Japan in focus

The USD Rally Continues: Bullish Breakout In The USD/JPY

Posted Wednesday, March 28, 2018 by
Shain Vernier • 2 min read

The USD/JPY has been a big mover today, trending higher by over 125 pips. The bullish breakout is being attributed to the strong U.S. GDP numbers from earlier this morning. As of press time, price is pushing intraday highs above topside resistance on the daily timeframe.

Today’s session has been a great example of how important primary market fundamentals can be. The bids hitting the USD have not subsided all session long. The extraordinary GDP release is prompting extended gains against the Euro, Swiss franc, and Japanese yen.

Below are the fundamentals that may shake things up during the U.S. overnight session:

Country                  Event

New Zealand         Building Permits (Feb.)

U.K.                         Gfk Consumer Confidence (March), GDP (Q4)

Japan                     Foreign Investment (March 23), Retail Trade (Feb.)

Switzerland           KOF Leading Indicator (March)

Germany                Unemployment (March), CPI (March)

U.S.                        Core Personal Consumption (Feb.)

The highlights of this group are the Consumption numbers out of the U.S. and the German CPI. Each statistic is projected to grow from the previous release, a bullish sign for the Euro and USD.

USD/JPY Technicals

The USD/JPY is trending higher on the market fundamentals we talked about earlier. The upcoming release of Japan’s Retail Trade and Foreign Investment reports may serve to stymy the breakout during the U.S. overnight.

USD/JPY, Daily Chart

In the event that there is a Thursday retracement of today’s breakout, a buy from downside support will be available. Here are the levels to watch for the remainder of the session:

  • Support(1): Bollinger MP, 106.33
  • Support(2): Daily SMA, 106.29

Overview: The area between 106.50 and 106.25 is likely to set up as a formidable support area for tomorrow’s session. In the event that the Retail Trade and Foreign Investment metrics prompt a selloff in the USD/JPY, a retracement buy may come into play.

Check back for details on how to go get in on the action during tomorrow’s U.S. session.

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