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DAX Breaking Above Double Top 17,000 amid Eurozone Optimism and Geopolitical Tensions

DAX Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

Germany’s premier stock index, the DAX, reversed its recent downtrend, marking a modest increase of 0.38% to close at 16,946. This upswing reflects growing stability and confidence within the German equity market.

The uplift was attributed to various influences, ranging from domestic economic indicators to broader Eurozone dynamics and geopolitical developments. These elements collectively shape investor sentiment, guiding informed investment strategies.

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Influence of Eurozone Economic Indicators

Key economic data emerging from Germany and across the Eurozone have been instrumental in the DAX’s recent positive trajectory. Encouraging employment statistics and industrial production figures from the Eurozone mitigated concerns over a looming economic downturn, buoying the DAX.

Despite facing headwinds in its industrial sector, the broader Eurozone economy exhibited signs of resilience, positively swaying the DAX’s performance. Recent data underscored this optimism, with the Eurozone GDP for the fourth quarter aligning with expectations at a steady 0.0% and a modest year-on-year growth of 0.1%.

December’s European Industrial Production exceeded anticipations, climbing to 2.6%, well ahead of the expected decline. These developments, alongside ECB President Christine Lagarde’s scheduled discourse before the European Parliament, are keenly awaited by investors for potential impacts on the DAX.

Geopolitical Dynamics and Market Sentiment

Moreover, prevailing geopolitical tensions, notably the ongoing conflict between Israel and Gaza, introduce a layer of uncertainty that could sway the DAX. Market volatility is often heightened by such geopolitical risks, with the degree of impact on the DAX contingent upon the conflict’s progression.

Investors remain vigilant, assessing the potential economic ramifications of these tensions on the global stage. As the DAX navigates through these multifaceted economic and geopolitical landscapes, upcoming events like Christine Lagarde’s speech and the release of Eurozone trade data will be pivotal.

These developments are anticipated to delineate the DAX’s trajectory further, offering insights into the Eurozone’s economic vitality and the ECB’s monetary policy direction.

DAX Technical Outlook

The DAX stands at 17,051, marking a strategic position within the financial landscape. This German index, observed through a 4-hour chart timeframe, reveals pivotal movements. The current pivot point is established at 16,960, serving as a foundational marker for the day’s trading dynamics.

Resistance levels are identified at 17,052, followed by 17,112, and extending to 17,179. Conversely, immediate support lies at 16,893, with subsequent levels at 16,789 and 16,689. Technical indicators suggest a nuanced market outlook.

DAX Price Chart

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 59 indicates a lean towards bullish momentum, while the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 16,897.260 underscores a potential for upward movement.

A notable chart pattern, a double top, presents resistance around the 17,050 mark, suggesting that surpassing this level could catalyze a buying trend.

In conclusion, the DAX exhibits a bullish potential above the 16,950 threshold. In the short term, the index is poised to test the resistance at 17,052, indicating a possible continuation of the upward trajectory in the coming days.

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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