BOE Chairman Carney
CPI (YoY) (U.K.)
Inflation to Tick Lower Again
Starts Tuesday, December 18, 2018 at 17:05
Updated Monday, December 17, 2018
Inflation shot higher in the UK last spring and it peaked at 3.1% YoY in December last year. Although it has cooled off since then and has formed a bearish trend, at 2.4% it still remains above the BOE 2% target. In July, inflation was expected to jump by 0.2% to 2.6% but it remained unchanged. In August though, we saw a surprising jump in CPI inflation to 2.7% against 2.4% expected. Although, that might have been due to World Cup sales because inflation fell to 2.4% in September, as we saw in October's report. In October, inflation was expected to tick higher to 2.5% but it remained unchanged. In November, inflation is expected to have declined this time to 2.3%. Please follow us for live coverage of this event by market analysts.
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About CPI (YoY) (U.K.)
U.K. CPI (MoM) is a primary measurement of inflationary pressures facing the GBP. It is derived and presented by the National Statistics Bureau, a governmental entity. U.K. CPI (MoM) is a comparison of retail prices facing a typical basket of goods and services, compared on a month-over-month basis. Monetary policy decisions, trade balance, and consumer confidence are sensitive to CPI. Currency markets involving the GBP are receptive to a growing CPI, as it is a signal of inflation. As inflationary pressures grow or reside, the Bank of England (BOE) crafts monetary policy accordingly. High CPI values are often viewed as a precursor for tightening monetary policy toward the GBP, while low readings are conducive to a dovish tone.U.K. CPI is capable of swaying GBP valuations dramatically. Strong values lead to bullish participation for the GBP and lagging CPI facilitates bearish price action.