The jury is out, more rate hikes are coming

Greenback On The March, EUR/USD Breaks Below Support

Posted Friday, June 8, 2018 by
Shain Vernier • 2 min read

Thus far, the Friday forex session has been a good one for the Greenback. Gains are being realized across the majors. Rallies against the Euro, Swiss franc, and British pound have highlighted the action. With only a few economic events scheduled for today, participation levels will be fairly constant in the EUR/USD.

The big news item lurking in the shadows is the Monday U.S./North Korea summit. Technically it is scheduled for the Tuesday forex session but will begin in earnest on Monday evening U.S. time. An event of this magnitude may have any number of outcomes. It is a good idea to keep an eye on safe-haven pricing as we roll toward today’s weekly close.

EUR/USD Technicals

It has been a challenging week on the forex and equities markets. Sporadic volumes have plagued price, which has led to some unforeseen directional moves (U.S. equities!). At least the EUR/USD market dynamic has been orderly.

EUR/USD, Daily Chart
EUR/USD, Daily Chart

In an update on Thursday, I outlined a short trading plan for the EUR/USD. It was a success, producing 40+ pips profit. Bears entered in force beneath Thursday’s session low (1.1771), running price to the 1.1725 handle.

Here are several levels to watch for the rest of the day:

  • Resistance(1): Bollinger MP, 1.1767
  • Resistance(2): Daily SMA 1.1777
  • Resistance(3): Psyche Level, 1.1800
  • Support(1): 38% Retracement Current Wave, 1.1713

Overview: At press time, price has returned to the area of Thursday’s low. It appears that the downward pressure has ceased for the time being, with price rallying to the 1.1775 handle. Be on the lookout for consolidation near the Bollinger MP and Daily SMA for the remainder of the session.

The support area just above 1.1700 is a great place for a trade to the long. Price testing this level today is unlikely at best. With a bit of luck, it will come into play early next week and give us a nice opportunity to take a few more pips from this market.

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