The NZD/USD Has a Win With GDP - Forex News by FX Leaders
GDP Was a Win

The NZD/USD Has a Win With GDP

Posted Thursday, June 21, 2018 by
Rowan Crosby • 1 min read

The NZD/USD has been sliding lower a bit and things weren’t looking all that positive headed into today’s GDP figure. The talk had been that we were looking at a poor result. And the price action in the lead up was reflecting that as well.

GDP came in in-line with expectations at 0.5%. As mentioned this was as good as a win, as the talk was starting to suggest the Kiwi’s were in trouble.

Household spending was flat, however, 13 of 16 industries were in the positive. Construction has cooled, in line with the Kiwi housing market. However, things are looking better going forward and it is expected that we’ll see more positive growth in the next quarter.

The Technical Picture

The NZD/USD is charging towards a big support level at 0.6850. We’ve been drifting towards that point for a while now, with few green bars standing in our way

Fortunately, we got a decent GDP number or I think support would have cracked.

Longer-term, with the strong USD uptrend, it will be tough for the NZD/USD to hold onto this level. I suspect it will be taken out and selling a break will be a decent play.

The next downside target will be 0.6780, which isn’t really all that far from this point. I sometimes like to sell a pullback prior to a test of a key level, like 0.6850. So if we get a bounce today, that might be an opportunity.

NZD/USD
NZD/USD – 240 min Chart.

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About the author

Rowan Crosby // Asia-Pacific Analyst
Rowan Crosby is a professional futures trader from Sydney, Australia. Rowan has extensive experience trading commodities, bonds and equity futures in the Asian, European and US markets. Rowan holds a Bachelor of Finance and Economics degree and is focused heavily on Investment Finance and Quantitative Analysis.
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