overbought conditions, further supporting the likelihood of continued corrective price action before a sustained trend resumes.

Moreover, the golden EMA crossover remains firmly intact, reinforcing that the broader long-term trend continues to lean bullish, even as short-term pressures build.

Microsoft

Microsoft Stock (MSFT) Finds Additional Support at the 50-Week EMA

Just below the key 0.382 Fibonacci support at $475, Microsoft (MSFT) finds another significant level at the 50-week EMA around $471, adding confluence to the current support zone. Further below, the 200-week EMA at roughly $379 provides additional structural support within the broader historical demand area between $350 and $390. If MSFT loses its immediate Fib levels, price could ultimately revisit this deeper support cluster.

From a technical-indicator standpoint, the signals remain mixed. The EMA structure still maintains a golden crossover, confirming that the mid-term trend remains bullish. However, the MACD lines are bearishly crossed, and the MACD histogram has declined for three consecutive weeks, reflecting weakening momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI continues to hover in neutral territory, offering no strong directional bias.

Microsoft Stock (MSFT) Faces Rejection at the 50-Day EMA

MSFT is currently encountering resistance at the 50-day EMA near $513, where today’s price action shows a clear rejection. This increases the probability of a retracement toward the recent local low at $492.40, or even a deeper pullback into the 200-day EMA at $479.60, which sits just above the 0.382 Fibonacci support at $475.

Despite today’s bearish reaction, momentum signals are showing early improvement. The MACD histogram has been rising for four consecutive sessions, and the EMAs continue to maintain a golden crossover, keeping the short- to medium-term trend structurally bullish. However, the MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, and the RSI is neutral, offering no immediate directional confirmation.

If Microsoft initiates a new impulse to the upside, it faces notable Fibonacci resistances at $516 and $530. A decisive break above the golden ratio at $530 would invalidate the broader corrective structure and open the door for a retest of the all-time high at $555, with the potential for continuation into price discovery.

A Rare Occurrence: The 50-4H EMA Aligns Perfectly With the 50-Day EMA

On the 4-hour chart, an unusual technical alignment appears: the 50-4H EMA matches the exact value of the 50-day EMA. This is a rare scenario and implies that the market’s exponentially weighted price behavior over the past 8 days mirrors that of the past 50 days. In other words, short-term and medium-term momentum have been moving in near-perfect sync—often a precursor to an inflection.

At the moment, Microsoft is finding meaningful support at the 200-4H EMA around $502.30, a level that could facilitate a bullish rebound. To the upside, however, the 50-4H EMA at $513 remains a major resistance zone—the exact level where MSFT recently encountered rejection.

The EMA structure on the 4H chart still displays a golden crossover, maintaining a bullish trend bias even in the short-term. But momentum is beginning to soften: the MACD histogram has started to tick lower, and the MACD lines are on the verge of a bearish cross, signalling potential short-term weakness. The RSI remains neutral, offering no divergence or directional edge for now.

MSFT Technical Summary — Key Levels & Outlook

Microsoft has been consolidating between $492 and $555 for five months after rallying 61% from $350 to $555. The broader structure shows signs of a corrective phase, with major downside levels now in focus.

Key Support Levels

$502 — 200-4H EMA
$492.40 — recent local low
$479.60 — 200-day EMA
$475.40 — 0.382 Fib support
$420 — golden ratio Fib support
$350–390 — historical support zone aligned with the 200-week EMA (~$379)

Key Resistance Levels

$513 — 50-day-EMA
$516 — first major Fib resistance
$530 — golden ratio resistance (breakout level; correction invalidation)
$555 — all-time high
> $555 — price discovery potential

Trend & Indicators

Monthly MACD: lines bullishly crossed; histogram declining
Weekly MACD: bearish cross; histogram falling for three weeks
Monthly, Weekly, Daily/4H EMAs: golden crossovers intact (bullish structure)
RSI: neutral across all timeframes
Rare signal: 50-4H EMA = 50-day EMA → short-term momentum mirroring mid-term trend

Bottom Line
MSFT remains structurally bullish in the medium term due to sustained EMA golden crossovers, but momentum continues to weaken. A break below $475 risks a deeper correction toward the $420 Fib and potentially the $379 weekly EMA support. Conversely, a break above $530 would invalidate the correction and reopen the path toward $555 and new highs.