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Gold - XAU/USD Chart

Gold Steady at $1,790 ahead of US Nonfarm Payroll

Posted Friday, January 7, 2022 by
Arslan Butt • 3 min read
  • According to data released at 17:30 GMT, the Challenger Job Cuts dropped to -75.3% from the previous -77.0% 
  • The reason behind the strong dollar and higher yields was the release of the minutes of the December meeting of the Federal Reserve
  • On the higher side, the precious metal, gold, may find the next resistance at 1,806, and a break above 1,806 may extend the uptrend until 1,818
Gold prices closed at $1,791.15, after hitting a high of $1,81.25, and a low of $1,785.95. The precious metal reversed its course on Thursday, dropping sharply to its lowest level in 14 days, after a risk sentiment emerged in the market.

Gold Rate Live

 

XAU/USD
Treasury yields in the United States, on a benchmark 10-year note, continued their bullish rally for the fourth session, reaching their highest level since April 2021, at 1.75%. The dollar index, which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies, also rose and turned green on Thursday, to reach 96.39.

The reason behind the strong dollar and higher yields was the release of the minutes of the December meeting of the Federal Reserve. The minutes confirmed that Fed officials had talked about interest rate hikes, in an effort to tame the increasing inflationary risks. According to Fed officials, the tight labor market could prompt the Fed to raise interest rates sooner than expected, whilst decreasing the bank’s overall asset holdings, in order to control rising inflation.

The market expectations that the Fed will increase its interest rates to control rising inflation, which is growing at its fastest pace in 40 years in the US, were confirmed by the minutes released by the Federal Reserve on Thursday. This increased the opportunity cost of holding bullion and pushed treasury yields and the dollar higher. As a result, gold fell from its major support level of $1,800 on Thursday, and posted a loss of over2% in a single day.

According to data released at 17:30 GMT, the Challenger Job Cuts dropped to -75.3%, from the previous -77.0%. At 18:30 GMT, the unemployment claims from last week came in, showing a surge to 207K, against the forecast of 199K, which weighed on the dollar. The trade balance showed a deficit equal to the the expectations of -80.2B. At 20:00 GMT, the ISM Services PMI figures were released. They dropped to 62.0, in contrast to the projected 67.0, putting downside pressure on the US dollar. The dollar was supported by a 1.6% increase in factory orders, versus the expected increase of 1.5%. Most of the data from the US was unfavorable on Thursday, which kept the losses in gold prices limited for the session.

The losses in gold were also capped by the latest warning issued by the World Health Organization, as the number of coronavirus cases across the globe is increasing rapidly. The head of the WHO, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, says that the Omicron variant results in a less severe progression of the disease than the globally dominant Delta strain, but it should not be categorized as mild. Authorities worldwide are tightening restrictions, as the Omicron variant continues to drive up the numbers of coronavirus cases globally.

Gold - XAU/USD Chart

Daily Technical Levels

Support                 Resistance
1,780.09                 1,806.29
1,770.82                 1,821.42
1,755.69                 1,831.59
Pivot Point:           1,796.12

Gold  – A technical outlook; Breakout of the upward trendline at 1,806

After a plunge below the $1,806 support level, trading in gold is sharply bearish. On the lower side, the XAU/USD may find immediate support at 1,787, and a break below this could extend the selling trend until the 1,775 level.
On the higher side, the precious metal, gold, may find the next resistance at 1,806, and a break above 1,806 may extend the uptrend until 1,818. The RSI and Stoch RSI are heading lower, into the selling zone, so the idea is to place a sell trade under the 1,806 level. Good luck!
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