Iran War Escalation Pushes Silver Toward $81 Barrier in Dramatic Rally and Retreat

Silver (XAG/USD) is hovering around $81. White metal is boosted by the ongoing US-Israeli campaign against Iran, which offers safe-haven support.

Silver’s Momentum Reset Sets the Stage for the Next Leg Higher

Iran launched a new round of missile and drone attacks throughout the Gulf on Thursday, with attacks reported in Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and the United Arab Emirates. US President Donald

Trump claimed that Iranian officials had contacted him in an effort to come to an end to the conflict, but he maintained that it was too late and that the US was working to destroy Iran.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, meanwhile, declared that his nation had not asked for a ceasefire and had no plans to engage in negotiations. In the short term, a safe-haven asset like silver may benefit from growing tensions between the US and Iran as well as worries about a protracted conflict in the Middle East.

Silver is still in a long-term bullish trend after surpassing its 1980 peak of $50.36 per ounce in 2025.

Industrial and speculative demand for silver has skyrocketed. According to the Silver Institute, demand will exceed supply in 2025, resulting in a 117.70 million-ounce deficit. When the price of silver reached a new record high in 2025, it attracted significant buying interest because it is a highly speculative metal.

Silver Institute projected silver demand to stay “largely unchanged in 2026, as healthy gains in retail investment are likely to offset most of the losses across other key demand segments, notably in jewelry, silverware, and industrial demand.”

A weak US dollar and the likelihood of declining U.S. interest rates have been positive for silver prices.

Mobix Labs (MOBX) Stock Surges 726% in One Week – What’s Driving the Rally?

Mobix Labs (MOBX) stock remains deeply depressed, trading roughly 95% below its all-time high near $12.5 reached in 2023. However, after a prolonged downtrend and capitulation phase, the stock suddenly ignited a parabolic surge last week, attracting significant speculative momentum and trading volume.

Such explosive moves following extreme drawdowns often raise a critical question for traders and investors alike: is this the beginning of a sustainable trend reversal, or merely a classic dead cat bounce within a broader long-term downtrend?

Mobix Labs Surged by Roughly 726% Last Week

Mobix Labs (MOBX) has recorded an extraordinary surge of roughly 726% over the past month, marking a dramatic reversal in momentum after the stock had been in a persistent downtrend since its listing on the Nasdaq in 2023. The magnitude of this rally reflects a sharp influx of speculative buying pressure following a prolonged period of price depreciation.

If the current upward momentum continues, the stock is likely to encounter its next significant resistance zone between $1.74 and $2.47, which represents the next notable technical barrier in the short term.

However, from a broader structural perspective, Mobix Labs remains within its long-term downtrend. To invalidate this bearish structure and establish the foundation for a new sustained uptrend, the stock would need to break through the key Fibonacci resistance levels at $4.84 and $8.15. At present, these levels remain well out of reach, suggesting that the current surge should still be viewed within the context of a larger corrective structure unless additional bullish follow-through materializes.

MOBX
MOBX

MOBX Stock Now Hits Significant Golden Ratio Support

Following the 726% surge last week, Mobix Labs (MOBX) has retraced sharply this week, with the price declining from $1.33 to approximately $0.63. During this pullback, the stock fell below the 50-week EMA support at $0.70, weakening the short-term structure of the rally.

The price now approaches a significant Fibonacci support level at the golden ratio near $0.55, which represents a critical technical area where buyers could step in and trigger a bullish bounce.

Should such a rebound occur, the stock could resume its upward trajectory, potentially pushing the price back toward the next major resistance zone between $1.74 and $2.47.

At present, however, the technical indicators provide limited directional signals. The RSI continues to move in neutral territory, reflecting a lack of clear momentum bias as the market consolidates near this key Fibonacci support level.

MOBX
MOBX

Death Cross on the Daily Chart Prevails For Mobix Labs

On the daily timeframe, Mobix Labs (MOBX) presents a rather bearish technical outlook. The EMAs remain locked in a bearish death cross, which confirms the short- to medium-term trend bearishly. In addition, the MACD histogram has been trending lower for the past five days, indicating weakening momentum, while the MACD lines are approaching a potential bearish crossover. At the same time, the RSI has exited overbought territory and returned to neutral levels, signaling that the recent upside momentum has cooled considerably.

If the stock manages to bounce from the golden ratio support near $0.55, it could initiate another upward move toward the next Fibonacci resistance levels at $0.89 and $1.09. A decisive breakout above the golden ratio resistance at $1.09 would invalidate the current correction phase. However, even in that scenario, the broader long-term trend would still remain bearish, given the substantial structural decline since the stock’s earlier highs.

MOBX
MOBX

Golden Crossover Emerges on the 4H Chart: Bullish Trend Confirmation for MOBX Stock

On the 4-hour timeframe, Mobix Labs (MOBX) presents a constructive short-term development, as the EMAs have formed a golden crossover, confirming the trend bullishly in the short term. However, momentum indicators paint a more cautious picture. The MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, while the MACD histogram continues to extend its recent downtrend, indicating weakening momentum despite the bullish EMA structure. Meanwhile, the RSI remains positioned in neutral territory, offering no clear directional signal.

Despite the sharp bearish response and a drawback of roughly 53% following the prior 726% surge, MOBX still retains the potential to bounce from the golden ratio support around $0.55 and potentially resume its upward trajectory.

Nevertheless, caution is clearly warranted. A decisive break below the $0.55 support could trigger a substantial continuation of the decline, potentially pushing the stock back toward its previous low near $0.13 or even lower. In such a scenario, a position could lose a significant portion of its initial investment capital.

Therefore, entering this trade should be approached with strict caution and disciplined risk management, including the use of proper stop-loss levels to mitigate downside exposure.

MOBX
MOBX

MOBX Stock: Key Levels and Outlook

Mobix Labs (MOBX) recently delivered an extraordinary 726% surge, temporarily interrupting the prolonged downtrend that has persisted since its Nasdaq listing in 2023. However, the rally was followed by a sharp 53% pullback, bringing the stock down toward a critical Fibonacci golden ratio support at $0.55.

If MOBX manages to hold and bounce from this key support, the stock could attempt another recovery toward $0.89 and $1.09, with further upside potentially targeting the major resistance zone between $1.74 and $2.47. A decisive breakout above $1.09 would invalidate the current correction phase, although the long-term trend would still remain bearish.

Conversely, a breakdown below the $0.55 golden ratio support could trigger a steep continuation of the decline, potentially sending the price back toward the prior low near $0.13 or even lower. Given the extreme volatility following the recent parabolic rally, traders should approach MOBX with caution and apply strict risk management, including the use of well-defined stop-loss levels.

Mexican Peso Weakens Against Dollar After Trump Threatens Iran

The Mexican peso weakened against the dollar on Friday and posted a weekly loss, as markets turned cautious after U.S. President Donald Trump warned that the United States could strike Iran “with severity” next week.

The currency depreciated amid concerns that tensions between the United States and Iran could escalate over the weekend.

The exchange rate ended the session at 17.9489 pesos per dollar, compared with Thursday’s official close of 17.8449, according to data from Bank of Mexico. The move represented a loss of 10.40 centavos, or 0.58%.

During the session, the dollar traded between a high of 17.9727 pesos and a low of 17.7488. The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, rose 0.78% to 100.53.

[[USD/MXN-graph]]

Trump comments rattle markets

Trump said the United States would hit Iran “with severity” next week, escalating his rhetoric. Only days earlier, he had suggested the conflict could end sooner than previously expected.

Markets were also reacting to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global oil shipments, attributed to Iran. U.S. crude futures were trading around $99.28 per barrel despite efforts to ease supply concerns.

The geopolitical backdrop adds another layer of uncertainty. Oil prices hovering near $100 per barrel are a double-edged sword for Mexico: while higher prices boost oil revenues, they also risk importing inflationary pressures.

Economic data

In Mexico, industrial activity declined in January after three consecutive months of gains, marking its weakest reading since December 2024. The drop reflected deterioration across all major components, according to seasonally adjusted data.

Earlier in the day, weaker-than-expected U.S. economic figures also weighed on sentiment. Gross domestic product slowed more than initially estimated in the fourth quarter, while consumer spending rose more than expected in January.

Weekly loss

Against this backdrop, the peso ended the week with a cumulative loss. Compared with last Friday’s official close of 17.8034 per dollar, the currency fell 16.93 centavos, or 0.95%.

Analysts expect pressure on the peso to persist as geopolitical risks remain elevated.

U.S. Opens Trade Investigation Before Trump–Xi Meeting

The U.S. Treasury Secretary and China’s vice premier will meet this weekend in the French capital for a new round of trade negotiations, as tensions rise following fresh U.S. trade investigations targeting 60 economies, including China.

Trade war between the United States and Chine is heating up.
Trade war between the United States and Chine is heating up.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng on Sunday and Monday in Paris, in what is expected to be the sixth round of trade talks between the two powers since U.S. President Donald Trump revived his tariff offensive against Beijing last year.

The development comes just hours after Washington announced a new investigation into alleged unfair trade practices in 60 countries, including China.

The discussions are seen as preparatory work for Trump’s state visit to China, scheduled for March 31, where he is expected to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Beijing has not officially confirmed the meeting, though Foreign Minister Wang Yi said days ago that “a schedule of high-level exchanges is already on the table” and that 2026 will be “a major year” for bilateral relations.

“Thanks to the relationship of mutual respect between President Trump and President Xi, economic and trade dialogue between the United States and China is moving forward,” Bessent said in a statement. He added that the negotiating team will continue working to ensure outcomes that “put American farmers, workers, and businesses first.”

Underlying tensions

The Paris meeting comes amid growing tensions. On Thursday, Washington announced trade investigations into industrial overcapacity involving 16 key partners, including China. The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative also opened probes into 60 economies over alleged forced labor practices.

Beijing responded sharply, calling the investigations illegal, rejecting the forced labor accusations, and warning that it “reserves the right to take all necessary measures to safeguard its rights and interests.”

The moves are part of Trump’s effort to rebuild global tariff pressure after the Supreme Court of the United States ruled on Feb. 20 that his global tariffs were illegal. In response, the president imposed a 10% across-the-board tariff for 150 days under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974.

AVGO Stock Heads for $300 After Failing at $350, Ahead of Broadcom OFC Showcase

Shares of Broadcom Inc. briefly surged after strong earnings and accelerating AI demand, but the rally quickly faded as the stock failed to break key resistance near $350. Continue reading “AVGO Stock Heads for $300 After Failing at $350, Ahead of Broadcom OFC Showcase”

Bitcoin Takes a Breather From Middle East War, Climbs to One-Month High

The cryptocurrency market is posting gains this Friday despite lingering caution over the conflict in the Middle East and key U.S. inflation data. In that context, Bitcoin is rising 2.6% to above $72,200, according to Binance.

Bitcoin is moving higher unexpectedly in reaction to Iran conflict.
Bitcoin is moving higher unexpectedly in reaction to Iran conflict.

Ethereum is also advancing, gaining 3.2% to $2,143, while other altcoins are moving higher as well. Among them, Solana stands out with a 3.9% increase.

[[BTC/USD-graph]]

Regulatory signals support Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s latest gains came largely after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced on Wednesday that they will collaborate to develop a more comprehensive regulatory framework for U.S. crypto markets.

At the same time, lawmakers in the United States Senate are attempting to revive the CLARITY Act, which aims to provide clearer oversight of digital assets.

The market reacted calmly to the latest U.S. inflation data, which showed annual inflation at 2.4% in February and 0.3% month-over-month, in line with expectations. Investors are now awaiting the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the inflation gauge preferred by the Federal Reserve, scheduled for release on Friday.

Oil and geopolitics remain key risks

The war in the Middle East has pushed energy prices to the forefront of global markets, fueling concerns about inflation just as central banks were beginning to consider easing monetary policy.

Tensions over oil supply and control of the Strait of Hormuz—through which roughly 20% of global oil supply passes—have driven crude prices above $100 per barrel since the escalation began.

Despite this environment, Bitcoin has gained nearly 10% this week. The cryptocurrency has posted five consecutive green candles and remains above its 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), a technical signal suggesting the market is beginning to view the asset as structurally stronger even during periods of heightened global uncertainty.

Institutional demand also remains firm. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded net inflows of more than $500 million this week, indicating that large investors continue accumulating the asset despite macroeconomic volatility.

Crude Oil Price Closes Under $100 as Political Signals and Russian Waiver Cool Energy Markets

Crude oil soared on geopolitical concerns and then reversed amid policy talks and political signals that suggested possible supply stabilization, causing severe volatility in the world’s energy markets.
Continue reading “Crude Oil Price Closes Under $100 as Political Signals and Russian Waiver Cool Energy Markets”

MU Stock Surges on Strong Earnings and Memory Forecast but Can Micron Justify High Expectations?

As analysts grow more optimistic about memory prices and AI-driven demand, Micron Technology’s shares have recovered dramatically ahead of its upcoming earnings report, despite the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry still requiring prudence. Continue reading “MU Stock Surges on Strong Earnings and Memory Forecast but Can Micron Justify High Expectations?”

Japan’s Crypto Market Grows Up, and Institutions Are Starting to Pay Attention

For most of the past decade, Japan’s relationship with crypto was complicated. The country was an early mover on regulation after the Mt. Gox collapse, but the rules it built treated digital assets essentially like digital cash rather than investment instruments. That framing kept a lot of institutional money on the sidelines.

That is changing in a meaningful way. Japan’s Financial Services Agency has been working to bring crypto under the same legal structure that governs conventional financial products, a shift that carries real weight for institutions that need regulatory clarity before they can allocate. Tighter disclosure standards and clearer custody rules are part of that picture, and for funds that previously had to sidestep the asset class entirely, the direction of travel matters.

The tax treatment is the other piece that had been holding institutional interest back. Crypto gains in Japan were historically lumped in with miscellaneous income, which pushed effective rates high enough to make longer-term positions difficult to justify from a portfolio management standpoint. Recent reforms have moved toward a structure closer to how equities are handled, with provisions that allow losses to be carried forward, giving treasury desks and asset managers something they can actually model.

Corporate Japan is already responding. MetaPlanet, a Tokyo-listed firm, has been building a bitcoin position in a manner that echoes what some U.S. companies began doing several years ago. Separately, established financial groups in Japan are understood to be exploring regulated bitcoin exposure products, which would open the asset class to a much wider pool of domestic institutional capital.

The broader picture here is that Japan is not just updating its rulebook. It is deliberately repositioning itself as a market where institutional capital can operate with confidence, at a time when that kind of clarity is still hard to find in many jurisdictions.

Gold Heads for Second Weekly Loss as Mideast War Fuels $100+ Oil Surge

Gold increased on Friday but stayed on course for a second weekly decline as the Middle East conflict kept oil prices close to $100 per barrel.

Bullion surged above $5,100 an ounce while the US dollar stabilized and crude faltered following its highest close since August 2022, recovering some losses following a two-day decline. In an effort to reduce price pressure, the White House permitted purchasers to accept Russian oil cargoes that were already at sea. However, gold was predicted to decline by about 1% this week.

That would be the first time it has decreased for two weeks in a row since November. Since the US-Israeli war with Iran started almost two weeks ago, upward momentum has stalled, and there is no sign of a resolution.

US President Donald Trump and Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, spoke defiantly on Thursday, the thirteenth day of a conflict that has effectively blocked shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and caused the biggest disruption to the world’s oil markets. Brent crude fluctuated on Friday following a week of intense volatility, and a gauge of the dollar slightly decreased after rising 0.5 percent the day before

Expectations that the Federal Reserve and other central banks will cut interest rates have decreased for gold amid growing concerns about inflation and rising energy costs.

The most recent US jobless report, which showed that new claims remained muted, further reduced the possibility of borrowing costs being lowered.

Short-term yields reached their highest level since August as US Treasury bonds declined on Thursday. Because of this, traders now believe there is only a 70% chance of a rate cut this year and virtually no chance at the Fed meeting next week.