Ripple-SEC Settlement Buzz Grows: High chance For XRP by August 15

The lengthy legal battle between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Ripple Labs has increased hopes that a settlement could occur before the August 15, 2025, deadline for the status report.

 

The core issue of whether XRP is a security under US law has fueled the case, which began in 2020. While legal experts advise caution about being too optimistic, recent developments, such as a June 26 ruling by Judge Analisa Torres, have fueled rumors of a potential settlement.

Public opinion, especially on social media, suggests a 70–90% chance of a settlement by mid-August. Judge Torres’s ruling, which reportedly restricted the SEC’s legal standing, contributes to this optimism. Supporters of XRP argue that the SEC needs to submit a final status report next, potentially paving the way for a resolution.

Marc Fagel, a former SEC attorney, highlighted procedural realities, noting that following a major decision, the agency typically takes 1-2 months to prepare an enforcement recommendation.

SEC commissioners must approve such a recommendation before any dismissal or settlement can be finalized.

Fagel emphasized that the only legally binding commitment is the joint status update due on August 15, and internal deadlines do not necessarily require a quick resolution. Official court filings and public statements would follow if either party chose to settle or dismiss the case. Most importantly, he clarified a common misconception: dismissals.

Holders of XRP are feeling cautiously optimistic amid rumors of a settlement, especially as the altcoin market starts to recover. A settlement that avoids an injunction and includes a $50 million fine could enhance the asset’s regulatory position.

Fagel reaffirmed that there is no guaranteed timeline and that the SEC’s internal procedures will ultimately determine the outcome. “It’s all speculation,” he said, warning the public against relying on rumors and advising patience until confirmed legal updates are available. A settlement would have broader implications beyond Ripple and XRP.

It could influence the SEC’s stance on utility tokens and create a standard for future regulatory classifications. A negotiated resolution might signal a shift toward increased clarity in the cryptocurrency industry, addressing critics’ long-standing complaints about inconsistent enforcement actions. Nonetheless, questions remain about Ripple’s compliance policies and XRP’s legal status.

XRP Evaporates Under Relentless Crypto Sun

XRP experienced a nearly 9% decline in value, sinking below the key support level at $3.50, which had been tested multiple times today. A noteworthy development followed the news from the U.S. market: the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) postponed the conversion of Bitwise’s cryptocurrency index fund into an exchange-traded fund (ETF).

Although Bitwise initially received “accelerated approval” for the ETF conversion from the SEC, this approval was later delayed, leading to confusion among investors.

Many investors were unhappy with the SEC’s delay, as spot-crypto ETFs are considered a significant catalyst for numerous cryptocurrencies, often resulting in increased liquidity and institutional ownership.

The likelihood of a spot XRP ETF is considered promising despite a decline in odds on Polymarket, which remain high at 85%. Analysts continue to highlight bullish setups, supported by ETF inflows and improving regulatory perspectives, with institutional participation remaining strong.

10,606 Bitcoin on the Move: Whale Breaks Years-Long Silence

A large Bitcoin whale that had been inactive for three to five years has reactivated, moving 10,606 BTC—approximately $1.3 billion—across several wallets.

On-chain analytics detected this significant movement, sparking widespread speculation about its potential impact on the cryptocurrency market. The funds originated from three wallets last used on December 13, 2020, when Bitcoin was priced at $18.8K. Since then, the asset’s value has surged, resulting in substantial profits for the whale.

The timing of this transaction raises questions about the whale’s intentions. Possible reasons for this movement include profit-taking, strategic reallocation, or preparations for institutional over-the-counter (OTC) deals, according to analysts.

While this move could indicate a decision to cash out profits, its market impact will largely depend on where the funds are directed—whether to exchanges, cold storage, or individual wallets.

The whale’s consistent activity through a bull run, bear market, and recovery showcases a disciplined approach to Bitcoin’s volatile cycles.

The extensive activity of long-term holders can often influence investor psychology. Moving assets to exchange wallets might signal an impending sale, while transferring to cold storage could reflect confidence in future growth. Ultimately, the impact of this transaction on price movements will depend on the broader economic environment and market liquidity levels. However, due to the anonymity provided by blockchain technology, interpreting the whale’s motives remains speculative.

Ripple mints 5 million tokens on Ethereum

Ripple expanded its stablecoin footprint by creating 5 million new RLUSD tokens on the Ethereum blockchain.

 

The milestone revealed Ripple’s strategic growth in the stablecoin sector, emphasizing transparency and regulatory compliance through partnerships with established financial institutions. Bluechip’s A rating for RLUSD highlights its position as a top enterprise-grade stablecoin in the dynamic cryptocurrency market.

The supply of the stablecoin has grown significantly with Ripple’s recent minting of 5 million RLUSD tokens on Ethereum, bringing the total issuance in July to 77.5 million tokens. RLUSD now ranks among the top 200 digital assets worldwide, with a market valuation of approximately $533 million.

The stablecoin is more reliable and attractive to institutional investors seeking dependable digital assets.

The fact that Bluechip awarded RLUSD an A rating—the highest granted to any stablecoin they evaluate—demonstrates strong confidence in its governance and stability. This independent endorsement enhances RLUSD’s standing and encourages broader adoption within the cryptocurrency community. Bluechip’s main criteria include transparency, reserve backing, and regulatory compliance; RLUSD excels in these areas, distinguishing itself from competitors.

The partnership between Ripple and BNY Mellon, a well-known and respected securities custodian worldwide, provides RLUSD’s reserve management with an essential layer of security and regulatory compliance. By entrusting BNY Mellon with reserve custody, Ripple enhances transparency and investor protection while following best practices in financial oversight. Ripple’s commitment to integrating traditional financial rigor into the decentralized stablecoin framework is demonstrated through this strategic partnership.

SEC Pulls Plug on Bitwise Crypto Index Fund ETF Conversion

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has abruptly prevented Bitwise’s 10 Crypto Index Fund from becoming an exchange-traded fund (ETF), delaying investors’ access to XRP and other major altcoins.

 

This sudden and unexplained reversal in regulatory stance occurred just hours after the SEC’s Division of Trading and Markets initially approved the conversion. The recent SEC decision to halt Bitwise’s 10 Crypto Index Fund’s conversion to an ETF surprised the cryptocurrency investing community.

The approval by the division happened without public explanation, fueling rumors about the regulatory environment for cryptocurrency ETFs. This situation highlights the ongoing challenges crypto asset managers face when trying to launch spot-based altcoin ETFs in the US. It shows that the SEC is adopting a cautious stance, despite its recent pro-crypto rhetoric.

The SEC’s move to stop Bitwise’s ETF conversion has significant implications for the broader altcoin ETF market. XRP, which is under legal scrutiny, remains a source of regulatory uncertainty. Industry insiders note that although approval is not expected until late 2025, the SEC is reportedly developing a new universal listing framework that could expedite approvals for spot-based altcoin ETFs.

Investors mainly have access to leveraged and futures-based ETFs for XRP and Solana (SOL), which carry different risks compared to spot ETFs. This regulatory uncertainty limits opportunities for direct exposure and could delay institutional adoption of ETFs for altcoins.

TON Wallet Goes Live in the U.S. via Telegram

Telegram launched its TON Wallet in the United States, marking a significant milestone in the integration of self-custodial cryptocurrency tools into mainstream communication platforms. Developed by The Open Network (TON), this wallet allows Telegram users to manage stablecoins and digital assets directly within the messaging app, without the need for additional software or memorizing seed phrases.

 

The platform is positioned as a key player in expanding cryptocurrency adoption, with TON Wallet embedded in Telegram’s interface. It leverages its large user base to bridge the gap between everyday communication and decentralized finance (DeFi). Users can easily send stablecoins, exchange tokens, and manage digital assets without an extra software.

The wallet utilizes a split-key backup system that encrypts recovery credentials linked to the Telegram account and the user’s email address. This new design eliminates the need for browser extensions or external verification steps, which Telegram CEO Andrew Rogozov views as a way to minimize friction in crypto transactions.

The US launch follows years of regulatory uncertainty that delayed the wallet’s regional release. Changes in the crypto regulatory environment over the past year, including the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) reduced enforcement focus, have made the climate more favorable for innovation, according to Rogozov.

The timing also coincides with the increasing engagement of U.S. Telegram users, especially among current cryptocurrency enthusiasts.

The TON Wallet’s partnership with MoonPay further boosts its appeal by enabling zero-fee crypto purchases and debit card integrations. Since 2024, over 100 million wallet activations have been recorded worldwide, showing strong early adoption outside the US. Telegram avoids direct regulatory issues while offering users easy access to the crypto ecosystem by outsourcing compliance-sensitive functions to external providers.s

Cardano: Apple Embraces Seamless ADA Integration

Cardano is set to be integrated with Apple products through CardanoKit, an open-source library developed by Tokeo. Fully native to iOS, tvOS, and watchOS platforms, this new library has been built using Swift.

CardanoKit is expected to significantly enhance app development for Apple devices upon its launch in the coming weeks. Developers will be able to incorporate $ADA into their applications for various functionalities, including wallets, payments, and other Web3 features. Additionally, users will find it easier to purchase $ADA directly from their iPhones thanks to the integration with Apple Pay.

This advancement lowers the barriers for users accessing the Cardano blockchain and aligns seamlessly with Apple’s user experience. As a result, many new users unfamiliar with cryptocurrency may be attracted to the simplicity of well-known applications.

Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, has stated that companies like Apple, Google, and Amazon are likely to become more involved in the cryptocurrency space as regulations become clearer. This trend is further emphasized by the Cardano Foundation’s launch of Veridian, an open-source digital identity wallet.

Similar to Apple’s focus on user privacy, Veridian, available on both iOS and Android, highlights user control over digital identity and privacy.

The platform is anticipated to experience increased adoption as CardanoKit integrates $ADA with Apple’s ecosystem. This connection offers developers enhanced options, improves user experience, and could potentially ignite a host of innovative applications within the Cardano ecosystem.

Forex Signals Brief July 22: Yen Surges, Dollar Slumps – All Eyes on Powell’s Policy Outlook

The US dollar started the new week under pressure, with investors eyeing upcoming remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell as a potential catalyst for further direction. Continue reading “Forex Signals Brief July 22: Yen Surges, Dollar Slumps – All Eyes on Powell’s Policy Outlook”

Polymarket returns to US with $112 million QCEX Acquisition

Online betting platform Polymarket announced that it has finally returned to the US with the $112 million purchase of QCEX, a US-licensed derivatives exchange and clearinghouse.

 

QCEX’s website states that the Commodity and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) oversees both the clearinghouse and the derivatives exchange.

Polymarket allowed users to trade on the outcomes of real events, like elections and sporting competitions.

Token Terminal reported the prediction platform’s trading volume exceeded $15 billion in the past year. Shayne Coplan, the founder and CEO of Polymarket, stated in a press release, “With the acquisition of QCEX, we are laying the foundation to bring Polymarket home — re-entering the US as a fully regulated and compliant platform that will enable Americans to trade their opinions.” According to Bloomberg, the US CFTC and DOJ have withdrawn their investigations into Polymarket.

The agencies reportedly wanted to determine whether Polymarket had accepted trades from users in the United States.  Polymarket exited the US in January 2022 after settling allegations that the platform sold event-based binary options without registering with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

Polymarket agreed to prevent US users from accessing its markets and paid a $1.4 million fine. The company plans to reenter the US market alongside several well-known rivals. In May, the cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com launched its prediction platform in the United States. Meanwhile, Kalshi has partnered with Robinhood, a retail investing platform, to offer a variety of prediction market contracts.

SEC’s Internal Red Tape Slows Ripple XRP Lawsuit Progress

Securities lawyer Marc Fagel offered an alternative perspective. He states that rumors of settlement negotiations are unfounded and that the delay is likely due to the complexity of internal processes. Fagel clarified that the SEC’s internal procedures, such as creating action memos, are responsible for the delay, not secret negotiations.

 

The ongoing legal battle between Ripple and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has attracted significant attention.  Ripple argued that the SEC’s lawsuit is an abuse of its regulatory power, insisting that XRP is a currency rather than a security.

Fagel identified the main causes of the delay as bureaucratic steps like scheduling commissioner votes, internal reviews, and drafting action memos. “Nobody is holding up the case,” he said, dismissing the idea that the judge or the SEC is deliberately delaying proceedings. The most recent analysis follows a closed-door meeting on July 17 that did not yield the expected breakthrough.

Some XRP holders believed a resolution was near after Ripple dismissed its appeal. However, Fagel responded that it can take weeks for the SEC to schedule enforcement votes.

Fagel added that the SEC’s weekly closed-door meetings follow a set schedule and should not be seen as case-specific. Although Ripple has already paid a $125 million penalty in cash rather than XRP, Fagel emphasized that this does not mean the case is over, and the outcome depends on the appeals process.  The wait could extend for several more weeks if his assessment proves correct.

Ripple and the SEC have been presenting their cases and supporting documents in court for over a year. While the outcome remains uncertain, the cryptocurrency market has already experienced notable effects.

The legal dispute has also raised broader questions about US cryptocurrency regulation. Some interpret the SEC’s action against Ripple as an attempt to exert control over the sector, which has largely operated outside traditional regulatory frameworks. Others argue that the SEC needs to act to protect investors from dishonest and fraudulent practices.