Two Reasons for the Bullish WTI Crude Oil

Posted Monday, May 15, 2017 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

In the early Asian session, we shared a forex trading signal on the WTI crude oil, which went exceptionally well as the market was dramatically volatile. But, our take profit wasn't long enough because the entry was based on technical rules. Regardless, we still made 18 pips on the trade. Unfortunately, our second trading signal on the crude oil was unsuccessful and closed with a stop loss of $47.15.

 

2 Reasons Behind The Bullish Trend

First- The crude oil prices rose after Saudi Arabia and Russia decided to extend the output cuts until next March. As we know, the crude oil prices fell continually due to increased production and less demand in the global markets. This hurt the economy of OPEC and Non-OPEC oil producing countries. The output cut is likely to reduce the oil supply in the market and the lower supply will result in an increase in prices.

Previously, the crude oil was supported by a larger than expected draw in inventories, which were released by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Thursday. As shared in our previous report, Bullish Breakout In WTI Crude Oil – Inventories Are Out, the data revealed an inventory draw of 5.25 million barrels over the previous week. The expected draw was around 1.8 million barrels.

Crude Oil 61.8% Retracement - 4 Hours Chart

Crude Oil 61.8% Retracement – 4 Hour Chart 

 

Second – On the daily chart, the momentum indicators RSI and Stochastic held in the oversold territory, demonstrating that buyers may buy the weaker oil.

In addition to this, the oil prices are about to complete 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $49.90 on the daily chart. As soon as the prices reach $49.90, I will be looking to add a sell signal. For now, the oil can gain support at $48.500 and $47.55.

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About the author

Arslan Butt is our Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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