JPMorgan: Bitcoin Outperforms Gold, Silver Amid Escalating Global Tensions

Bitcoin has proven more resilient than gold and silver, while precious metals have faced pressure from significant outflows, forced position unwinds, and declining liquidity.

Managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou oversaw the analysis, which compared flow data, institutional positioning, momentum signals, and liquidity conditions for gold, silver, and Bitcoin

Bitcoin is dropping after risk sentiment climbs.

Gold has dropped by about 15% so far this month. A rally that had driven prices to a record close to $5,500 per ounce in January was reversed by the decline. Silver, which had peaked around $120, declined similarly.

JPMorgan attributes the decline to rising interest rates and a stronger dollar, as well as profit-taking by investors who had accumulated sizable holdings earlier in the year. In the first three weeks of March, withdrawals from gold ETFs totaled almost $11 billion.

Additionally, momentum indicators diverged. Commodity trading advisors and other trend-following investors drastically cut their exposure to gold and silver. For those metals, positioning signals fluctuated between overbought and below-neutral.

Momentum indicators for Bitcoin reversed course, moving from oversold to neutral. Conditions for liquidity also changed significantly. Gold’s market share declined to the point where it now lags behind Bitcoin, reversing a relationship that had previously favored gold.

Silver’s market depth deteriorated even more, which JPMorgan claimed could have contributed to the metal’s recent price drops.

Using data from Chainalysis, the analysts also mentioned an increase in cryptocurrency activity in areas impacted by rising geopolitical tensions. Locals transferred money from local exchanges to international platforms and self-custody wallets. Bitcoin was also practical due to its 24/7 availability, self-custody capability, and borderless settlement.

Ripple’s Moment of Truth: XRP Faces Pivotal SEC Ruling

A major regulatory deadline could affect its short-term momentum and market perception of the XRP token.  This focus intensified after John Squire highlighted March 27 as a critical date associated with a Securities and Exchange Commission review deadline involving XRP-related exchange-traded fund considerations.

His analysis captures the general market mood in which traders closely monitor regulatory developments to find direction. Although they do not ensure a final approval or rejection, these deadlines act as decision points for the regulator, who may approve, reject, or extend its evaluation.

This procedure is particularly crucial for XRP due to its evolving regulatory status. Further developments within regulated investment frameworks could improve the asset’s standing in institutional portfolios, as it has already benefited from increased clarity in recent months.

Exchange-traded funds are where institutional capital enters the market. Through regulated financial instruments, they allow investors to gain exposure to digital assets without actually holding the underlying tokens. This structure reduces operational barriers by aligning cryptocurrency investments with traditional market systems.

If XRP-related ETF products receive approval or make notable advancements, they might attract new capital inflows. Price stability, liquidity, and long-term market confidence are often enhanced by increased institutional involvement.

There are several possible outcomes for the SEC’s decision-making process. An approval would indicate increasing regulatory acceptance and bolster bullish sentiment. Delays would increase uncertainty and maintain XRP’s range-bound structure.

A rejection might not change the long-term outlook, but it might create short-term downside pressure. The decision itself, as well as the overall liquidity conditions and investor sentiment, will determine how the market responds.

John Squire’s description of this event as a “decision day” illustrates the significance the market places on regulatory signals. Even neutral outcomes can cause volatility if they deviate from expectations. This deadline is a significant step in XRP’s integration into mainstream financial systems, even though it may not fully define the cryptocurrency’s future.

Forex Signals March 26: Commercial Metals CMC, Argan, Pony AI, USAR Earnings Preview

As supply chains, industrial demand, and growth remain top considerations, investors will keep a close eye on the earnings of Commercial Metals Company, Argan Inc., Pony AI Inc., and USA Rare Earth Inc.
Continue reading “Forex Signals March 26: Commercial Metals CMC, Argan, Pony AI, USAR Earnings Preview”

Bitcoin Slams $72K: Bull Breakout or the Final Act of a Massive Bear Flag?

Bitcoin’s recent surge toward $72K highlighted a brief increase that could trap overly aggressive long traders.  Positioning in derivatives markets has become noticeably more optimistic. The OI-Weighted Funding Rate has reached its most optimistic level since February 23rd, rising to 0.0054 percent.

The latest reversal caused Bitcoin to lose much of its gains for the week.

This indicates long positions account for a sizable portion of Bitcoin’s $50.64 billion in open interest.

Such positioning would support a bullish outlook under normal market conditions. However, in the current situation, it increases the risk of overcrowding, which makes the market susceptible to a reversal due to excessive long exposure.

The imbalance zones that preceded steep drops to $90,000 and then $80,000 are more similar to the current formation around $72,000. In those cases, the imbalance indicated fatigue instead of persistence. Given that this pattern is now recurring, it is obvious that the current rally might not be structurally sound. Rather, it might be a brief increase preceded by a more extensive decline, probably due to lengthy liquidations.

Beyond technical structure, a sustained rally is not supported by the macro and on-chain context for Bitcoin. The rising yields on high-yield bonds showed investors’ growing caution.

Concurrently, there is little activity from retail traders in the spot market. Trading frequency is essentially unchanged, continuing a multi-month pattern of low activity. Growing retail activity is usually a major source of momentum during a strong bullish phase.

Its absence suggests that the current movement lacks the breadth and depth necessary to maintain price increases. The Spot market is showing some accumulation, but not enough to support a reversal of the trend.

A slight increase in the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator indicates that some investors are starting to make purchases.

This signal is still preliminary. The indicator must break above its resistance trendline and continue for a bullish shift to be confirmed. Until then, early positioning rather than conviction is reflected in the current accumulation phase.

Ripple: XRP Braces for Make-or-Break SEC Decision

A major regulatory deadline could affect its short-term momentum and market perception of the XRP token.  This focus intensified after John Squire highlighted March 27 as a critical date associated with a Securities and Exchange Commission review deadline involving XRP-related exchange-traded fund considerations.

His analysis captures the general market mood in which traders closely monitor regulatory developments to find direction. Although they do not ensure a final approval or rejection, these deadlines act as decision points for the regulator, who may approve, reject, or extend its evaluation.

This procedure is particularly crucial for XRP due to its evolving regulatory status. Further developments within regulated investment frameworks could improve the asset’s standing in institutional portfolios, as it has already benefited from increased clarity in recent months.

Exchange-traded funds are where institutional capital enters the market. Through regulated financial instruments, they allow investors to gain exposure to digital assets without actually holding the underlying tokens. This structure reduces operational barriers by aligning cryptocurrency investments with traditional market systems.

If XRP-related ETF products receive approval or make notable advancements, they might attract new capital inflows. Price stability, liquidity, and long-term market confidence are often enhanced by increased institutional involvement.

There are several possible outcomes for the SEC’s decision-making process. An approval would indicate increasing regulatory acceptance and bolster bullish sentiment. Delays would increase uncertainty and maintain XRP’s range-bound structure.

A rejection might not change the long-term outlook, but it might create short-term downside pressure. The decision itself, as well as the overall liquidity conditions and investor sentiment, will determine how the market responds.

John Squire’s description of this event as a “decision day” illustrates the significance the market places on regulatory signals. Even neutral outcomes can cause volatility if they deviate from expectations. This deadline is a significant step in XRP’s integration into mainstream financial systems, even though it may not fully define the cryptocurrency’s future.

Ripple Torches 10 Million Tokens Amid Minting Surge

Ripple’s stablecoin treasury completed a massive 30 million RLUSD burn across two transactions after a week of aggressive supply management that saw 45 million tokens destroyed compared to just 10 million minted.

Over the past week, there has been a huge surge in activity in Ripple’s stablecoin treasury, characterized by several multi-million dollar token burns and sporadic minting.

The 10 million RLUSD burn today was actually the second significant supply reduction of the day, according to blockchain data identified by the automated tracker @RL_Tracker. The RLUSD Treasury has burned 45 million RLUSD over the past seven days while minting 10 million RLUSD.

“Burning” is not an indication of network trouble in the world of fully-backed fiat stablecoins, but rather a routine operational process. The corresponding stablecoins are sent to a “null” address (burned) to be permanently removed when institutional clients or partners exchange their RLUSD for underlying US dollars.

This guarantees that the fiat reserves kept in Ripple’s bank accounts always precisely match the circulating supply of RLUSD. On the other hand, when new money enters the ecosystem, Ripple must issue new tokens on the blockchain, which is known as the “minting spree” (such as the 10 million RLUSD created on March 19).

The substantial institutional redemptions or a deliberate rebalance of inventory by Ripple’s treasury department are suggested by the heavy burning observed on March 23, which totaled 30 million RLUSD in a single day. These significant advancements in on-chain supply are turning into a regular, but closely monitored, aspect of its lifecycle.

Forex Signals March 25: PDD, Cintas, Paychex, JBS Earning Preview Today

PDD Holdings Inc., Cintas Corporation, Paychex, Inc., and JBS N.V., which offer data on services, payroll, and the global food supply, are a few of the large companies that currently disclose earnings. Continue reading “Forex Signals March 25: PDD, Cintas, Paychex, JBS Earning Preview Today”

Ripple Torches 10 Million Tokens Amid Minting Surge

Ripple’s stablecoin treasury completed a massive 30 million RLUSD burn across two transactions after a week of aggressive supply management that saw 45 million tokens destroyed compared to just 10 million minted.

Over the past week, there has been a huge surge in activity in Ripple’s stablecoin treasury, characterized by several multi-million dollar token burns and sporadic minting.

The 10 million RLUSD burn today was actually the second significant supply reduction of the day, according to blockchain data identified by the automated tracker @RL_Tracker. The RLUSD Treasury has burned 45 million RLUSD over the past seven days while minting 10 million RLUSD.

“Burning” is not an indication of network trouble in the world of fully-backed fiat stablecoins, but rather a routine operational process. The corresponding stablecoins are sent to a “null” address (burned) to be permanently removed when institutional clients or partners exchange their RLUSD for underlying US dollars.

This guarantees that the fiat reserves kept in Ripple’s bank accounts always precisely match the circulating supply of RLUSD. On the other hand, when new money enters the ecosystem, Ripple must issue new tokens on the blockchain, which is known as the “minting spree” (such as the 10 million RLUSD created on March 19).

The substantial institutional redemptions or a deliberate rebalance of inventory by Ripple’s treasury department are suggested by the heavy burning observed on March 23, which totaled 30 million RLUSD in a single day. These significant advancements in on-chain supply are turning into a regular, but closely monitored, aspect of its lifecycle.

Forex Signals March 23: GameStop, PDD, Pony AI, TMC, USAR Earnings Preview

This week’s earnings from GameStop Corp., PDD Holdings Inc., Pony AI Inc., and TMC the Metals Company Inc. may cause volatility in the mining, retail, e-commerce, and artificial intelligence sectors.
Continue reading “Forex Signals March 23: GameStop, PDD, Pony AI, TMC, USAR Earnings Preview”

Fear & Greed Flip: Bitcoin Drops to $68K as War Risks Dominate Markets

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies fell once more as the US, Israel, and Iran exchanged new threats and attacks.  The biggest coin dropped as much as 3.3 percent to trade at about $68,150, the lowest level since early March. Other tokens saw a more intense selloff; at one point, Ether lost almost 5% to drop to $2,050.

The BTC rate fell further on Friday as the stock market climbed.

Bitcoin has declined since the beginning of the conflict, losing about 20% since the US and Israel began attacking Iran at the end of February. The drawdown has revealed the limitations of a long-standing debate in cryptocurrency circles about the coin’s capacity to serve as a haven in emergencies

However, according to Peter Tchir, head of macro strategy at Academy Securities, there are additional factors at work, such as the fact that Bitcoin has become entangled in a larger selloff that has also pulled down stocks and other risky assets. Given that it increases the cost of token mining, higher energy prices might also be affecting the sector.

The cryptocurrency market, which is open around-the-clock, has given traders a weekend glimpse into how other assets might move once conventional markets reopen. As of around nine in the morning on Sunday, perpetual futures on Hyperliquid, a cryptocurrency exchange that has grown to be one of the biggest venues for 24-hour derivatives trading, showed oil-linked contracts rising by more than 2 percent to $98 per barrel.

The price of oil and other commodities increased after President Donald Trump threatened to bomb Iran’s power plants unless the nation reopened the Strait of Hormuz, a vital transportation route that has been essentially closed for weeks. Iran retaliated with its own threats, stating that if its fuel and energy infrastructure were attacked, it would target US and Israeli outposts in the Middle East. Iran’s attacks on Israel, meanwhile, seemed to be getting more intense already.