NZD/JPY Price Forecast: In-Depth Technical Analysis & Trends

Edited by: Louis Schoeman
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MARKETS TREND
TRADE NZD/JPY
Daily Price Prediction: 88.10 JPY
Weekly Price Prediction: 88.25 JPY

Prices Forecast: Technical Analysis

For the NZD/JPY, the daily closing price is predicted to be around 88.10 JPY, with a range between 87.95 JPY and 88.30 JPY. The weekly closing price is forecasted at approximately 88.25 JPY, with a range from 87.80 JPY to 88.50 JPY. The RSI at 57.16 suggests a neutral to slightly bullish trend, indicating potential upward momentum. The ATR of 0.7894 reflects moderate volatility, suggesting price movements within the predicted range. The ADX at 12.42 indicates a weak trend, implying that significant directional moves are unlikely in the short term. The pivot point at 88.07 serves as a critical level, with the current price slightly above it, suggesting a potential bullish bias. Economic data, such as stable unemployment rates and nonfarm payrolls, provide a supportive backdrop for the NZD/JPY, aligning with the technical indicators for a stable to slightly bullish outlook.

Fundamental Overview and Analysis

Recently, NZD/JPY has shown resilience, maintaining a steady upward trajectory. The pair’s performance is influenced by stable economic indicators from both New Zealand and Japan, including consistent inflation rates and trade balances. Investor sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with traders eyeing potential gains amid stable economic conditions. Opportunities for growth are present, particularly if global trade tensions ease, enhancing export prospects for both nations. However, risks such as geopolitical tensions and unexpected economic downturns could pose challenges. Currently, the asset appears fairly valued, with its price reflecting the balance of economic fundamentals and market sentiment. Traders should remain vigilant, monitoring economic releases and geopolitical developments that could impact the pair’s valuation.

Outlook for NZD/JPY

The future outlook for NZD/JPY remains cautiously optimistic, with stable economic indicators supporting a steady price trajectory. Historical price movements suggest moderate volatility, with the pair likely to trade within established ranges. Key factors influencing the price include economic conditions in New Zealand and Japan, global trade dynamics, and central bank policies. In the short term (1 to 6 months), the pair is expected to maintain its current range, with potential for slight appreciation if economic conditions remain favorable. Long-term forecasts (1 to 5 years) suggest gradual growth, contingent on global economic stability and trade relations. External factors, such as geopolitical tensions or significant economic shifts, could impact the pair’s trajectory, necessitating close monitoring by traders.

Technical Analysis

**Current Price Overview:** The current price of NZD/JPY is 88.063 JPY, slightly above the previous close of 88.011 JPY. Over the last 24 hours, the price has shown a slight upward trend with moderate volatility, as indicated by the ATR.

**Support and Resistance Levels:** Key support levels are at 87.95, 87.84, and 87.72 JPY, while resistance levels are at 88.18, 88.3, and 88.41 JPY. The pivot point is at 88.07 JPY, with the asset trading slightly above it, suggesting a potential bullish bias.

**Technical Indicators Analysis:** The RSI at 57.16 indicates a neutral to slightly bullish trend. The ATR of 0.7894 suggests moderate volatility. The ADX at 12.42 reflects a weak trend, indicating limited directional strength. The 50-day SMA and 200-day EMA show no significant crossover, suggesting a stable trend.

**Market Sentiment & Outlook:** Sentiment is cautiously bullish, with the price trading above the pivot, a neutral RSI, and moderate ATR-based volatility. The lack of a moving average crossover supports a stable outlook.

Forecasting Returns: $1,000 Across Market Conditions

The table below outlines potential returns on a $1,000 investment in NZD/JPY under various market scenarios. These scenarios provide insights into potential price changes and investment outcomes, helping investors make informed decisions. In a bullish breakout, investors could see significant gains, while a sideways range suggests stability. A bearish dip presents risks but also potential buying opportunities.

Scenario Price Change Value After 1 Month
Bullish Breakout +5% to ~92.50 JPY ~$1,050
Sideways Range 0% to ~88.00 JPY ~$1,000
Bearish Dip -5% to ~83.50 JPY ~$950

FAQs

What are the predicted price forecasts for the asset?

The daily closing price for NZD/JPY is predicted to be around 88.10 JPY, with a weekly forecast of approximately 88.25 JPY. These predictions are based on current technical indicators and economic conditions.

What are the key support and resistance levels for the asset?

Key support levels for NZD/JPY are at 87.95, 87.84, and 87.72 JPY, while resistance levels are at 88.18, 88.3, and 88.41 JPY. The pivot point is at 88.07 JPY.

Disclaimer

In conclusion, while the analysis provides a structured outlook on the asset’s potential price movements, it is essential to remember that financial markets are inherently unpredictable. Conducting thorough research and staying informed about market trends and economic indicators is crucial for making informed investment decisions.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Louis Schoeman
Financial Writer
Louis Schoeman serves as the Lead economic analyst for the African Region, with an MBA Louis possesses strong understanding of Makro and political sphere affecting the African economy as a whole. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of the Shares and Indices in Africa , are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as SA Shares, Investing.com, Entrepreneur.com and MarketWatch to name a few.

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