Forex Signals Dec 19: Payrolls, Cruises, and Banks – Paychex, Carnival, USBC Report Earnings

Paychex, Carnival, and USBC are included in today’s results schedule, providing investors with new information about consumer travel demand, regional banking health, and labor trends in the United States.
Continue reading “Forex Signals Dec 19: Payrolls, Cruises, and Banks – Paychex, Carnival, USBC Report Earnings”

Forex Signals Dec 18: Nike and FedEx Earnings Preview, Lead ECB and BoE Rate Decisions

A potentially tumultuous session is being set up as investors weigh important FedEx and Nike earnings against crucial policy signals from the Bank of England and the ECB.
Continue reading “Forex Signals Dec 18: Nike and FedEx Earnings Preview, Lead ECB and BoE Rate Decisions”

Bullion Rally: Gold Hits Near Seven-Week Peak, Targets $4K/Oz

The bullion asset rose to seven-week highs above $4,320  per ounce. The precious metal rallied on the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates next year. Lower interest rates could support the non-yielding precious metal by taming gold’s opportunity cost

Safe-Haven Demand Drives Gold’s Five-Day Winning Streak

Furthermore, the risk-averse bias and uncertainty may increase safe-haven flows, which would raise the price of the yellow metal. However, last week’s hawkish comments from Fed officials may help the US dollar.
Traders will take more cues from the speeches by Fed Governor Stephen Miran and New York Fed President John Williams later on Monday.
Gold is trading in positive territory today. As long as the price stays above the crucial 100-day Exponential Moving Average, the precious metal’s positive outlook will continue.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is above the midline at 68.75, supports the upward momentum. This illustrates the yellow metal’s bullish momentum. Silver has more than doubled, and the yellow metal has increased by more than 60 percent this year, both on track for their best yearly results since 1979.

Gold went bullish after conflicting statements from Federal Reserve officials led metal traders to reduce bets on additional monetary easing in the world’s largest economy next year. Global risk appetite has decreased due to skepticism that tech stocks, which have propelled global benchmarks to all-time highs, can sustain their high valuations and aggressive AI spending.

The first upside barrier to watch is the $4,345–$4,355 range, which is both the high of December 12 and the upper limit of the Bollinger Band. XAU/USD could return to its all-time high of $4,381 if there is sustained upward momentum. The next resistance level is situated at the $4,400 psychological mark

Copper Claws Back Gains With Base Metals After Friday’s 3% Tumble

Copper regained some of Friday’s steep decline as investors shifted their focus to the outlook for a tighter market in 2026.

The industrial metal increased by up to 1.5% on the London Metal Exchange after dropping 3% the previous session, as a selloff in shares related to artificial intelligence raised concerns about demand for the metal used in electrical wiring and renewable energy equipment.

This year, copper has surged 30% following mine disruptions that reduced supply and as traders send large volumes to the US in anticipation of potential import tariffs. Additionally, a wave of investment in green energy and power infrastructure has fueled optimism about long-term demand.

However, Friday’s drop highlights how the metal’s fortunes are now partly connected to the US tech boom and are susceptible to any decline in enthusiasm for artificial intelligence and tech valuations.

Copper increased 1.2% to $11,656.50 a ton on the LME as of 12:42 p.m. in Shanghai, after reaching a record high near $12,000 a ton on Friday before pulling back due to Wall Street’s tech selloff. Zinc rose 1.1% on Monday, and aluminium was up 0.4%.

Forex Signals Dec 12: Broadcom and Costco Post Strong Earnings, AVGO Stock Tumbles Down

The currency was under pressure due to an increase in US unemployment claims, but the market was able to return its focus to corporate performance thanks to excellent earnings from Broadcom and Costco.
Continue reading “Forex Signals Dec 12: Broadcom and Costco Post Strong Earnings, AVGO Stock Tumbles Down”

Rivian Stock Tumbles 6% as In-House AI Chip Bids Farewell to Nvidia

Rivian revealed its own artificial intelligence chip designed to replace Nvidia technology as part of a broader effort to improve automated-driving features in future vehicles, which caused its stock to lose 6% on Thursday.

 

Rivian Autonomy Processor 1 chips and a new lidar sensor will be installed in the automaker’s upcoming R2 sport utility vehicles.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. will produce the chips that will support Rivian’s goal of eventually offering autonomous driving capabilities when paired with the new sensor and AI model developments. In an interview, RJ Scaringe, Rivian’s CEO, stated, “This is not a bet one takes lightly; this is a huge commitment that has taken us years.”

Typically, reducing expenses while improving performance is difficult. However, here we lowered costs by hundreds of dollars per vehicle while also significantly boosting performance. Nvidia is currently the world’s most valuable company, leading in chips used in data centers to train AI models.

The company’s automotive chip division remains small, accounting for only about 1% of sales, but it aims to expand. By developing its own in-car chips and making them standard hardware to justify the investment, Tesla has defied the outsourcing trend.

The Elon Musk-led company has also adopted a camera-only strategy, claiming it more closely resembles human driving and that additional sensors like lidar are too costly. Rivian disagrees, supporting many robotaxi and automakers that emphasize lidar’s ability to monitor a vehicle’s environment and support other sensors.

Delivery of Rivian’s R2 will begin shortly after it enters production in the first half of 2026. Since the initial models won’t have the new chip or lidar, their automated driving features will be more limited. Rivian will gradually roll out software updates starting in 2027 that will enable its cars to travel from one place to another without drivers needing to keep their hands on the wheel or their eyes on the road.

Initially, this will apply only to highways before expanding to other types of roads. Rivian’s main goal is to convince customers and investors to see it as a higher-margin software company that can support autonomous driving of personal vehicles.

Forex Signals December 11: The AVGO, Lululemon, Costco, Man United Earnings Preview

The profits of numerous industry leaders, including Broadcom, Costco, Lululemon, and Manchester United, will be made public, giving a thorough picture of the success of international, retail, and tech businesses. Continue reading “Forex Signals December 11: The AVGO, Lululemon, Costco, Man United Earnings Preview”

Forex Signals December 10: Fed Rate Cut, Oracle Q3 Earnings Preview

The Fed and Bank of Canada are scheduled to make important rate decisions this coming week, and Oracle’s quarterly earnings add yet another significant factor to the macro-tech story.
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Nvidia’s China Comeback: H200 AI Chips Get U.S. Export Nod with 25% Uncle Sam Cut

President Donald Trump authorized Nvidia to export its H200 artificial intelligence chip to China with a 25% surcharge fee. This decision could help the highly valued company recover billions of dollars in lost revenue from an essential international market.

Nvidia is one of the few rapidly climbing stocks as the week edns.

Trump announced this decision in a post on his Truth Social network after weeks of discussions with advisors about whether to allow H200 exports to China. He mentioned that he informed Chinese President Xi Jinping about the action, and Xi responded positively.

Trump specified that only “approved customers” would receive these shipments, and noted that companies Intel Corp. and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. would also be eligible.

Nvidia’s efforts to convince Trump and Congress to ease export restrictions that have hindered its ability to sell AI chips to the world’s largest semiconductor market have finally paid off. Since November, the relationship between Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and Trump has strengthened.

Democratic senators, including Elizabeth Warren, quickly criticized Trump’s decision, calling it a “colossal economic and national security failure” that provided China with resources to develop next-generation artificial intelligence.

The H200 is at least a generation ahead of what Chinese companies, such as Cambricon Technologies Corp. and Huawei, currently offer, along with Moore Threads Technology Co. Additionally, China currently requires more chips than its domestic businesses can supply. However, Beijing has previously discouraged the adoption of Nvidia’s products, particularly among state-affiliated corporations and agencies, in an effort to reduce the country’s reliance on American technology

In his post, Trump stated, “We will protect national security, create American jobs, and maintain America’s lead in AI.” He added that NVIDIA’s American customers are already making progress with their advanced Blackwell chips, which are not included in this agreement.

Morgan Stanley Slams Brakes on Tesla Hype: Downgrades to Hold at $425 on Overheated Valuation

Elon Musk is keen to transform Tesla into a robotics and AI company. Morgan Stanley noted that the electric car manufacturer’s stock price already reflects its involvement in these sectors and is currently at a “full valuation.”

Tesla stock has fallen sharply as Musk and Trump continue fighting.

The investment bank downgraded Tesla’s rating to “hold” for the first time since June 2023. Tesla is currently the second-most expensive company in the S&P 500 Index, following Warner Bros., with shares trading at approximately 210 times projected earnings over the next 12 months. Discovery, Inc. leads at a valuation of 220 times, while Palantir Technologies Inc. ranks third with a multiple of 186.

In his initial report to clients as the new head of Tesla coverage, analyst Andrew Percoco commented, “While it is well understood that Tesla is more than an auto manufacturer, we expect a choppy trading environment over the next year.” He acknowledged the limitations of estimates and noted that the catalysts for Tesla’s non-auto businesses appear to be priced into the stock at current levels.

Percoco has set a price target of $425 for Tesla, suggesting a potential decline of 6.6% from Friday’s closing price. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, he has taken over from Adam Jonas, a long-time Tesla analyst at Morgan Stanley, who maintained an “overweight” rating on the stock since September 2023. Percoco’s current assessment assigns Tesla an “equal-weight” rating. At present, the company has 28 buy ratings, 19 hold ratings, and 16 sell ratings, with an average price target of $388.

Percoco estimates that Tesla’s Optimus initiative is valued at $60 per share and believes the company is well-positioned to lead in the humanoid robotics market.

However, he anticipates a 12% decline in electric vehicle sales volume in North America over the coming year, citing a general downturn. Despite CEO Musk’s focus on AI initiatives, including self-driving cars and humanoid robots, Tesla shares have largely disregarded a meltdown in profits this year. The stock has risen roughly 10% this year, following significant increases of 63% in 2024 and 102% in 2023. Nonetheless, it has experienced a turbulent year within the S&P 500 Index.