Avalanche (AVAX) has been on a tear, surging over 12% in the past 24 hours and reaching $60.72 at the time of writing. Here’s a breakdown of the key factors to consider before trading AVAX today:

What’s Driving the AVAX Rally?

This surge appears to be fueled by organic buying in the spot market, rather than leveraged speculation. This indicates growing investor confidence in the project’s long-term potential.

Derivative Market Insights

The low funding rates in the derivatives market suggest the rally is not fueled by excessive leverage, potentially boosting long-term investor confidence.

Large Transaction Volume Surge

The daily volume of large transactions (over $100,000) on Avalanche has reached its highest level since December 2023. This indicates increased activity among large holders, potentially signaling a bullish trend.

Past Outage Impact

While the network outage in February caused a temporary price drop, the quick resolution suggests the project is resilient.

Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction and Technical Analysis

Analysts predict AVAX could climb towards $70 next week. Bulls might face resistance around $65 in the short term. A decisive break above this level could trigger a significant rally towards $75.

• Resistance Levels: Currently above $61, AVAX could potentially reach $74 before encountering major resistance. However, this is an estimate, and market dynamics can cause fluctuations.
• Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are both trending upwards, indicating a long-term bullish trend.
• Support and Resistance: The immediate support level sits around $55, which was a key support area before the recent rally. The next resistance level to watch is $65, a breakout above this level could signal a move towards $70.

Market Risks

• BTC and ETH Volatility: Fluctuations in major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) could negatively impact AVAX, potentially leading to a pullback towards $50. However, low funding rates suggest this pullback might be less severe.