Author: Maham Arslan

XRP is still holding its ground near $2.42 after a wild trading week that saw some pretty dramatic price swings between $2.21 and $2.64. Sure, it dropped 1.37% on the day but despite that, the token is still one of the top-performing cryptos out there by market cap – it’s currently ranked #5 on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $145.25 billion and a whopping $5.13 billion in 24-hour trading volume.

Right now the price is just consolidating inside a rising channel, suggesting that traders are basically waiting for some sign of which direction things are gonna go. XRP’s steady formation of higher lows does look like it’s got some underlying support from buyers still, even if momentum has slowed right down to a crawl as it hovers near the channel’s midline.

XRP/USD Key Technical Indicators to keep an eye on

From a technical point of view XRP is trading between two major moving averages – the 50 day EMA is currently sitting around $2.43 and the 200 day EMA around $2.54. This is basically a standoff between traders looking to lock in profits and long term holders who are still holding out for a breakout.

The trendline that started back in early October is still acting as a major resistance point, while the RSI is a pretty neutral 46 – leaning a little bearish, but not by much. We can also see Doji and spinning tops starting to form – again this suggests that market participants are waiting for a breakout or a breakdown before they start committing to new positions.

XRP/USD Possible Scenarios in the Future

If XRP manages to break above $2.48 we might see a bit of renewed buying momentum pushing it up towards $2.64 or even $2.70, supported by that upper channel boundary.

But if it closes below $2.40 then the bullish case gets weakened, and the next support levels start to come into play near $2.21 – a pretty important psychological threshold where buyers may start to re-emerge.

Trade Setup

• Buy Zone: $2.40 to $2.45 (only once its confirmed above $2.48)
• Targets: $2.64 and $2.70
• Stop Loss: below $2.37

Trader Takeaway

For new traders though patience is key – wait for a bullish engulfing candle or a retest of the support level before you even think about entering a long position. Its pretty clear that this market is building up to a decision point – if XRP breaks above that 50-EMA then we might see some renewed momentum start to build, but failure to defend its channel floor and we could be looking at a deeper retracement.

XRP is still having difficulties in gaining momentum, with the currency at around 2.29 following a 3.8% decline over the last 24 hours. The greater crypto industry is risk averse and traders are monitoring the new Ripple treasury plan of 1 billion dollars to give indications of future price movement.

On the day-to-day chart, XRP has been trading in a downward channel that resembles the formation that saw it climb by 81 percent the day before. The technical traders tend to see the price action to indicate a consolidation between 2.00 and 2.20- a price that will be considered by them as the accumulation region.

In the event that buyers protect this level, XRP may seek to revert to $2.72 and then test $3.32. Breaking out of the estimation at a level of over 3.32 would mean a revived bullish momentum and might lead the token to 3.67, the next level of resistance.

But a continued decline below $2.00 can be a welcome to proceed with additional selling and this would push the price to a level it had not reached since its last recovery. This arrangement is regarded as a turning point among short term inconsistency to long term faith by traders.

Key Technical Observations:

• XRP is trading within a downward trend line.
• Accumulation zone: $2.00-$2.20.
• Resistance targets: $2.72 – $3.32 – $3.67.
• Support floor: failure to accumulate will incur a cost of 1.90.

The Treasury Move Ripple Makes $1B Makes People More Confident

The move by Ripple to announce a 1 billion XRP treasury fund is significant in terms of creating a strong liquidity and market stability. The company will finance the acquisition of shares in a special purpose acquisition vehicle, some of which will be supported by the company using its XRP.

This action is in the wake of the recent acquisition by Ripple of GTreasury, which will create a wider range of institutional liquidity and cash-management solutions. The new treasury will be a dedicated liquidity reserve, which will assist enterprises to access XRP in order to make cross-border payments and in the DeFi integrations.

Ripple will enhance the depth of liquidity and thereby mitigate price volatility as it tries to show long-term commitment to the XRP ecosystem. According to the analysts, this initiative can be considered a stabilizing mechanism in times of increased uncertainty in the market.

XRP Prognosis: High Caution on Bounceback

XRP is technically sound, even though it continues to be volatile. The stability of the asset in the area around the accumulation zone coincides with the increased institutional efforts by Ripple – providing an opportunity to trigger the revived upward momentum.

The trade range between two and three dollars has become the mark of consolidation and recovery to traders. Should Ripple be able to implement its treasury plan, it has the potential to rebuild market confidence, strengthen liquidity, and cement the status of XRP as one of the most popular utility assets in the world of finance.

With this further momentum, XRP may revisit the $3.30 -3.60 zone in the next few sessions- a significant milestone in a prolonged period of recovery.

The $1 billion acquisition of GTreasury, a leading player in treasury management, was expected to expand its global presence in institutional finance significantly. But guess what? Instead of spurring a rally, XRP dropped over 8% this week, pulling its price near $2.18.

There’s a chance ripple can modernize corporate treasuries with real-time blockchains & liquidity – but short-term traders are a different story. They’re more about capitalizing on quick profit-taking and fading out the momentum. The deal lets Ripple tap into the $120 trillion corporate treasury market, but investors remain cautious due to weak technical indicators and market volatility.

GTreasury’s integration will hopefully eventually help Ripple’s cross-border liquidity and enterprise-grade payments get up to speed. However, the market’s reaction says a lot – investors just aren’t convinced that corporate expansion will magically turn into an immediate token price boost.

Ripple has announced its acquisition of global treasury management firm GTreasury in a $1 billion deal. The acquisition aims to integrate Ripple’s digital asset infrastructure with GTreasury’s corporate treasury expertise to offer enterprise clients real-time cross-border…

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) October 16, 2025

Technical Outlook: XRP Takes an Upward Hike

On the 2-hour chart, XRP/USD continues to decline after being rejected near the $2.43 resistance zone. Meanwhile, it’s made a bunch of lower highs and lower lows, textbook bearish trend vibes.

Both the 50-day average ($2.42) and the 200-day average ($2.65) are still hovering above price action, which only adds more fuel to the bearish bias fire. And the RSI is near 34? That says it’s oversold, but still not giving us any clear signs of a reversal.

Key Levels We Should Keep An Eye On:

• Support: $2.18 and $2.02
• Resistance: $2.43 and $2.61
• Break below $2.18 is likely to expose the next potential downside target at $1.77.

Candlestick patterns are showing small candles after big bearish ones, and they look like they are getting a little exhausted – but nothing is confirmed in terms of a rebound.

Short-Term Forecast: This Downturn May Have A Few More Rounds

Unless XRP breaks back above $2.30, the general outlook is still negative overall. Traders are watching the RSI for a bullish divergence there, which could hint at some relief coming for the bulls. Yet for now, XRP’s trend is in line with the rest of the crypto market, which is weak. Everyone is looking to get into safer assets right now.

A few aggressive traders might consider buying around $2.17-$2.20 with decent stops below $2.02. Meanwhile, the more cautious ones should wait for a confirmed close above the trendline before entering any recovery.

Ripple’s billion-dollar acquisition and long-term goals still have much good to offer, but its near-term outlook is bearish, driven by a mix of technical woes and some bad risk-taking vibes. Until we see some real momentum, traders will need to be prepared for wild swings and deeper corrections before the situation stabilizes.

XRP is trading near $2.90, down 3.81% on the day, with $4.65B in 24-hour volume. It holds #3 by market cap at roughly $173.19B, with 59.78B XRP circulating out of a 100B maximum. In plain English: liquidity is deep, interest is high, but price is under pressure after failing to clear a key ceiling.

• 24h Volume: $4,649,020,202
• Market Cap: $173,187,413,225
• Rank: #3 | Circulating: 59,777,241,479 | Max: 100,000,000,000

Why the tone turned cautious

The 4-hour chart flipped from hopeful to guarded after price rejected the rising neckline near $3.19 and then slipped below $2.97—a former range floor clustered around the 200-EMA (~$2.96). That zone is now supply. The decline arrived in a run of wide-body red candles—close to a mini “three black crows”—which signals sellers in control. Price sits around $2.89, below the 50-EMA (~$3.01) and 200-EMA (~$2.96); the 50-EMA is flattening, a common prelude to trend transition.

Structurally, the inverse head-and-shoulders sketched in summer is unconfirmed because bulls never closed through $3.19. Instead, XRP is rotating toward the $2.80–$2.79 demand shelf that caught multiple August lows. Candlesticks show long lower shadows on intraday dips—there are dip buyers—but the RSI near 27 says “oversold,” not “reversed.” A hammer, bullish engulfing, or morning star emerging at $2.80 would be the first credible sign of support stabilizing.

XRP Technical roadmap & trade idea

Until buyers prove it, rallies into broken support are suspect. The first battleground is a retest of $2.95–$2.97—the underside of prior support and the EMAs. If a shooting star or bearish engulfing forms here on the 4-hour close, it often precedes another leg lower toward the $2.86 pivot and the $2.80–$2.79 shelf.

Simple plan:

Consider a short on confirmation if price retests $2.95–$2.97 and prints a bearish reversal candle. Place a stop above $3.05 (beyond the 50-EMA and recent wicks). Targets: first $2.86, then $2.80–$2.79 where horizontal support and prior demand meet. If momentum accelerates, a small runner can trail toward $2.70. This respects the principle that “old support becomes new resistance,” uses EMAs as objective guardrails, and keeps risk defined.

XRP Invalidation & bullish pivot:

If XRP closes back above $2.97–$3.00 and holds, step aside—sellers are losing grip. A sequence of three steady green candles (three white soldiers) or a bullish engulfing above that zone would shift focus back to $3.10 and the $3.19 neckline. Only a firm daily close above $3.19 would revive the inverse H&S and open room for a larger upswing.