Chart Chaos: Why US Stocks Face a 10% Tumble Soon

Posted on November 18, 2025November 18, 2025 by Olumide Adesina

US stock market chart patterns show that the recent decline could escalate into a full-blown correction of at least 10%. The S&P 500 Index’s dip from its peak in October was exacerbated on Monday by a strong selloff, which dropped the index by 2.28% to 3.2%—the largest decline from its peak since February and April.

The benchmark index closed below its 50-day moving average for the first time in 139 sessions, ending the second-longest period this century above that closely watched trend line.

Additionally, the index fell more than fifty points below Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s benchmark of 6,725. Early in the day, Lee Coppersmith noted the potential for this situation to turn buyers into sellers, particularly among trend-following quant funds or Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs).

John Roque, head of technical analysis at 22V Research, claims that the Nasdaq Composite Index is also displaying some “ugly” signals. He claimed that more of the index’s roughly 3,300 members are trading at 52-week lows than highs, indicating internal market weakness that makes a further rally improbable. Roque advised investors to take a defensive stance, saying that if it wasn’t evident during the first week of November, “it should be now: a correction is occurring.”. He anticipates that the Nasdaq Composite, which has dropped more than 5% from its previous high, will continue to decline by up to 8% before testing support at 22,000.

The high-flying technology stocks that propelled the S&P 500’s 38% rise from its April low to its October high have been central to the recent market weakness. With their stalled progress, the market is now leaning on industries that are more vulnerable to signs of a slowing economy and declining consumer confidence.

Among the Magnificent Seven tech stocks, Alphabet Inc. is the only one that has lost nearly 4.5% this month. Most of this year’s market gains have come from that group. As investors scrutinize the substantial borrowing needed to finance growth, sentiment around the artificial intelligence trade has shifted from euphoria to skepticism. For instance, Amazon.com Inc. sought $15 billion in bonds from the credit market on Monday.

Fundamentals may come back into focus later in the week, while technical chart weaknesses dominated market discussions on Monday.

Retailers such as Walmart Inc., The Home Depot, and Target Corp. will present findings and analyses regarding the upcoming holiday shopping season. Nvidia Inc. will be the last major mega-cap tech company to release its latest results.

Additionally, government economic data that hasn’t been released in seven weeks will start to emerge. Lower-income consumers appear to be under increasing pressure as the economy slows, particularly in the labor market. Even if this decline worsens somewhat, 2025 could still be a favorable year for stocks, as the S&P 500 is still up more than 13% year to date, and the Nasdaq Composite is holding a gain of nearly 18%.

Bear Claws XRP—Down 20% Already, $2 Support on Ripple’s Brink!

Posted on November 18, 2025 by Olumide Adesina

XRP is currently experiencing a downward trend, even following the historic launch of spot XRP ETFs.

The cryptocurrency has seen a decline of about 20% from its recent highs, and the profitability of holders has dropped to levels not witnessed since earlier this year. Currently, XRP is trading at $2.1551, continuing its descent from the $2.60 level reached just a few weeks ago.

Despite the improved regulatory clarity that accompanied the introduction of the spot XRP ETF in September—the first U.S.-listed fund providing direct exposure to the asset—profitability among XRP holders has significantly decreased throughout November. According to data from Glassnode, approximately one-third of all XRP holders are now facing unrealized losses, with the percentage of supply in profit falling from around 85-90% in October to current levels between 65-70%.

This marks a considerable shift from earlier periods when nearly all the supply remained profitable. For instance, when XRP was trading near $3.50 in July and August, as well as during the January rally to $4, nearly all holders experienced gains. This is the lowest profitability level since November 2024.

The connection between declining prices and supply profitability shows that holders are experiencing increasing pressure. As more wallets enter a loss position, the likelihood of capitulation selling rises. If support levels do not hold, this could speed up the downward trend. Currently, XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 37.81, indicating that while conditions are approaching oversold territory, they have not fully developed yet. This suggests that there may be further price declines before a potential technical rebound takes place.

Panic Grips Bitcoin: Traders Wager on Plunge to $80K Amid Fresh Sell-Off

Posted on November 18, 2025 by Olumide Adesina

Bitcoin is plummeting, and traders are preparing for a loss. The biggest cryptocurrency in the world fell below $90,000 on Tuesday morning, intensifying a selloff that has wiped out all of its yearly gains. As wealthy buyers beat a retreat, traders in the options market are pessimistic, believing that the decline is far from over.

There has been an increase in demand for downside protection at the $85,000 and $80,000 levels. According to data from Deribit, a company owned by Coinbase, protective options that expire later this month are seeing particularly high activity. More than $740 million worth of contracts betting on further declines that expire in late November have been purchased by traders, far outpacing interest in bullish positions, after riding Bitcoin to its highs just weeks ago.

Companies referred to as “digital-asset treasuries” are businesses that acquired substantial cryptocurrency holdings earlier this year, hoping to turn their investments into profitable stock market positions. However, these companies have faced significant challenges. For instance, Michael Saylor’s Strategy, Inc. recently purchased an additional $835 million worth of Bitcoin, while some of his business colleagues are feeling increasing pressure to sell assets to protect their balance sheets.

This selling activity has created a market full of investors who are too deep in the red to make additional purchases but are not ready to accept their losses. As a result, there is a psychological overhang influencing market sentiment. According to a sentiment index from the data analytics platform CoinMarketCap, which tracks factors like price momentum, volatility, and derivatives, cryptocurrency users are currently experiencing “extreme fear.” This sentiment is further affected by broader economic factors. For example, traders are closely watching Nvidia Corp.’s earnings report on Wednesday, which could signal speculative and technological risks and shift expectations for potential gains.

Ether, the token associated with Ethereum, is particularly vulnerable. The second-largest cryptocurrency in the world fell to $2,946 on Tuesday, representing a more than 20% decline since early October. After a severe wave of liquidations earlier this month led to approximately $19 billion being wiped out in digital assets, the market overall has been in disarray. Data from Coinglass indicates that open interest in cryptocurrency futures contracts has decreased, particularly for smaller tokens like Solana, where positioning has dropped by more than half.

Bitcoin Crashes Below $90K: ETF Holders Dive into Deep Red Waters

Posted on November 18, 2025 by Olumide Adesina

The Bitcoin surge that attracted a large number of new investors, thanks to ETFs, has officially collapsed. Currently, investors in US exchange-traded funds that provide direct access to cryptocurrencies are suffering collective losses.

According to Sean Rose of Glassnode, the average cost basis for all ETF inflows is roughly $89,600, which Bitcoin surpassed on Tuesday. The flow-weighted average price of all ETF inflows since launch is shown in that figure.

The cohort is losing money when Bitcoin moves below that line. The good news is that, according to Rose, many purchases made when the coin was worth between $40,000 and $70,000 are still profitable.

The achievement highlights how quickly optimism in cryptocurrency markets has diminished. Bitcoin has now fallen more than 30% after reaching all-time highs in early October.

Despite the well-known volatility of cryptocurrencies, Wall Street was unprepared for the decline due to the influx of institutional capital that had flooded the market since Donald Trump’s election. For both institutional and retail investors, who have benefited greatly from the recent surge in cryptocurrency due to the prospect of future gains, the breach represents a test of strength.

Although the ETF wrapper has been praised as a more secure and regulated way to invest in digital assets, the recent decline serves as a reminder that Wall Street’s arrival hasn’t eliminated the infamous volatility of cryptocurrencies. This year, billions of dollars have poured into Bitcoin-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

The lineup has become so popular that issuers have introduced products beyond funds that concentrate on the biggest token and its siblings, Ether. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, there are currently over 110 cryptocurrency-focused ETFs trading in the US.

China’s Gold Tax Axe: VAT Break Slashed, Buyers Brace for Price Sting

Posted on November 17, 2025 by Olumide Adesina

China is ending a long-standing gold tax incentive, which could be a blow to buyers in one of the world’s largest bullion markets. A new Ministry of Finance law will ban Beijing from allowing retailers to deduct value-added tax from gold sales purchased from the Shanghai Gold Exchange, whether sold directly or after processing.

This rule applies to both investment products, such as high-purity gold bars, ingots, and coins authorized by the People’s Bank of China, and non-investment items like jewelry and industrial materials.

The move is expected to increase government revenue during a time when a sluggish real estate market and slow economic growth strain public funds. However, these changes will likely make gold purchases more expensive for Chinese consumers as well.
Gold’s recent record-breaking rally has moved into overbought territory due to a buying frenzy among retail investors worldwide, setting the stage for a sharp correction.

A reversal of the relentless buying of gold through exchange-traded funds, which had been rising since late May, coincided with the metal’s worst decline in over ten years. It also occurred at the end of the Indian holiday-related seasonal buying period.

Meanwhile, demand for bullion as a safe-haven asset decreased following a trade truce between the US and China. Nonetheless, gold remains trading near the $4,000-an-ounce level that it crossed earlier in October, and many of the factors fueling its rise are expected to persist, including central bank purchases around the world, US interest rate cuts, and ongoing global uncertainties that continue to attract investors seeking safety..

UBS: Silver’s Sharp Dip Signals Prime Entry – $55 Target in Sight

Posted on November 17, 2025November 17, 2025 by Olumide Adesina

UBS still views the correction as temporary and maintains its bullish target of $55/oz by mid-2026, despite silver’s retreat from its record highs of around $54.50/oz.

According to UBS, the recent decline in silver prices is attributed to profit-taking by momentum-driven investors rather than a change in the metal’s long-term outlook. The bank indicated that silver prices are likely to rise due to factors such as lower nominal and real interest rates, global debt concerns, the devaluation of the U.S. dollar, and expectations of a recovery in global growth by 2026.

UBS anticipates that the gold-to-silver ratio will narrow to approximately 76x, with a potential target of reaching 70x to support silver’s strength.

The Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, adjusting the benchmark range to between 3.75% and 4.00%. Initially, this move supported silver and other precious metals; however, Chair Jerome Powell did not commit to further easing. As a result, the market’s expectations for another rate cut by December decreased from 91% to 63%, which has boosted bearish sentiment for non-yielding assets, increasing the value of the dollar and Treasury yields.

UBS notes that “this backdrop should continue to support strong investment demand,” predicting that ETF holdings will surpass their all-time high of 1,021 million ounces. The bank characterized the recent decline as “an opportunity to position for further upside,” projecting a silver price of $55 per ounce by the end of June 2026 based on its forecast of $4,200 per ounce for gold and its analysis of the gold-silver ratio.

Ripple’s Redemption? BlackRock Champions XRP for Massive On-Chain Adoption

Posted on November 17, 2025 by Olumide Adesina

Maxwell Stein, Director of Digital Assets at BlackRock, delivered a keynote at Swell 2025 that electrified the audience and sparked a lot of conversation on X (formerly Twitter). Stein stated that the global financial market is “ready for large-scale blockchain adoption” and credited early adopters like Ripple for demonstrating blockchain’s practicality beyond theory.

“The infrastructure being built by companies like Ripple could soon enable the transfer of trillions of dollars on-chain,” he remarked. It started with the tokenization of fixed income, bonds, and stablecoins. However, trillions of dollars in capital flow through these channels.

“This validation positions the XRP Ledger (XRPL) as a scalable ‘rail’ for asset tokenization and high-volume, low-cost cross-border payments—two key use cases Ripple has supported since 2012.” Stein’s comments align with BlackRock’s broader blockchain efforts, including projects like their tokenized money market fund (BUIDL).

Robbie Mitchnick, Head of Digital Assets at BlackRock, recently made a notable statement emphasizing the importance of caution when trading cryptocurrencies.

Mitchnick’s view reflects a wider institutional realization that very few cryptocurrencies are truly durable and useful. He explained that Bitcoin continues to dominate the crypto market because it has carved out a unique product-market fit as a form of digital gold, representing a significant portion of market cap. Few other digital assets have achieved comparable utility or market relevance, he added. He also pointed out that, although thousands of cryptocurrencies exist, most will likely become worthless over time.

Furthermore, Mitchnick warned against short-term or leveraged trading. He believes that those who approach the digital asset space with patience and a long-term outlook tend to succeed the most.

He advised these investors to focus more on fundamentals than speculation and to recognize that market cycles and volatility are natural in this emerging sector. Members of the XRP community have taken notice of Mitchnick’s comments, as they see his emphasis on utility and product-market fit aligning with XRP’s core use case.

XRP has established itself as a bridge currency designed to improve cross-border payment efficiency and liquidity, contrasting with many other speculative tokens. Its strong presence in international remittances and growing adoption among financial institutions demonstrate the kind of “economic utility” Mitchnick described as essential for long-term viability.

Oracle’s AI Kingpin: Ellison Takes 40% Staff Oversight with $250 Stock Forecast in Sight

Posted on November 17, 2025 by Olumide Adesina

Larry Ellison, the co-founder and chairman of Oracle, has increased the number of employees under his direct supervision

He is now responsible for approximately 64,000 employees, which accounts for 40% of Oracle’s total workforce. Organizational charts reviewed by Bloomberg indicate that Ellison has assumed control of several teams previously led by former CEO Safra Catz.

Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia succeeded Catz. Ellison oversees the finance division, which is under scrutiny as Oracle embarks on a significant expansion of its data center operations.

This expansion, aimed at securing cloud computing contracts related to artificial intelligence, is expected to cost hundreds of billions of dollars, putting additional pressure on the company’s cash flow. He remains responsible for developing Oracle’s profitable database software and related applications.

Ellison has acquired teams from Catz, which include human resources, legal, and NetSuite, the finance applications division that Oracle purchased in 2016.

Sicilia now manages most of the company, which employs around 84,000 people.

His responsibilities include overseeing customer service, sales, and the development of applications for specific industries. Additionally, the health software division of Oracle, formed after the acquisition of Cerner Inc., also reports to Sicilia.

When the management change was announced in September, Catz remarked, “Having two technical executives work together to meet the needs of our customers is really a match made in heaven.” In 2025, Oracle’s shares nearly doubled, reaching a record price of $328.33 on September 10, just two weeks before the CEO’s departure.

The company’s strong stock performance, driven by the growing demand for cloud computing and AI infrastructure, coincides with this organizational restructuring.

Oracle shares surged by 43% in a single day—the company’s best performance since 1992—closing near $240 and adding over $244 billion to its market capitalization, bringing it closer to the $1 trillion club. Oracle’s fiscal Q1 earnings report revealed a substantial cloud backlog of $455 billion, bolstered by significant AI contracts.

This forecast of accelerated revenue growth has led to a rally in the stock price. Initially, analysts had target prices around $240 (for example, from Deutsche Bank), targets quickly increased to $335 or higher following the earnings report, reflecting heightened confidence in Oracle’s competitive edge in the AI sector. As of November 11, 2025, Oracle (ORCL) shares are trading at all-time highs, having risen more than 75% this year.

Doomsday for Bitcoin? 4th Death Cross Approaches as Prices Teeter on $90K Edge

Posted on November 16, 2025 by Olumide Adesina

Bitcoin is about to experience its fourth death cross in the current market cycle, currently trading at $95,800, down more than 20% from its recent peak of $126,000. The previous death crosses occurred in September 2023, August 2024, and April 2025, all of which were preceded by significant rallies of 75–213%.

Analysts anticipated a possible decline below $90,000 due to this technical pattern, where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day. However, historical data indicates that this could be a capitulation bottom and prime-time buying opportunity before a rebound to $145,000.

Traders are holding their breath as Bitcoin threatens to fall below $90,000 despite seeing impressive ETF inflows. On-chain data indicates that Bitcoin is getting close to the fourth death cross of the cycle, which denotes a bottom for the asset, despite the unsavory price performance. Bitcoin’s Death Cross Offers Consumers a Buying Opportunity:

According to on-chain data, the price of Bitcoin is getting close to a death cross in the next few days, with the 50-day moving average crossing below the long-term moving average. In an X post, CoinDesk Senior Analyst James Van Straten emphasized the forming trend, pointing out that the forming death cross will be Bitcoin’s fourth in this cycle. Contrary to expectations, past death crosses have indicated a significant bottom for the price of Bitcoin. Death crosses typically signal bearish momentum, which means that short-term trends are weakening relative to long-term trends.

Contrary to expectations, past death crosses have indicated a significant bottom for the price of Bitcoin. Death crosses typically signify bearish momentum, which means that short-term trends are weakening relative to long-term trends. Examples of death crosses for Bitcoin include September 2023, August 2024, and April 2025.

Bitcoin bottomed immediately following the death cross with Straten, indicating that the impending death cross is a buy signal for investors, according to an aerial view of the charts.

Best Gold Year Since ’79: Rally Roars On, Overbought Warnings Flash

Posted on November 16, 2025 by Olumide Adesina

The bullion asset is on track to record its best annual performance since 1979 as its record-breaking year continues.

The yellow metal had risen an astounding 56% year-to-date. This week, the yellow metal broke above $4,200 per ounce once more, getting closer to its all-time high of $4,379.13, which was reached on October 17. Silver is on track to have its best year ever, increasing by 80% so far this year.

Silver increased to a few cents short of its record price of $54.47 per ounce. Silver futures reached a new all-time high of $54.415 per ounce.

Despite the news that the longest US government shutdown in history was about to end, which is typically a development that would reduce demand for safe-haven assets, gold prices increased this week. However, the US labor market’s ongoing weakness is raising hopes for additional interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in December.

A wider market sell-off on Friday caused global spot gold prices to fall 2.9 percent to $4,080.70 per ounce, dampening expectations for a December interest rate cut. Hawkish comments from US Federal Reserve officials sparked the sell-off. The idea that we might see a lesser likelihood of a Fed rate cut in December is taking some of the wind out of the sails of the gold and silver market.
Following the worldwide selloff brought on by hawkish Fed signals, equity markets plummeted.

The Fed and traders were left in the dark ahead of next month’s policy meeting due to a significant data gap caused by the longest US government shutdown, which ended on Thursday. Investors anticipated that new data would indicate a slowing economy, allowing the Fed to lower interest rates in December and increasing the allure of non-yielding gold. Those hopes faded as more Fed officials took a cautious approach to further monetary easing.