Possible Long Trade For The USD/CHF

The USD continues to lag across the majors, marked by losses against Euro, Japanese yen, and Swiss franc. For the first time this week, the forex is showing signs of life. Today’s pronounced move by the Swissie has brought a trade setup into play for the remainder of the U.S. session.

 

USD/CHF Technicals

Retracement is the word of the day for the USD. No matter which timeframe one references, the action for the USD/CHF has been bearish.

USD/CHFUSD/CHF, Daily Chart

Horizontal price action has defined the USD/CHF for the past several weeks. The 62% yearly retracement of .9986 has served as a catalyst for market participation. Unfortunately, the initial short from this level proved ineffective amid the ECB fueled news cycle from a few weeks back.

Here are the key support and resistance levels for the remainder of the session:

  • Resistance(1): 62% yearly retracement, .9986

  • Support(1): 20 Day EMA, .9912

  • Support(2): Bollinger MP, .9896

  • Support(3): 38% retracement of October’s range, .9899

The Trade:  I am a big fan of converging technical indicators. Three technicals fall in the support area from .9912 to .9896, forming considerable support. A long from .9912 with an initial stop beneath the Bollinger MP at .9889 is a 1:1 R/R trade that produces over a 20 pip profit.

These technicals are valid for the remainder of today’s forex session. Upon the open of Friday’s session, they will be recalculated. As always, trade smart and for tomorrow!

 
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Shain Vernier
US Analyst
Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.
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