Euro Outlook Positive as France Announces New Government

The EUR/USD pair records slight losses around 1.1616. The US dollar (USD) is supported against the euro (EUR) by markets hoping for a compromise in the US-China trade war.

The French government unveiled Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu’s new cabinet, leaving the majority of high-level positions unaltered at a time when opponents are calling for a political change to gain their support for urgent budget negotiations.

eu stocks tumble as nvidia report disappoints and war rsiks increase

The technical outlook for EUR/USD is positive since the major pair is well-supported above the crucial 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).  The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below the midline at 43. This suggests that additional downside cannot be ruled out anytime soon.

The French situation might limit the common currency’s short-term gains.
Despite his promise to form a cabinet of “renewal and diversity,” Lecornu, who was reappointed prime minister last week after a 27-day previous term, retained his selections for the majority of the key positions.

It’s unclear if Lecornu’s new cabinet will appease critics. In a tense vote before the end of the week, the far-right National Rally and the hard-left France Unbowed (LFI) both announced that they would file a motion of no confidence on Monday. The Socialists are keeping their options open in the meantime, as the government would most likely need their support to survive such a vote.

Roland Lescure, a close ally of President Emmanuel Macron, was reappointed as finance minister by Lecornu, whose previous cabinet lasted only 14 hours. In the days ahead, the government must formally present a budget that must navigate a dangerously divided parliament, many of whom are now aiming to unseat Macron in 2027. Lecornu also retained Justice Minister Gerald Darmanin and Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot. Darmanin wrote on X, “I make decisions based on a single imperative: to serve my country and the French people.”

Thus, I am taking a break from all partisan activities without denying any of my beliefs. Bruno Retailleau, the leader of the conservative Republican Party and a potential presidential candidate, was replaced by Laurent Nunez, the head of the Paris police, and the most notable change to the ministerial selections.

The low of 1.1657 recorded on September 26 serves as the first key resistance level. If there are follow-through purchases above this level, the next target could be the high of 1.1758 reached on October 3. Further north, there is additional resistance at 1.1820, which corresponds to the high from September 23.

BNB’s Epic Leap: Surpasses XRP in Market Cap as Price Shatters $1,300 Barrier

BNB surged above $1,300, surpassing XRP to become the third-largest cryptocurrency globally by market capitalization. Data indicates that BNB’s market value increased by 6.3 percent over the last day and 27.5 percent over the past week, reaching approximately $181 billion.

This increase allowed BNB to surpass XRP, whose market value now stands at $178.1 billion following recent declines. This price movement marks a significant turning point for BNB.It demonstrates a resurgence of investor confidence in the Binance ecosystem amid the ongoing bull run led by Bitcoin,

However, despite this positive performance, market analysts caution that risks remain. Profit-taking in the short term could lead to a temporary dip back toward the $1,000 level. The price may decline to between $1,120 and $1,150 before attempting to rise again.

Maintaining a level above $1,200 means potential for future growth. BNB could ultimately move toward $1,500 if buyers remain active and can manage selling pressure between $1,300 and $1,350. However, this would require strong support from trading volume and continued investor confidence.

As BNB rose, XRP fell by 0.6 percent over the last day, trading at $2.98, which reduces its weekly gain to around 4.3 percent. Despite a robust 7% increase at the beginning of the month, momentum appears to be slowing. The announcement by CME Group regarding its plans to initiate 24/7 cryptocurrency trading next year has sparked increased interest in popular coins like XRP. Notably, the platform has seen widespread adoption and now offers XRP futures trading. Additionally, upcoming ETFs could be another factor that may boost XRP’s price this month.

OpenAI Rides High: A New Stock Market Behemoth Takes Shape

Although OpenAI is not publicly traded, it is gaining prominence in the stock market. Recently, OpenAI significantly influenced the shares of e-commerce companies like Shopify and Etsy following the introduction of ChatGPT’s instant buy option.

Conversely, software stocks such as Atlassian Corp. experienced new concerns after a blog post described new features the company is implementing internally.

The industry was already on edge due to the disruptions caused by AI. Atlassian also signed an agreement with Advanced Micro Devices Inc., which could potentially bring the chipmaker tens of billions of dollars in new revenue. This development led to a substantial increase in AMD’s shares, which surged 38%, marking their largest intraday percentage gain since April 2016.

Such market-moving influence is typically associated with giants like Apple Inc. or Nvidia, making OpenAI’s growing impact on various stocks notable, especially since there is little indication that the $500 billion startup plans to go public anytime soon.

Consequently, traders need to pay close attention to OpenAI’s announcements and events, such as the developer conference it is hosting on Monday. According to UBS analyst Karl Keirstead, “investors in software and the internet are very interested in where OpenAI will go next and how disruptive it could be.

” He added, “The consensus is that OpenAI will need to diversify more aggressively beyond ChatGPT subscriptions as it continues to expand.”

 

BTC Touches $121K, Highest Since Mid-August Slump

Bitcoin jumped over $120K mark as the market was driven higher by an uncommon combination of macro, regulatory, and on-chain factors.  The US government shutdown increased Bitcoin’s allure as a haven.

Weak economic data fueled Bitcoin’s recovery, according to the most recent update released by CryptoQuant. Delayed nonfarm payrolls caused traders to price in an almost certain October Fed rate cut, while the ADP report revealed 32,000 job losses, the largest in more than two years.

Reviews of Solana, XRP, and other applications are planned for this month, and the SEC took action to relax listing requirements for cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds.

US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows of almost $1 billion, while BlackRock’s fund surpassed $80 billion AUM, and there were rumors that Vanguard might give it another look late in September.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price hit a seven-week high of $121K on October 2 as the sector’s overall value increased by $165 billion in a single day amid the broader crypto market recovery.

This upward trend, which saw Bitcoin breach significant resistance levels, is consistent with a technical analysis framework that, should current conditions hold, sets $130,000 as the asset’s realistic short-term target.

Bitcoin started a steady ascent, first regaining the $112,500 level and then breaking through a crucial resistance zone near $116,500 on October 1 after a period of consolidation below $110,000 in late September.

Analysts Watch Technical Setup as October Rally Strengthens. This breakout intensified during early Asian trading on October 2, pushing Bitcoin to its highest level since mid-August. Short positions worth roughly $475 million were sold off as a result of the move, demonstrating how swiftly market sentiment can shift.

LINK: Chainlink Leans Bullish after SWIFT integration

Chainlink revealed one of the initial products that will enable banks to initiate on-chain transactions with their infrastructure in a pilot project with UBS Asset Management and Swift, the global financial messaging network and blockchain oracle provider.

A statement released on Tuesday said that Chainlink had integrated Swift messaging with its execution layer, the Chainlink Runtime Environment (CRE). This allows banks to connect to blockchains using SWIFT rails.

The integration builds on Project Guardian, a 2024 pilot conducted by UBS Tokenize, UBS Asset Management’s internal tokenization division, Chainlink, and the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). The pilot showed how existing fiat payment systems could be integrated with tokenized fund workflows. The businesses conducted fund subscriptions and redemptions on-chain using Swift’s ISO 20022 messages.

Transfer agents, fund administrators, custodians, and others participate in these procedures in traditional finance.
Bullish sentiment is strong in the community (e. g., G. Low exchange reserves, which are multi-year lows at about 144M LINK, indicate less selling pressure and a potential supply squeeze, according to CoinGecko’s user vote (which is 78 percent bullish).

Technical Analysis LINK shows a multi-year symmetrical triangle On the weekly chart, with rising support from the 2022 lows (around $18) holding steady.

Failing to stay above $ 20. 20- $ 20. 20.50 risks the market falling to $16–$18 (key Fibonacci retracement), while breaking above $25 could target $44 (cup- and- handle pattern projection, + 100 percent from current levels).

 

Bitcoin Holds $112K Amid Mixed Signals: Fresh Wallet Demand Battles Late-Cycle Warning Signs

Bitcoin [[BTC/USD]] is still trading consistently over $112,000, indicating strength after Monday’s huge $1.62 billion long liquidation event, which was the biggest single-day wipeout of 2025. It looks like the cryptocurrency is starting to stabilize, but contradicting signals on the blockchain make it hard to tell how the market is moving, which could affect Bitcoin’s next big move.

Bitcoin Holds $112K Amid Mixed Signals: Fresh Wallet Demand Battles Late-Cycle Warning Signs
Bitcoin price analysis

Massive Capital Influx from New Market Participants

Recent data from CryptoQuant shows that a lot of new people are holding Bitcoin. More than 73,000 BTC have gone into wallets that are less than a month old. This is a clear move into positive territory for the Net Position Change (NPC) of Bitcoin’s youngest group, which means that new institutional and retail demand is coming into the market.

The rise isn’t just for new investors; short-term holders (those who have held BTC for less than six months) have also added 159,098 BTC. This aggressive buying is effectively soaking up coins that long-term investors are selling, which is about 145,000 BTC, a common pattern during bull market profit-taking periods.

“The current situation, where long-term investors are taking profits and new buyers are coming in with excitement, is a classic sign of a bull market that is getting stronger,” says CryptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk. This strong demand structure across diverse groups of investors implies that the market is still strong, even though it has been volatile recently.

BTC/USD Technical Consolidation Points to Critical Juncture

Analysts say that Bitcoin’s current price movement is a sign of required consolidation after a lot of volatility. Uniswap Gems, a crypto trader, says that the market is going through “intraday chop” that traders may expect to last for 2 to 3 days as they process the recent big changes.

The technical picture gives us clear hints about where Bitcoin will go next. If $113,000 turns into support, it might lead to a retest of $115,000, which could pave the stage for fresh all-time highs. If the current levels aren’t kept, though, there might be a deeper decline toward $105,000-$106,000, where big liquidation clusters are waiting.

Hyblock data shows that sellers are still in charge of short-term price action, even though there is buying activity. The aggregate cumulative volume delta demonstrates that selling pressure is still strong. This makes for a fragile balance in which leverage placement is key to figuring out the immediate path.

[[BTC/USD-graph]]

 

Late-Cycle Warnings Cloud Bullish Fundamentals

Glassnode research presents key worries regarding Bitcoin’s current cycle position, even while demand metrics are looking good. The analytics tool points to a number of signs that BTC has entered the “historically late phase” of its bull market cycle.

Bitcoin’s circulating supply has been above the +1 standard deviation profit range for 273 days in a row, which is the second-longest streak on record. Long-term holders have already made more money than in almost all previous cycles. This has made more people want to sell, which is similar to what happened at past market peaks.

But history gives us some hope. In the past, cycles that looked like this one usually hit new all-time highs within two to three months after reaching this point. If this trend continues, Bitcoin might break its record high of $124,000 by the end of 2025.

Market Structure Reveals Underlying Fragility

Bitcoin may seem stable on the surface, but a closer look at the market shows some worrying fundamental issues. Charts of USDT domination show signs of a possible breakout that might lead to a drop in the value of other cryptocurrencies, which has made some traders more wary.

Even though there was a recent pullback, exchange inflows are still high, which could mean that selling pressure will persist. Also, the present rise doesn’t have a lot of whales involved; it’s mostly retail and smaller institutional purchasers that are driving the momentum.

Bitcoin’s network fundamentals are getting stronger all the time, and activity recently hit new highs for 2025. This gives the network a strong base for long-term growth, even while there are short-term worries.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Navigating the $105K-$115K Range

Technical and on-chain studies indicate to Bitcoin being at a crucial crossroads in the next several weeks. New demand absorption, technical consolidation needs, and late-cycle dynamics all come together to make a complicated environment where both big gains and big losses are still possible.

Short-term price targets show that the price will probably stay between $105,000 and $115,000, with $113,000 being the most important key. If Bitcoin can hold its present levels and keep getting new wallets, it could reach new all-time highs in the next two to three months.

Ethereum Faces Headwinds Despite Treasury Giants Driving Market Dynamics

Ethereum [[ETH/USD]] is moving through a complicated situation as institutional buying speeds up and technical signs point to possible downward pressure. The second-largest cryptocurrency in the world is trading above $4,500 but has dropped 2.8% in the last 24 hours. It is at a crucial point where corporate treasury strategies and market mood meet.

Ethereum Faces Headwinds Despite Treasury Giants Driving Market Dynamics
Ethereum price analysis

Growing Institutional Interest: BitMine’s Aggressive Accumulation Strategy

BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) is the leader in the institutional charge. It is a major player in Ethereum treasury plays. The company, which is based in Las Vegas, said it had $10.77 billion in total holdings, including 2,151,676 ETH valued around $9.7 billion at current rates. BitMine contributed 82,233 ETH to its treasury last week alone, showing that it has complete faith in Ethereum’s long-term future.

The company’s plan goes beyond just buying more ETH. For example, its stock holding in Worldcoin-focused Eightco (OCTO) has grown tenfold, from $20 million to $214 million. BitMine is now the second-largest public corporate cryptocurrency holder, behind MicroStrategy’s bitcoin reserves. This is because it has diversified its investments into “moonshot” stock opportunities and added more ETH to its portfolio.

Standard Chartered Predicts Ethereum Advantage in Digital Asset Treasury Race

The analysis from Standard Chartered backs up the optimistic institutional thesis for Ethereum. Geoffrey Kendrick, who is in charge of digital assets research at the bank, says that Ethereum would profit more than Bitcoin or Solana from the emergence of digital asset treasury (DAT) firms. The main difference is that Ethereum may stake, which should lead to larger market-to-net-asset-value (mNAV) ratios than assets that don’t yield.

DATs currently own a lot of key cryptocurrencies: 4% of all Bitcoin, 3.1% of Ethereum, and 0.8% of Solana. BitMine alone has more than 2 million ETH, which is almost 5% of the total supply, but it’s still a third of the way to its goal. This means that other institutions are likely to keep buying.

Ethereum Foundation’s AI Initiative dAI Signals Future Growth Catalyst

The Ethereum Foundation is making a strategic shift toward integrating artificial intelligence by starting a new “dAI” team lead by core developer Davide Crapis. The goal of the project is to make Ethereum the best place for AI agents and the machine economy to settle and coordinate their activities. The new ERC-8004 standard for AI agent identity and transactions, which will be released at Devconnect in November, might open up new ways to use the network and increase demand for it.

ETH/USD Technical Analysis Reveals Bearish Short-Term Outlook

Even while institutions are hopeful, Ethereum’s technical picture shows problems. ETH has dropped below important support levels of $4,650 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average after failing to keep up momentum over $4,765. A negative trend line with resistance at $4,610 shows that the downward pressure will keep on.

$4,500 (initial support), $4,460 (major support and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement), and $4,385 are all important support levels to keep an eye on. If the price drops below $4,460, it might lead to more selling that pushes the price down to $4,350 or possibly $4,270. On the other hand, if the price stays above the $4,620-$4,650 resistance level, it could start to rise again toward the $4,720-$4,765 level.

[[ETH/USD-graph]]

 

Ethereum Price Prediction: Institutional Floor Meets Technical Reality

The combination of rapid institutional accumulation and difficult technological conditions generates a unique situation. BitMine’s ongoing purchase and Standard Chartered’s positive DAT thesis give fundamental support, but the short-term price action looks like it could be corrected even more.

  • Near-term outlook (1-2 weeks): Expect prices to be unstable between $4,350 and $4,650, with institutional buying possibly helping to keep prices stable between $4,400 and $4,500.
  • Medium-term projection (1-3 months): If Ethereum can get past the current technical problems, it might reach $5,000 to $5,200, thanks to ongoing DAT accumulation and AI integration progress.

Solana’s Institutional Buying and Technical Signals Point to Potential $300+ Rally

Solana [[SOL/USD]] is currently trading at about $235, down more than 3% in the last 24 hours. This is because the cryptocurrency is at a significant point of support after being turned down at the key $250 resistance zone. Even though the price has dropped recently, institutional buying and strong technical indicators keep traders hopeful that SOL could reach $300 or more in the next few months.

Solana's Institutional Buying and Technical Signals Point to Potential $300+ Rally
Solana price analysis

Massive Institutional Accumulation Drives Market Confidence

The most important thing that has happened to support Solana’s bullish thesis is that institutions have been buying a lot of Solana, mostly headed by Galaxy Digital. Galaxy Digital has reportedly bought about $1.35 billion worth of SOL tokens in just one week, or over 5.82 million SOL tokens. This is the biggest institutional purchase of Solana coins this year.

A lot of SOL tokens have been moved from exchanges to private wallets during this huge buildup, which has essentially lowered the amount of tokens available for trading. More and more corporations are using these kinds of institutional treasury allocation strategies. For example, Forward Industries raised $1.65 billion in private capital just to buy SOL for their reserves.

The institutional interest goes beyond just one company. Pantera Capital said that Helius (HSDT), a new Solana-backed treasury vehicle listed on NASDAQ, is now available. It has an initial private placement of $500 million that could grow to more than $1 billion. Many observers think that the expanding tendency of companies using treasury services is putting constant pressure on demand, which could cause SOL to rise dramatically.

SuperTrend Indicator Flashes Historic Buy Signal

From a technical analysis point of view, Solana’s weekly SuperTrend indicator has given a bullish “buy” signal that has traditionally come before big price increases. The indicator, which uses average true range calculations to find market trends, changed from red to green and went below the price level when SOL went above $220.

This signal is important because of what has happened in the past. During the bull market of 2021, SuperTrend confirmations led to gains of between 620% and 3,200%. The most recent buy signal for the indicator came in July 2023, and it led to a huge rise of 1,339%, which pushed SOL from about $20 to all-time highs above $295 by January 2025.

Some analysts think that SOL may reach $1,000 if this pattern from the past happens again. However, these targets would need to be met with steady institutional demand and good market conditions over a long period of time.

Solana Network Fundamentals Support Bullish Case

Solana’s basic metrics keep getting better, even though technical indications and institutional buying are also on the rise. The network is once again the best blockchain for decentralized exchange (DEX) trading. In September, it beat Ethereum with $121.8 billion in monthly volumes, which is around 90% more than competitor BNB Chain.

This DEX’s supremacy is especially essential because bigger trade volumes mean higher transaction fees, which means that SOL tokens are always in demand. Nansen data shows that prices on the Solana network have gone up 23% in the last seven days. This shows that more people are using the network, even if the price has been going up and down a lot lately.

Proposed interoperability improvements, such as an open-source bridge between Solana and Base (Coinbase’s Ethereum layer-2 solution), could help the network’s growing ecosystem even more. This bridge could give people access to Base’s 20 million active addresses and make the multi-chain ecosystem more connected.

SOL/USD Technical Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels

Even if the long-term outlook is good, SOL has some technical problems right now. The latest rejection at $250 has created a descending parallel channel on shorter time frames. On daily charts, the Relative Strength Index reached overbought levels of 70, and on four-hour charts, it reached 83 before the current downturn began.

The 50-period simple moving average around $227 is giving extra support, and critical support levels are now being tested between $230 and $235. If these levels don’t hold, analysts say SOL could try to test the $220 level again before trying to break through the $250-$260 resistance zone.

A lot of technical analysts still think that this resistance can be broken. The uptrend has been confirmed by the crossover of the nine-weekly exponential moving average over the 15-weekly EMA. The next important liquidity objective is around $300.

[[SOL/USD-graph]]

 

Solana Price Predictions Range from Conservative to Ambitious

Different market analysts have made different price predictions based on their own timeframes and assumptions. If purchasing momentum is strong and technical support levels stay strong, conservative short-term targets are around $250 to $300.

More positive scenarios, which are usually described as long-term or best-case outcomes, raise the forecast to $350 to $450. Some analysts have set even higher goals, saying that SOL may reach $460. However, these predictions would need a number of things to happen, such as ongoing institutional inflows, clear regulations, and more people using the network in the real world.

To reach these greater goals, SOL would require a few things to happen: more institutions using it on a wide scale, the possibility of spot Solana ETFs being approved in the US, more money being put into corporate treasuries, and more activity and transactions happening on the blockchain.

Lululemon (LULU) Stock Forecast 2025: Growth Potential or Overvalued Risk?

Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU) has grown from a niche yoga apparel brand into a global leader in the premium athleisure market. With over 760 stores worldwide and a strong digital presence, the company continues to expand its footprint in North America, China, and other international markets.

LULU Stock Reaches Critical Support at the 200-Month EMA

Over the past decade, Lululemon Athletica (LULU) has delivered a remarkable performance, appreciating by approximately 1,324%. This impressive long-term uptrend, however, has encountered significant resistance in the $384 – $516.40 range, where the stock entered a corrective phase.

During this pullback, LULU decisively broke below the golden ratio support at $204, extending the retracement toward the 200-month Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $160. This level now serves as a critical support zone, where a potential bullish reaction could emerge.

From a technical perspective, the monthly indicators present a mixed outlook:

  • The Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) continue to support the broader uptrend, with a golden crossover reinforcing bullish sentiment in the long term.

  • In contrast, the MACD lines have crossed bearishly, while the MACD histogram signals ongoing downside momentum.

  • Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is drifting lower within neutral territory, leaving room for further downside before conditions become oversold.

In summary, while long-term momentum remains intact, the stock is now testing a pivotal inflection point at the 200-month EMA ($160). Price action at this level will be crucial in determining whether LULU can resume its primary uptrend or face deeper corrective pressure.

LULU
LULU

More Bearish Signals On The Weekly Chart

On the weekly timeframe, LULU presents a decisively bearish technical structure. The exponential moving averages (EMAs) have aligned into a death cross, signaling a mid-term downtrend confirmation. In parallel, the MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, with the histogram continuing its downward trajectory since last week—further reinforcing momentum to the downside. Meanwhile, the RSI flirts with oversold territory, underscoring weakening buying pressure.

That said, if LULU initiates a short-term relief bounce, the next significant Fibonacci resistance levels come into play at $298 and $394. Importantly, only a sustained break above the golden ratio at $394 would invalidate the ongoing correction phase, opening the door for a potential recovery trend.

LULU
LULU

Daily Chart Confirms the Bearish Bias

The daily chart mirrors the bearish structure observed on the weekly chart. The exponential moving averages (EMAs) are aligned in a death cross, reinforcing the short- to medium-term downtrend. Momentum indicators add weight to this outlook: the MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, the MACD histogram continues to tick lower, and the RSI trends sideways within slightly oversold territory, showing a lack of bullish conviction.

If LULU attempts a short-term recovery, it faces immediate overhead resistance at the 50-day EMA, currently positioned at $213.5. Until this level is decisively reclaimed, downside risks remain dominant.

LULU
LULU

4H Chart Extends the Bearish Structure

The 4-hour timeframe reinforces the prevailing bearish bias. The EMAs are locked in a death cross, confirming downside momentum in the short term. Complementing this, the MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, the MACD histogram continues to trend lower, and the RSI drifts within neutral territory, underscoring a lack of bullish divergence.

This alignment suggests that near-term rallies are likely to face strong resistance and may ultimately resolve into continued weakness unless key levels are reclaimed.

LULU
LULU

LULU Technical Summary

LULU has delivered a 1,324% gain over the past decade but entered a corrective phase between $384 – $516.4. Price broke below the Fib 0.618 ($204) and retraced to the 200-month EMA at $160, where it now finds critical long-term support.

  • Monthly chart: Mixed signals. Golden crossover of EMAs supports mid-term bullish trend, but MACD and RSI lean bearish/neutral.

  • Weekly chart: Bearish alignment with EMA death cross, MACD bearish, RSI near oversold. Key resistances: $298 and $394 (Fib). Break above $394 is required to invalidate the correction.

  • Daily chart: Death cross active. First major resistance at the 50-day EMA ($213.5).

  • 4H chart: Fully bearish structure with EMA death cross, MACD weakness, RSI neutral.

Key Support: $160 (200M EMA)
Key Resistances: $213.5 (50D EMA), $298, $394 (golden ratio / invalidation level)