
Gold Breaks Out To The Bull: Buying Pullbacks
Gold has broken hard to the bull, posting a steep intraday uptrend. While the news coming out of the Korean Peninsula is positive, traders are taking risk off the board and jumping into bullion. After a muted open, U.S. equities are selling off and gold continues to plow higher. It appears that the market is taking a skeptical stance toward the potential denuclearization of North Korea.
Participation has been heavy in April gold futures. Over 200,000 contracts have traded hands, generating a 189 tick run to the bull. My colleague Arslan nailed this call during the U.S. overnight session in his live market update.
In addition, a winning long signal in bullion hit its take profit a bit earlier on. If you got in on the action, well done!
Gold Technicals
The bulls are in complete control of this market. So, how high will the rally go?
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Price shattered the Daily SMA at 1334.6 in minutes, grinding north to an intraday high of 1339.9. Here are the key levels to watch in the coming days:
- Resistance(1): 62% Retracement, 1341.2
- Resistance(2): 78% Retracement, 1351.0
- Support(1): Daily SMA, 1334.6
Bottom Line: In the face of such a strong breakout, any short for today’s session is high risk. However, going long from the Daily SMA is a good way to get in on the prevailing trend.
For the remainder of the session, buy orders from 1335.1 with an initial stop at 1333.4 yields 17 ticks using a 1:1 risk vs reward scenario. It is also possible to execute this trade using the same stop and a 1:2 risk vs reward for 34 ticks as the trade is with the trend.