The AUD/USD is Weak

No Rate Hike in Sight for the Aussie: RBA

Posted Friday, August 17, 2018 by
Rowan Crosby • 1 min read

Today we heard from the RBA’s assistant Governor Low and it wasn’t good news if you’re looking for a rate hike in the AUD/USD any time soon.

As usual, Low was towing the party line and keeping things pretty vague.

Some of the key points that we saw were:

  • RBA still worried about weak employment and sluggish inflation
  • Next move in rates will be up
  • He would like to see a lower AUD as that would be helpful to the Aussie economy

The AUD/USD has been particularly weak over the last few days (even months we could say). The next rate hike is looking at being in 2020 now which is a fair way away. So I suspect we are going to be seeing more of the same with the USD outpacing the old AUD.

RBA’s Ellis is due to speak later today in what I would expect will be more of the same.

My downside target remains in place, below 0.7200, despite yesterdays bounce.

AUD/USD
AUD/USD – 240 min.
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About the author

Rowan Crosby is our Asia-Pacific Analyst
Rowan Crosby is a professional futures trader from Sydney, Australia. Rowan has extensive experience trading commodities, bonds and equity futures in the Asian, European and US markets. Rowan holds a Bachelor of Finance and Economics degree and is focused heavily on Investment Finance and Quantitative Analysis.
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