US Stock Market Prepares for Possible Stagflation

A week of low numbers for the stock market continues on Wednesday as the market opens, with JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dion warning of possible stagflation.

European stocks rose today after crashing last week
US stocks are dropping.

This is an economic situation where inflation remains high (as it is now), unemployment is high as well (as it also is), and economic growth remains slow (which it is as well). This troublesome situation may be where the US is headed, as unemployment numbers have come in recently as well as a new inflation reading. The current US unemployment rate is 4.20%, which is up from 3.80% at this time last year.

 

Inflation remains elevated at 2.5% for August, which is slightly down from the previous month’s 2.6%. As inflation drops, the Federal Reserve is eyeing interest rate cuts, which it plans to enact later this month.

US economic growth is up a bit, by 3.0% for the second quarter of 2024, compared to growth of 1.4% from the previous quarter. These numbers are based primarily on Gross Domestic Product, or GDP.

The State of the Stock Market

As Wednesday’s trading session opened, the stock market was posting low numbers. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 1.68%, continuing its downward streak this week. It was accompanied by the S&P 500, which fell 1.57% as well. For the top three indices, the Nasdaq Composite rounded out the losses with a drop of 1.33%.

There are two important inflation reports coming this week, specifically the US CPI report and the PPI data. The CPI comes first, and while it will not impact whether there is an interest rate cut, it could factor into how deep the cut will be. That is true for the PPI report as well, which is a very important indicator of inflation for the Federal Reserve and the stock market.

Unless these numbers are very positive, we expect the stock market to fall further, as it has already had a trying September and consumer sentiment is low right now on the state of the economy.

Gold Rejected at $2,530 Resistance Again

Gold has shown resilience, continuing to return to the resistance zone at all-time highs, but it also keeps failing and earlier today we saw a retest of the resistance ahead of the US CPI inflation report, as traders were leaning against the USD, but core CPI showed that goods inflation continues to remain high, so Gold prices turned lower, falling to $2.500 lows.

Gold returns to $2,500 after the strong US core CPI
Gold returns to $2,500 after the strong US core CPI

Continue reading “Gold Rejected at $2,530 Resistance Again”

Find Out Why Experts Are Claiming That XRP Is A ‘Slave Coin’

Financial analyst and Bitcoin advocate Rajat Soni has expressed his criticism towards XRP, labeling it a “slave coin.” His remarks are driven by concerns that XRP could contribute to the centralization of financial systems, particularly given its link to Ripple and the promotion of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). 

 

Find Out Why Experts Are Claiming That XRP Is A ‘Slave Coin’

 

Soni’s comments challenge the idea that XRP might be embraced by banks worldwide for diverse financial functions, arguing instead that such adoption would exacerbate the concentration of financial power. 

Soni’s criticism of XRP centers on its relationship with Ripple, which works with governments and financial institutions on Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) projects. He contends that DBDCs would increase central banks’ control over personal wealth, which he views as a threat to financial freedom. “CBDCs are going to be used to enslave us, and the XRP army wants you to support that agenda?” he remarked. 

In contrast, Soni promotes Bitcoin as a decentralized alternative to both XRP and CBDCs. He sees Bitcoin as a means of empowering individuals by reducing reliance on large institutions and central banks. 

While XRP is praised for its potential to speed up cross-border payments, Soni and other critics caution that this convenience might further reinforce centralized financial systems. Soni has been consistently criticizing XRP, calling it a “scam coin”. He previously claimed that banks would favor Bitcoin over XRP and criticized Ripple Labs for allegedly centralizing XRP. Soni also predicted that XRP would lose value if banned in the US and criticized its limited global use. 

Meanwhile, Soni’s criticisms of XRP are echoed by other prominent experts in the crypto community. For instance, well-known Bitcoin advocate “Sensei BTC” recently voiced similar concerns about XRP on X. During a discussion on crypto investments, Sensei compared the price performance of XRP and Bitcoin, finding that Bitcoin consistently outperforms XRP. Recent market data supports this view, with Bitcoin showing stronger price growth compared to XRP.

Asian Stocks Decline Following Wall Street’s Mixed Performance

In today’s trading, the Asian markets experienced another downturn as investors analyzed key economic data from the US, Japan, and China. US nonfarm payrolls increased by only 142,000 in August, missing the expected 161,000, while the unemployment rate stayed at 4.2%.

 

Asian Stocks Decline Following Wall Street’s Mixed Performance

 

This weaker-than-expected jobs data created concerns about the US labor market, which weighed on global markets. 

In Japan, GDP for the second quarter grew by 2.9%, falling short of the anticipated 3.2%. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 went down by 1.5% closing at 35,619.77. The yen surged to its highest level nine months after the Bank of Japan official indicated that policymakers would continue their tightening strategy, provided that the economy and inflation meet expectations. 

With the ongoing economic challenges and recent government crackdowns across various sectors, the Mainland and Hong Kong stock markets were significantly impacted, leading to years of underperformance.

China reported a year-on-year inflation increase of 0.6%, slightly lower than expected, continuing to signal economic struggles. Major Chinese indices also experienced declines with the Shanghai Composite slipping by nearly 1.0% closing at 2,718.21. On the other hand, Shenzhen Component rose 0.4% to 8,107 in mixed trade.

China’s vehicle sales also fell 5.0% year-over-year to 2.45 million units in August 2024, a slight improvement from the 5.2% drop recorded in the previous month. 

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index dropped by 1.53% in early trading, following a modest gain the previous day, as broad-based losses across all sectors weighed heavily on the market. 

Australia’s ASX 200 fell by 0.37%, reversing the previous sessions’ gains after the Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter’s remarks. 

In South Korea, Kospi dropped 0.7% closing at 2,505.87, following data that showed the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate decreased to 2.4% in August, down from 2.5% in July, marking the lowest rate in a year of unemployment. 

Solana Preparing to Be a PayPal Competitor

Solana Pay is a payment service that was introduced back in 2022. Today, it is poised to offer similar services to PayPal, especially since the company announced some changes last month.

Solana is pushing its Solana Pay service.

Solana reported that they would be integrating with Shopify, which is an extremely popular internet commerce website. That would expand Solana Pay’s reach to a much wider, more global market, and it would put it at odds with eBay, which is PayPal’s proprietary shipping service.

 

It looks like Solana Pay is trying to go head to head with PayPal, setting itself up as a direct competitor and a strong alternative for those who want more options and who may be disappointed with the restrictions of eBay or with PayPal’s high fees.

Solana also has a market cap that is on par with the value of PayPal. As of this writing, PayPal is worth an incredible $75 billion, but Solana has a market cap of $68 billion. In more ways than one, Solana is a worthy competitor to the more well known PayPal service.

What Will Hold Solana Back?

The company would like to see Solana Pay accepted at many more merchants around the world, but they have a long way to go. Only 737 global merchants accept Solana Pay right now, which is a large step down from PayPal’s reach. It is estimated that PayPal is accepted by tens of thousands of merchants around the world. If Solana Pay is going to compete at the same level as PayPal and become a competitor in every way that matters, they will need to step it up in this area.

Solana as a crypto token is valued at $131 (SOL/USD) per coin right now, and the coin’s price is up 1.77% over the last week. That is much lower than its all-time high of $260, and Solana is at about half that value right now. It has potential to grow, and it could bring a lot of value to its investors if it can expand the reach of Solana Pay.

 

 

USD Jump on All Fronts, As Core CPI US Inflation Remains High

The US Dollar retreated lower yesterday as traders squared their positions ahead of the US inflation report for August, but has jumped higher after the CPI data. The headline inflation continued to fall, getting close to the FED target, but core CPI remains high, showing  that core prices for goods continue to increase at a considerable speed.

Core inflation remains high in the US
Core inflation remains high in the US

Continue reading “USD Jump on All Fronts, As Core CPI US Inflation Remains High”

Will Ripple Produce Millions for Investors?

Ripple has had a tough time of it the last few years because of a lawsuit between the company and the Securities and Exchange Commission over illegal activities.

Ripple
Ripple could blow up soon.

That legal battle looks to be coming to a close, and Ripple (XRP) as a crypto token appears to be recovering. Serious damage has been done to the coin as a result of the extended legal scuffle, but now that the company and its token are almost on the other side of the fight, it could be the right time for investors to consider Ripple as an addition to their portfolio.

 

Some analysts think that Ripple has great potential to break out as a rising crypto coin, partly because it is so far below its all-time high. Currently priced at $0.5341 (XRP/USD), the XRP token is about 86% away from its all-time high record of $3.84. That means it could easily grow much higher as it gets out from under the pressure of this lawsuit.

Why Ripple May Skyrocket

Investors need to know that Ripple (XRP) is designed to offer cross-border financial transactions. Those are typically very complex and frustrating, but Ripple streamlines the process and removes a lot of the associated fees.

You can use Ripple to buy one currency, turn it into Ripple, and then into another fiat currency. Ripple transactions greatly decrease the overall fees for these exchanges, costing a fraction of what you would pay to go through a broker or forex service.

Ripple is going to get a second look from investors as the lawsuit closes off, and that can help it shoot up quickly. We expect more investors to start buying Ripple and using it to make international transfers and exchanges.

Because of the speculative nature of the coin, it may not be wise to invest a lot into it right now, and investors may want to go slow and easy with it until they can gauge its behavior post-lawsuit.

 

 

Bitcoin Hits Important Price Milestone Today

Bitcoin (BTC) is up at the moment, having come out of a slump and achieving a price point of $56,790 (BTC/USD) for Wednesday morning.

Bitcoin has managed a promising feat today.

The crypto token has been down for weeks, suffering from low consumer sentiment and pressure from various economic factors that has kept it under the crucial $60K price level. The coin is still low in comparison to where it was over much of the summer, but it is regaining some lost ground.

 

In fact, Bitcoin has made a key pricing achievement today, as it is now up for the last 7 days. The token has suffered in recent weeks where its overall progress for a period of 7 days has been negative, but it has finally broken that barrier and is up by 0.35% for the last week.

Pricing Factors to Know about

Investors should be aware of some current and upcoming pricing factors that could impact Bitcoin. The US CPI (Consumer Price Index) data is coming in around lunchtime today, and the expectation is that this report will show a 2.6% increase. As bad as that may be, it is slower than the 2.9% increase we saw the previous month.

Investors should also know that the Federal Reserve is getting ready to cut interest rates, and those cuts should be coming later this month. Data like the CPI report will  be used to determine how big those cuts should be.

Those are the two factors most likely to affect Bitcoin’s pricing this week, so investors should be watching those closely to have an indication of where the token might be headed.

For the day, Bitcoin is down 0.92%, and these factors today may influence it to move down further to surge upwards, depending on how the numbers pan out. There is substantial fear and uncertainty surrounding the crypto market at the moment, particularly Bitcoin, which has proven to be unreliable following the Bitcoin halving earlier this year. The coin has simply not moved in the way that analysts have expected, though there are still some industry experts that say the coin is due for a sky-high bull trend in the near future.  

 

 

USD to GBP Rate Holds After Flat UK July GDP

The USD to GBP rate showed stability yesterday, trading in a tight range despite the shift in risk sentiment, which comes after some volatile price action in GBP/USD. Today the main event for the day is the US inflation CPI which will likely offer some volatility for this pair and other USD pairs, but in the European session, we had the UK GDP report as well.

UK July GDP Report
UK July GDP Report

Continue reading “USD to GBP Rate Holds After Flat UK July GDP”

Asian Markets Trade Mixed

Asian stock markets are trading mixed on Wednesday, following the mixed cues from Wall Street overnight, as traders remained cautious and looked ahead to the release of closely watched key US inflation data later in the week that could impact the outlook for rates, including the pace of rate cuts. Asian markets closed mixed on Tuesday.

The data is expected to show slowdowns in the rates of US consumer and producer price growth compared to the same month a year ago and could impact the outlook for interest rates ahead of the US Fed’s monetary policy meeting next week.

The Fed is almost universally expected to begin lowering interest rates next week, but there is some debate about if the rate cut will be 25 or 50 basis points. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool is currently indicating a 66 percent chance the Fed will lower rates by 25 basis points and a 34 percent chance of a 50 basis point rate cut.

Australian stock market is trading slightly lower on Wednesday, reversing the gains in the previous session, with the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 falling below the 8,000 mark, following the mixed cues from Wall Street overnight, with weakness in energy and financial stocks partially offset by gains in mining stocks.

The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index is losing 14.80 points or 0.19 percent to 7,997.10, after hitting a low of 7,972.70 and a high of 8,024.50 earlier. The broader All Ordinaries Index is down 10.30 points or 0.13 percent to 8,206.70. Australian stocks ended modestly higher on Tuesday.

Among major miners, BHP Group is gaining almost 1 percent, Rio Tinto is adding more than 1 percent and Fortescue Metals is advancing more than 2 percent. Mineral Resources is skyrocketing more than 17 percent.

Oil stocks are mostly lower. Origin Energy is edging down 0.4 percent, Santos is losing more than 1 percent, Woodside Energy is declining almost 2 percent and Beach energy is down almost 1 percent.

In the tech space, Afterpay owner Block is edging up 0.3 percent and Zip is gaining more than 1 percent, while WiseTech Global is edging down 0.4 percent and Xero is declining almost 1 percent. Appen is flat.

Among the big four banks, Commonwealth Bank is losing more than 1 percent, while National Australia Bank, ANZ Banking and Westpac are down almost 1 percent each.

Among gold miners, Evolution Mining and Resolute Mining are advancing more than 2 percent each, while Gold Road Resources is adding almost 3 percent and Newmont is gaining more than 1 percent. Northern Star Resources is losing more than 2 percent.

In the currency market, the Aussie dollar is trading at $0.665 on Wednesday.

The Japanese stock market is trading significantly lower on Wednesday, adding to the slight losses in the previous session, following the mixed cues from Wall Street overnight. The Nikkei 225 is falling below the 35,900 level, with weakness across all sectors led by index heavyweights and financial stocks.

The benchmark Nikkei 225 Index closed the morning session at 35,867.33, down 291.83 points or 0.81 percent, after hitting a low of 35,730.52 earlier. Japanese stocks ended slightly lower on Tuesday.

Market heavyweight SoftBank Group is edging up 0.2 percent, while Uniqlo operator Fast Retailing is down 1.5 percent. Among automakers, Honda is losing more than 1 percent and Toyota is declining almost 2 percent.

In the tech space, Advantest and Screen Holdings are losing almost 1 percent each, while Tokyo Electron is gaining more than 1 percent.

In the banking sector, Mizuho Financial is losing more than 1 percent and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial is declining almost 1 percent, while Mitsubishi UFJ Financial is flat.

Among the major exporters, Sony is edging up 0.2 percent, while Panasonic is down more than 1 percent and Mitsubishi Electric is declining almost 1 percent. Canon is flat.

Among other major losers, Tokyo Gas is slipping more than 5 percent and Osaka Gas is declining almost 5 percent, while Tokyu Fudosan and Sapporo Holdings are declining almost 4 percent each. Nippon Steel, Mitsubishi Motors and Amada are sliding more than 3 percent each, while Subaru, Nomura Holdings, Inpex, JTEKT, Terumo, Keisei Electric Railway, Idemitsu Kosan and Nissui are losing almost 3 percent each.

Conversely, Fujitsu is gaining almost 3 percent.

In the currency market, the U.S. dollar is trading in the higher 141 yen-range on Wednesday.

Elsewhere in Asia, Hong Kong is down 1.1 percent, while China, Malaysia and South Korea are lower by between 0.1 and 0.8 percent each. Singapore, Taiwan and Indonesia are higher by between 0.2 and 0.5 percent each. New Zealand is relatively flat.

On the Wall Street, stocks fluctuated over the course of the trading session on Tuesday but managed to end the day mostly higher. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 added to the strong gains posted during Monday’s session, although the narrower Dow bucked the uptrend.

The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 saw further upside going into the close, reaching new highs for the session. The Nasdaq climbed 141.28 points or 0.8 percent to 17,025.88 and the S&P 500 rose 24.47 points or 0.5 percent to 5,495.52, but the Dow dipped 92.63 points or 0.2 percent to 40,736.96.

Meanwhile, the major European markets all moved to the downside on the day. While the German DAX Index slumped 1.0 percent, the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index slid by 0.8 percent and the French CAC 40 Index slipped by 0.2 percent.

Crude oil prices slumped on Tuesday, ahead of the inflation data and on concerns over the health of the global economy. West Texas Intermediate crude for October delivery stumbled $2.43 or 3.54 percent to finish at $66.28 per barrel.