S&P500 (SPX) Price Forecast: Trading at $5,267 Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Fed Concerns

The S&P 500 (SPX) index continued its downward trajectory, remaining pressured around the 5,267 level and hitting an intra-day low of 5,256.

S&P 500 Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

This decline is primarily driven by concerns over Federal Reserve interest rate actions, escalating geopolitical tensions, and uncertainties surrounding US economic data. These factors have influenced investor sentiment, contributing to the index’s bearish performance.

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Geopolitical Tensions Escalate, Adding Pressure to S&P 500

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific region have intensified the bearish pressure on the S&P 500.

The ongoing Israel-Palestine conflict and rising tensions between China and Taiwan, including reports of Chinese fighter jets conducting simulated strikes in the Taiwan Strait, have raised global stability concerns, rattling investor confidence and adding downward pressure on the index.

Strong US Economic Data and Potential Interest Rate Changes Influence S&P 500

Despite the bearish sentiment and geopolitical tensions, strong US economic data has provided some support to the S&P 500. The upbeat figures, including a drop in initial jobless claims and increases in both manufacturing and services PMI, highlight the resilience of the US economy.

However, these positive indicators have also fueled concerns about potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to curb inflationary pressures. Market expectations are shifting towards the prospect of the Fed maintaining rates, adding to the uncertainty and fluctuations in the S&P 500.

S&P500 Price Forecast – Technical Outlook

The S&P 500 is currently priced at $5,267.85, down 0.74%. The technical outlook presents a cautious picture as the price is trading below the pivot point of $5,297.60.

Immediate resistance is noted at $5,342.04, with further resistance levels at $5,380.93 and $5,419.82. On the support side, the immediate level is at $5,246.67, followed by $5,212.41 and $5,180.58.

S&P 500 Price Chart

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 54, indicating neutral momentum. This suggests that the market could move in either direction depending on upcoming market catalysts.

The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is positioned at $5,168.56, providing a significant support level that traders will be closely monitoring.

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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