Bitcoin Nears New Record High as Nonfarm Payrolls Exceeds Expectations

Posted on July 3, 2025 by Timothy St. John

Several positive economic factors have pushed Bitcoin (BTC) to $110,126 (BTC/USD) at the time of writing, very close to its record high.

Is Bitcoin going to hit a new high this week?

It looks like Bitcoin will be setting a new record soon, and we can thank Thursday’s Nonfarm Payrolls report and a trade deal between the U.S. and Vietnam for the boost.

On Wednesday, President Donald Trump announced on social media that the United States and Vietnam had agreed on a trade deal that would tax Vietnamese imports at 20%. The Nonfarm Payrolls report for June showed that 147,00 jobs were added, which is more than was estimated.

Bitcoin had been gaining ground slowly for the past few days, ever since a ceasefire was announced in the Middle East between Iran and Israel. With news that the United States would not be engaging in a drawn out battle in the Middle East, investors were confident enough to buy in on Bitcoin.

Bitcoin is now just 1.59% away from a new record and has gained 2.44% over the last 24 hours. The coin may only hours from achieving a new record high thanks to the aforementioned positive economic factors.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

Once Bitcoin sets a new record, which seems inevitable at this point, that will significantly boost consumer confidence in the coin. Bitcoin has had trouble moving much beyond its record highs, so there is a risk that it will retreat as soon as the new record is achieved. However, we think that many of the whales will add to their holdings very soon to help bolster the coin and push that record even higher.

Since BTC has shown exceptional stability over the past few weeks, it is not outrageous to think that it will continue to post record highs over the coming weeks. The coin may hit $135K in the next three months, according to some analysts, with a 2025 high of over $150K.

Many factors are working in its favor right now, including paused tariffs, minor economic improvement, steady inflation, and relative peace in the Middle East. This is the perfect time for Bitcoin to climb very high, and with its recent history, it is expected that the coin will hang onto most of its gains.

Litecoin (LTC) Bounces Off Golden Ratio — Bull Run Reloaded Targets $132

Posted on July 3, 2025 by Roy Levine

After enduring a corrective pullback since early May, Litecoin (LTC) appears to be staging a bullish comeback as it defends a key Fibonacci level and sets its sights on reclaiming critical resistance zones.

Litecoin Thumbnail Image — Litecoin (LTC) Bullish Looking Thumbnail Image

The market’s recent “risk-off” sentiment phase — driven by geopolitical volatility and inflation uncertainty — dragged LTC from its intermediate key-resistance at $100.68 down to the pivotal 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around $77.50, a classic technical zone known for producing powerful market reversals.

The latest price action shows buyers stepping back in at this important support cluster, suggesting the corrective cycle has likely run its course. With sentiment stabilizing across the broader crypto market, the stage is set for Litecoin to embark on a fresh bull cycle.

Technical Outlook

The Weekly chart highlights the significance of recent moves. After its rejection at $100.68 in early May, Litecoin sold off sharply, finding solid footing just above $77.50, coinciding perfectly with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement drawn from the April 2025 low to the May 2025 high. This “golden ratio” level frequently acts as a market inflection point, and Litecoin’s reaction here is textbook bullish behavior.

Currently trading around $91.17, LTC has formed a series of higher lows over the past three weeks, signaling fading selling pressure and building upside momentum. The immediate target remains the intermediate key-resistance at $100.68, which previously served as a ceiling for price action.

A clean, decisive weekly close above this level would constitute a breakout confirmation, likely attracting technical buyers and momentum traders. Should this occur, Litecoin would have a clear runway toward the next significant resistance at $132.63, a major level that capped price rallies throughout late 2024 and early 2025.

From a risk management standpoint, the $77.50–$72.12 zone remains the last structural support and invalidation area for this bullish thesis.

Litecoin Weekly Chart — Litecoin (LTC) Bullish Looking Weekly Chart

Long-Term Bullish Case

Beyond short-term levels, the broader technical structure favors Litecoin’s upside continuation. The asset’s cyclical price action — characterized by sharp rallies followed by corrective pullbacks into Fibonacci support — suggests the current recovery phase could extend well beyond the $132.63 mark, provided macro market conditions stabilize.

Historically, Litecoin tends to outperform during later stages of Bitcoin-led rallies, and with Bitcoin’s price action consolidating near key resistance zones, a sector-wide altcoin resurgence could lift LTC alongside other major market-cap coins.

Litecoin (LTC) Technology Update

On the technology side, Litecoin continues to evolve steadily, maintaining its relevance in the highly competitive crypto landscape. The MimbleWimble Extension Block (MWEB) privacy protocol, which went live last year, has been increasingly adopted by third-party wallet providers, improving fungibility and confidentiality for LTC transactions.

Moreover, the Litecoin Foundation recently announced the development of LitePay 2.0, a payment gateway solution tailored for e-commerce platforms and in-store crypto payments. The new iteration promises seamless conversion between crypto and fiat, low transaction fees, and near-instant settlement times — a move aimed at bolstering Litecoin’s real-world utility and merchant adoption.

Litecoin’s low transaction costs and high transaction throughput remain strong competitive advantages, particularly as network congestion and fee spikes continue to plague several smart contract-focused blockchains.

Conclusion

In summary, Litecoin appears to have completed its corrective cycle, finding support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement around $77.50. The formation of higher lows and rising momentum point to a potential bullish continuation toward the $100.68 resistance zone. A successful breakout above this inflection level would open the door for a sustained rally toward $132.63 and possibly higher.

Coupled with continued technology improvements and growing institutional-grade payment solutions, Litecoin’s medium-to-long-term outlook remains bullish.

Key Levels to Watch:

Resistance: $100.68, $132.63
Support: $77.50, $72.12

Stellar (XLM) Triple Bottom Confirmed — Is the Next Breakout Imminent?

Posted on July 2, 2025 by Roy Levine

Stellar (XLM) has delivered exactly as anticipated in our last forecast from June 12, 2025, when we warned of a bearish continuation following a rejection at resistance, and identified clear downside targets at $0.2441 and $0.2321.

Stellar Thumbnail Image — Stellar (XLM) Bullish Looking Thumbnail Image

Since then, the market’s follow-through was textbook, with XLM decisively tagging both support zones. Now, the technical landscape has shifted — and the risk-reward profile is once again favoring the bulls.

Recent price action shows Stellar not only defending the major key support at $0.2321 — dubbed in our previous notes as the “last line of defense” — but also printing a compelling triple bottom formation at this very level. This classic reversal pattern strongly suggests that bearish momentum is running out of steam, and a fresh upside phase could be on the horizon.

Technical Outlook

Looking at the monthly chart, XLM remains entrenched in a corrective downtrend following its explosive rally in Q4 2024. However, the latest candles are narrowing in range and establishing a firm base around $0.2321–$0.2400. The zone remains pivotal, with any decisive breach lower threatening a test of $0.2085 — though price behavior now suggests a higher probability of an upward breakout.

Stellar Monthly Chart — Stellar (XLM) Bullish Looking Monthly Chart

The Weekly chart paints an even clearer bullish prospect. The repeated defenses of $0.2321 combined with a triple bottom pattern signal a potential exhaustion of selling pressure. Notably, each attempt by bears to push below has been met with equal buying interest, reinforcing the importance of this level.

Should price manage to close above $0.2441 in the coming sessions, a breakout confirmation would likely trigger momentum toward $0.2864 (first significant Fibonacci retracement and former price cluster), with further medium-term targets at $0.3194 and $0.3472. Ultimately, a reclaim of $0.4015 would confirm a full trend reversal on the higher timeframes.

Stellar Weekly Chart — Stellar (XLM) Bullish Looking Weekly Chart

Long-Term Bullish Narrative

Despite market volatility, Stellar’s core value proposition as a decentralized cross-border payment solution remains fundamentally attractive, particularly within emerging markets and blockchain-based remittance corridors. The recent technical stabilization adds weight to the long-term bullish case, especially given Stellar’s relatively low market cap compared to its historic highs.

Institutional adoption of blockchain infrastructure continues to expand, and Stellar’s lean consensus mechanism and low transaction costs position it as a viable backbone for large-scale payment networks.

Stellar (XLM) Technology Update

On the development front, Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) announced last week the integration of Soroban Smart Contracts into the mainnet’s public beta phase. This long-awaited feature unlocks new decentralized finance (DeFi) and enterprise application possibilities on the Stellar network — a development that could drastically improve XLM’s transactional utility and demand over time.

Additionally, Stellar continues to grow its footprint in Africa and Southeast Asia, recently securing a strategic partnership with a regional telecom operator to enable blockchain-based mobile remittance services for underbanked populations. The move aligns with Stellar’s original mission and could meaningfully increase on-chain transaction volume.

Conclusion

In summary, while Stellar faced a technically and sentimentally challenging environment in recent months, the market appears to have found its footing at the critical $0.2321 support. The emergence of a triple bottom reversal pattern enhances the probability of a sustained upside breakout in the short to medium term.

Traders should monitor the $0.2441 resistance closely, as a confirmed break above would likely open the way toward $0.2864 and beyond. Coupled with advancing technology upgrades and fresh institutional partnerships, Stellar’s bullish thesis is regaining credibility.

Key Levels to Watch:

Resistance: $0.2441, $0.2864, $0.3149, $0.3472
Support: $0.2321, $0.2085

Chainlink (LINK) Bullish Reversal: Key-Support Flip Signals Further Upside Potential

Posted on June 29, 2025 by Roy Levine

Chainlink (LINK) continues to follow our projections with impressive technical precision. In our May 25 forecast, we identified clear signs of bearish vulnerability, warning that a rejection at $16.95 would likely accelerate a corrective move toward $12.81 and potentially deeper into the $11.52 support region.

Chainlink Thumbnail Image — Chainlink (LINK) Bullish Looking Thumbnail Image

That scenario unfolded almost perfectly, with LINK retracing down to test both levels in sequence. Now, however, the narrative has shifted, and the technical landscape hints at a bullish reversal taking shape — bolstered by key support flips, rising price momentum, and stabilizing macro market sentiment.

Technical Outlook

The daily chart (see attached) illustrates a clear structural rebound:

After bottoming near $11.52, LINK rebounded sharply.
The recent breakout above $12.81, a critical intermediate resistance-turned-support, signals a market structure shift.
A successful retest of this level from above confirms it as new support, adding conviction to the bullish thesis.

As of this writing, LINK is trading around $13.38, with short-term momentum pointing toward a test of the Intermediate Key-Resistance at $14.99, which serves as our official profit target for this bullish wave.

On a break above $14.99, the next significant upside level is $16.95, the major resistance level that triggered the last bearish rejection. Clearing this would open the path for a more sustained rally, especially given the improved macro environment and altcoin sector strength.

Chainlink Daily Chart — Chainlink (LINK) Bullish Looking Daily Chart

Higher Timeframe Confirmation

The Monthly chart provides a compelling complementary view:

LINK has printed a double bottom structure around $11.52, a historically reliable bullish reversal pattern.
A clear re-test and hold above $12.81 adds further confirmation.
The next major resistance level resides at $19.35, a long-term horizontal level and prior market pivot point.
Beyond this, a secondary upside target is marked at $26.35, though this would likely require broader market tailwinds to reach in the medium term.

As long as LINK holds above $12.81, the bullish scenario remains active, with price expected to gravitate toward the $14.99 target.

Chainlink Monthly Chart — Chainlink (LINK) Bullish Looking Monthly Chart

Chainlink Technology Update (June 2025)

From a fundamentals perspective, Chainlink continues to solidify its position as the leading decentralized oracle network. Recent updates include:

Launch of Chainlink CCIP (Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol) v1.1, now integrating with several layer-2 scaling solutions, enabling secure cross-chain token transfers and messaging.
Expanded staking pools for LINK holders, improving network decentralization and incentivizing node operator participation.
Increased enterprise adoption, with recent integrations announced with TradFi institutions leveraging Chainlink’s Proof of Reserve services for on-chain asset auditing.

These enhancements not only strengthen Chainlink’s core infrastructure but also bolster long-term investor confidence, creating a supportive backdrop for the ongoing technical rebound.

Conclusion & Strategy

Chainlink’s price action has executed a textbook bottoming process at key support levels outlined in our prior forecast. With $12.81 flipped to support, bullish momentum is building, setting the stage for a move toward the $14.99 profit target.

Trading Outlook:

Entry Zone: Minor pullbacks into $13.00 – $13.20
Profit Target: $14.99
Protective Stop: Below $11.80

A clean break above $14.99 is likely to trigger the next phase of this recovery cycle, with upside potential expanding toward $16.95 and eventually $19.35 on higher timeframes.

Solana (SOL) Bullish Forecast: Key Support Re-Test Fuels Fresh Breakout Prospects

Posted on June 28, 2025 by Roy Levine

After several weeks of bearish pressure and market uncertainty, Solana (SOL) is showing definitive signs of a bullish resurgence.

Solana Thumbnail Image — Solana (SOL) Bullish Looking Thumbnail Image

Precisely as anticipated in our June 17 forecast, we highlighted the potential for a decisive drop toward the Major Key Support at $133.21, warning that a failure at the $138.11 intermediate resistance could open the gates for a retest of this lower zone.

True to our projection, Solana’s price action followed our assessment to the letter, with the market finding a clear bottom at the $133.21 Major Support, validating its critical role as a defensive stronghold for bullish sentiment. Even more telling, the price has since rebounded, and just yesterday successfully retested the $138.11 intermediate key-level from above, confirming it as newfound support.

Key Technical Outlook

The daily chart (see attached) paints a clear picture of improving market structure for SOL:

Protective stop-losses can be established at the lower levels around $128.00, relying on the key support of 133.21 as last line of resort.
Price action established a bottom formation around $133.21, followed by a sharp rebound.
A successful retest of the $138.11 intermediate support confirmed new buying interest, with SOL now trading around $146.91 at the time of writing.

Our intermediate target sits at $166.73, a significant resistance zone identified in previous forecasts. This level has served as both support and resistance in recent months, and reclaiming it would be a strong confirmation of a broader bullish breakout.

Solana Daily Chart — Solana (SOL) Bullish Looking Daily Chart

Higher Timeframe Context

Zooming out to the Monthly chart reinforces this bullish scenario. After multiple months of corrective decline, Solana’s price has settled into a consolidation pattern between $133.21 and $166.73, with long-wick rejections of lower levels hinting at persistent demand.

Key levels on the monthly chart:

Major Key Support Re-Test: $133.21
Primary Bull Target: $186.21
Further breakout potential toward the long-term resistance zone at $233.58 — a level last approached in early 2025.

If SOL can decisively clear $166.73 in the coming sessions, momentum should carry it toward $186.21, a key multi-month resistance and our primary bull target for this wave.

Solana Monthly Chart — Solana (SOL) Bullish Looking Monthly Chart

Macro Drivers: Middle East Tensions Cooling

Aside from technical factors, macroeconomic conditions are also turning favorable for crypto markets. The easing of tensions in the Middle East has reduced market risk aversion, triggering a rotation back into risk assets, including major altcoins like Solana. This geopolitical shift is expected to support a more sustainable crypto recovery cycle over the next several weeks.

Conclusion & Strategy

Solana (SOL) has delivered a textbook technical move since our June 17 analysis — dropping to our forecasted bottom, establishing a reliable base at $133.21, and reclaiming $138.11 on a retest. With support firming and geopolitical risks easing, the stage is now set for a continuation of this bullish structure.

Trading Outlook:

Entry Zone: On minor dips toward $144.50 – $146.00
Intermediate Target: $166.73
Primary Bull Target: $186.21
Protective Stop: Below $133.21, ideally around $128.00

The longer price action remains above $138.11, the more likely it would add further confirmation to this bullish scenario, opening the door for a rapid test of $166.73.

Ripple (XRP) On the Edge: One Last Dip Before the Bull Breakout?

Posted on June 27, 2025 by Roy Levine

Ripple (XRP) continues its cautious navigation through a complex technical landscape, as price action attempts to carve out a meaningful bottom amid broad market indecision.

Ripple Thumbnail Image — Ripple (XRP) Indecisive Bullish Looking Thumbnail Image

Since our previous forecast on June 1, 2025 — where we anticipated a potential bullish reversal after a corrective pullback — XRP has indeed shown signs of stabilization. However, the momentum to reclaim and decisively clear former key-support levels has so far been underwhelming.

The latest weekly candle on the attached chart reflects a tentative bounce from the $2.0588–$2.1329 region, which we have repeatedly identified as a significant inflection zone. Price is currently hovering around $2.10, caught between bearish pressure and latent bullish demand. While the geopolitical cooling in the Middle East briefly lifted sentiment across risk markets, crypto investors remain wary — and this is visibly mirrored in XRP’s lack of conviction on the upside.

Price Action Outlook

From a technical perspective, XRP/USD is exhibiting classic symptoms of a market hunting for a sustainable low. After a strong impulsive rally in late 2024, Ripple entered a prolonged correction phase, repeatedly testing the $2.0588–$2.1329 band, now acting as stubborn resistance after its prior role as a support floor.

The chart illustrates that each bullish attempt in recent weeks has faltered at this barrier, indicating supply clusters from trapped long positions and cautious short-sellers reinforcing their exposure. The inability to sustain moves above $2.13 suggests that the market may require one more bearish leg, likely targeting the lower boundary around $1.7325 to $1.6567, before genuine accumulation begins.

While the recent higher low pattern hints at strengthening demand below $2.00, without a clear breakout above $2.1329, bullish traction remains speculative.

Ripple Weekly Chart — Ripple (XRP) Bullish Looking Weekly Chart

Long-Term Bullish Narrative Intact

Despite the current short-term hesitancy, our long-term bullish outlook for Ripple remains firmly intact. As global capital markets gradually normalize, and as investor appetite for blockchain utility tokens returns, XRP is poised to reclaim higher valuations — particularly considering its strategic positioning in cross-border settlements.

The higher timeframe structure still aligns with a bullish continuation model, provided that the $1.65–$1.73 demand zone holds on any future dip. A decisive breakout above $2.1329 would likely confirm a medium-term bottom, unlocking targets at $2.4237, $2.6656, and eventually $3.1418, as indicated by Fibonacci projection levels on the weekly chart.

Ripple (XRP) Technology Update

On the technology front, Ripple Labs has maintained a steady pace in expanding its On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) corridors, adding Vietnam and Brazil to its operational network this month. This expansion comes alongside a newly inked partnership with a tier-1 remittance provider in Southeast Asia, which is expected to drive increased transactional volume through the XRP ledger.

Additionally, RippleX developers rolled out XRP Ledger (XRPL) v2.2.1, addressing minor performance enhancements and refining the sidechain interoperability protocol — a core component of Ripple’s future scalability strategy. This upgrade strengthens Ripple’s appeal for enterprise-grade blockchain integrations, further underpinning the long-term demand case for XRP.

Conclusion

In summary, while Ripple’s short-term price action remains under pressure and might deliver one final bearish wave towards the $1.73–$1.65 region, the broader technical and fundamental narrative continues to favor a bullish resolution. Investors should watch for a decisive weekly close above $2.1329 as the key signal for resumption of the medium to long-term uptrend.

The latest technology developments and expanding ODL infrastructure only enhance the token’s utility and long-term investment thesis. Traders and investors should remain patient, as this consolidation phase is likely nearing its conclusion.

Key Levels to Watch:

Key Resistance Levels: $2.0588, $2.1329
Key Support Levels: , $1.7325, $1.6567

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Bullish Structure Intact, Eyes Set on Major Breakout

Posted on June 25, 2025 by Roy Levine

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) continues to track precisely in line with our roadmap from the June 11 forecast, as the market respects technical levels with impressive precision.

Bitcoin Cash Thumbnail Image — Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Bullish Looking Thumbnail Image

In our previous report, we identified the intermediate key-resistance at $454.74 as a pivotal breakout point for BCH. As of this writing, price action has rallied to directly challenge this barrier, with the Monthly chart highlighting this confrontation.

The current market dynamic reveals a sustained bullish structure since the March 2025 lows, with a series of higher lows and firm rejections of downside attempts. This pattern has fueled a steady upward grind, positioning BCH for a critical test at $454.74. A decisive close above this level on the higher timeframes, especially the Monthly, would validate the bullish continuation thesis.

Should this breakout materialize, it will pave the way toward the major key-resistance and long-term target at $612.88 — a level not visited since late 2024. This level is not only technically significant due to previous price memory but also psychologically impactful, as it represents the mid-range of BCH’s post-2021 retracement phase.

On the downside, the recent support area around $419.20 remains the first defensive line, with $378.20 acting as a deeper corrective threshold should temporary weakness surface.

Bitcoin Cash Monthly Chart — Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Bullish Looking Monthly Chart

Macro & Market Sentiment Outlook

Geopolitical tensions stemming from the Middle East conflict, which previously capped risk appetite across crypto markets, have notably subsided. With immediate threats of escalation diminishing — particularly amid signs of the Iranian regime’s limited operational capacity — global markets have collectively shifted back to a risk-on posture. This shift favors high-beta assets such as cryptocurrencies, and Bitcoin Cash is already benefiting from this sentiment pivot.

Furthermore, broader crypto market conditions remain constructive. Bitcoin (BTC) has reestablished itself above key inflection points, while Ethereum (ETH) eyes bullish reversals, both reinforcing positive spillover sentiment for mid-cap coins like BCH.

Technology & Vision Update

While Bitcoin Cash has historically positioned itself as the scalable, transaction-friendly alternative to Bitcoin, it continues to innovate quietly in the background. The CashTokens upgrade, successfully activated earlier this year, has equipped BCH with native token issuance capabilities, decentralized applications (dApps), and smart contract features, effectively closing a functional gap versus more flexible chains like Ethereum.

This development opens the door for Bitcoin Cash to participate more actively in DeFi ecosystems, peer-to-peer asset trading, and token-based services without abandoning its primary mission as a fast, low-fee payment network. Adoption growth in regions with volatile fiat environments — notably in South America and Africa — has further validated BCH’s utility-driven vision.

Looking ahead, the Bitcoin Cash ecosystem roadmap for late 2025 highlights efforts to enhance interoperability with Ethereum-compatible protocols, improve CashTokens functionality, and expand native dApp frameworks — positioning BCH to capture a meaningful share of decentralized financial services without the high transaction costs associated with Ethereum.

Conclusion

In summary, Bitcoin Cash maintains a firm bullish technical structure, closely following our strategic forecasts. The immediate focus lies on conquering the intermediate key-resistance at $454.74. A confirmed breakout above this line would likely accelerate upside momentum, unlocking the path toward $612.88 — the major long-term target.

With geopolitical risk premium retreating and a broader crypto market recovery underway, Bitcoin Cash is well-positioned to capitalize on renewed investor appetite for mid-cap assets. Coupled with its strategic technology upgrades and growing transaction utility, BCH’s bullish thesis for 2025 remains fully intact.

Key Levels to Watch

Immediate Key-Resistance: $454.74
Major Target: $612.88
Support Levels: $419.20 / $378.20

Bitcoin Forecast: Bounces Back HARD! New Bullish Targets in Sight

Posted on June 24, 2025 by Roy Levine

After a volatile week driven by geopolitical unrest, Bitcoin (BTC) is showing impressive resilience.

Bitcoin Thumbnail Image — Bitcoin (BTC) Bullish Looking Thumbnail Image

Price action recently retraced to retest the major key inflection point at $101,276, a level previously identified as a pivotal support zone for the ongoing bullish cycle. As geopolitical tensions ease — particularly fears over significant Iranian retaliation against U.S. forces — risk appetite has resurfaced across financial markets, fueling a sharp bounce in Bitcoin’s price.

At the time of writing, BTC/USD is trading around $105,166, reclaiming ground and positioning itself for a renewed upside push.

Short-term Outlook

As illustrated on the Daily chart, Bitcoin’s short-term correction found strong support at our key level of $101,276, confirming its importance as a market pivot. The rejection at this level triggered a bullish rebound, with price now approaching the first short-term resistance and target zone at $109,280.

Should momentum persist, an extended short-term target is set near the all-time high around $111,569, marked by the green dashed line on the chart.

Key technical highlights:

Stop-loss level ideally placed below the recent support at $99,350 to manage downside risk.
Short-term momentum remains bullish above $103,137 (interim minor support).
Break and hold above $109,280 likely to trigger another wave of buying pressure.

Bitcoin Daily Chart — Bitcoin (BTC) Bullish Looking Daily Chart

Long-term Perspective

The Monthly chart confirms the long-term bullish bias remains intact. Bitcoin has decisively rejected a break below $101,276, which has proven to be a robust inflection point, aligning with the structural uptrend established since late 2024.

The previous high near $111,570 remains a critical upside target, with a breakout above this level expected to initiate a fresh all-time high run. Price structure remains constructive, with higher highs and higher lows intact on the broader timeframe.

Bitcoin Monthly Chart — Bitcoin (BTC) Bullish Looking Monthly Chart

Key Levels to Watch

Level	Zone Type
$99,350	Stop-loss
$101,276	Major Key Support
$103,137	Minor Support
$109,280	Short-term Target
$111,569	Extended Target / ATH retest

Fundamental & Macro Overview

The key driver behind this recovery rally is the easing of geopolitical fears. The widely anticipated Iranian retaliation in the Middle East turned out to be far less impactful than feared, exposing the regime’s limited operational reach. This, coupled with a lack of effective counter-response and the market’s anticipation of stabilizing regional risks, has reactivated ‘risk-on’ sentiment globally.

Bitcoin, often seen as a speculative high-beta asset during times of improving risk appetite, is naturally benefitting from this renewed market optimism.

In addition, dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials hinting at potential rate cuts in Q4 2025 have further supported appetite for crypto assets.

Bitcoin Technology & Vision Update

While no major protocol upgrades were announced this week, Bitcoin’s scaling and Layer-2 development ecosystem continues to gain traction. The Lightning Network has surpassed 7,000 BTC capacity, indicating sustained growth in transaction efficiency and micro-payment infrastructure.

Institutional interest also remains robust, with the launch of several new regulated Bitcoin funds in both Asia and Europe, underscoring growing mainstream adoption.

Bitcoin’s vision as “sound money for a decentralized future” is increasingly validated amid mounting concerns over traditional monetary policies and currency devaluation risks.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s price action remains bullish on both the short and long-term perspectives. The critical hold at $101,276 amid geopolitical turmoil has reaffirmed market conviction, setting the stage for an advance towards $109,280 and potentially $111,569 in the coming sessions.

As always, prudent risk management is advised — with a stop-loss placed below $99,236 to protect against sudden downside volatility.

Amazon (AMZN) Faces Critical Resistance — Breakout Ahead or Reversal Risk?

Posted on June 24, 2025June 24, 2025 by Konstantin Kaiser

Amazon (AMZN) stock has soared over 35% since early April, approaching a critical resistance zone that could define its next major move. Will the rally lose steam and trigger a reversal — or is a bullish breakout on the horizon?

Amazon (AMZN) Faces Major Golden Ratio Resistance at $214

Since the beginning of April, Amazon (AMZN) has rallied impressively, gaining over 35% and establishing a golden crossover, confirming a bullish trend in the short- to medium-term. However, the stock now approaches a critical technical juncture at $214, which marks the golden ratio resistance level — a zone where AMZN was previously rejected.

A failure to decisively break through this resistance could trigger a bearish reversal, with immediate downside risk toward the next Fibonacci support level at $196.60. Should this level fail to hold, the golden ratio support at $182 would become the next key area to watch for potential stabilization.

From a momentum standpoint, the MACD currently reflects short-term bearish pressure, as the MACD lines have crossed bearishly and the histogram continues to trend lower. Meanwhile, the RSI remains in neutral territory, providing no clear directional bias at this stage.

In summary, AMZN is at a technically pivotal level. A confirmed breakout above $214 could reaccelerate bullish momentum, while rejection could usher in a corrective phase toward deeper Fibonacci support levels.

Similar Outlook on the 4H Chart

The 4-hour chart reflects a near-identical technical setup. The EMAs have formed a golden crossover, reinforcing a bullish short-term trend. However, momentum indicators suggest emerging weakness: the MACD lines have crossed bearishly, and the MACD histogram continues its downward trajectory, indicating persistent short-term bearish momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI hovers in neutral territory, offering no clear directional bias.

At present, AMZN is holding above support at the 50-4H-EMA at $208.40. A break below this level could open the door for a deeper retracement toward the 200-4H-EMA at $203, slightly above the next Fibonacci support zone.

In summary, while the broader trend remains constructive, short-term momentum is weakening. Price action around the $208.40 and $203 levels will be critical in determining whether Amazon resumes its rally or enters a deeper consolidation phase.

Amazon (AMZN) Stock Dropped 33.5% Prior to Current Rally — Now Approaches Make-or-Break Resistance

Before Amazon’s recent surge, the stock endured a 33.5% decline, ultimately finding solid support at the 200-week EMA, which currently sits at $163. This level served as a critical long-term anchor, preventing further downside and setting the stage for the current rebound.

Despite the correction, the weekly EMAs and MACD lines remained in a bullish crossover, maintaining a constructive mid-term trend outlook. However, the RSI continues to oscillate in neutral territory, offering little directional clarity at this stage.

Now, AMZN finds itself at a technically pivotal level. The golden ratio resistance at $214 has once again come into play — a zone that must be broken decisively to invalidate the ongoing correction phase. A successful breakout above this level would likely reignite bullish momentum, positioning Amazon to retest its all-time high at $242.50.

For now, however, price action signals potential rejection at this resistance. The MACD histogram has begun to tick lower on the weekly chart, suggesting that bearish momentum may be building.

Should a correction unfold, the 50-week EMA at $197.60, which aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, serves as the next significant support. A bounce from this zone could offer a renewed attempt to challenge the $214 barrier.

Amazon (AMZN) Shows Bearish Momentum on the Monthly Chart

The monthly chart of Amazon (AMZN) presents a cautiously bearish technical outlook. The MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, and the MACD histogram has been ticking lower for consecutive months, indicating persistent downward momentum. At the same time, the RSI continues to fluctuate within neutral territory, providing no strong directional signal.

Technically, Amazon remains under pressure unless it can achieve a decisive breakout above the golden ratio resistance at $214. In the event of continued rejection, AMZN finds strong support between $174.50 and $188.65 — a critical zone that previously acted as both resistance and support.

Should this range fail to hold, the next significant downside target lies at the 50-month EMA, currently positioned at $156, which could serve as a final line of defense for the long-term bullish structure.

Goldman Sachs warns Oil at $110 a barrel amid Strait of Hormuz Closure

Posted on June 23, 2025 by Olumide Adesina

Goldman Sachs warned of threats to the world’s energy supply due to concerns about a possible disruption in the Strait of Hormuz that could lead to sharp increases in natural gas and oil

If oil flows through this vital waterway were to be cut in half for a month and maintained at a 10 percent decline for the next 11 months, the bank predicted that Brent crude could reach a brief peak of $110 per barrel.

According to a note, prices would stabilize, with Brent averaging about $95 per barrel in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Oil prices surged on Monday to their highest level since January following Washington’s agreement with Israel to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities over the weekend. Citing data from Polymarket, Goldman noted that prediction markets currently indicate a 52 percent chance of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz in 2025, despite the limited liquidity in the market.

Goldman Sachs stated, “Economic incentives, including for the US and China, to try to prevent a sustained and large disruption of the Strait of Hormuz would be strong, even though the events in the Middle East remain fluid.”

Iran’s Press TV said the Supreme National Security Council must ultimately decide whether to close the Strait of Hormuz in response to US bombing raids after parliament reportedly supported the action.

Additionally, Goldman Sachs predicted that European natural gas markets, including the TTF benchmark, would consider a greater likelihood of disruption, with TTF possibly approaching 74 euros per megawatt-hour.