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Sep 13 – Economic Events Outlook – It’s all about ECB, BOE & US Inflation!

What’s up, traders.

I hope you are enjoying the exciting moves in the market and the good thing is team FX Leaders is catching most of it. We are expecting another volatile day as the economic docket carries monetary policy decisions from the European Central Bank and Bank of England. Moreover, the US inflation also remains in the limelight today. So, here’s what to expect from these macroeconomic events…

Watchlist – Key Economic Events Today

GBP – Bank of England Policy Decision

Back in August, the Bank of England increased the interest rate to 0.75% with a unanimous vote. The decision was followed by the quarterly inflation report. The BOE reacted to escalating inflation but the high level of uncertainty arising from Brexit kept the Pound in check.

The decision is coming out at 12:00 (GMT) and the UK’s central bank is widely expected to keep the interest rates on hold at 0.75% and we can expect a muted impact on GBP until and unless MPC shows a change in voting. Team FX Leaders will be covering this event, so stay tuned to our economic calendar.

EUR – European Central Bank Policy Decision

Main Refinancing Rate – At 11:45 (GMT), the European Central Bank will be releasing its refinancing rate (interest rate) which is widely expected to remain unchanged at 0.00%. In case you’re interested, an initial rate hike is projected in mid-2019.

So, what can we look forward to at this meeting? It’s Mario Draghi and his press conference.

ECB Press Conference – The ECB is widely expected to stand pat this month, and investors speculate that it may offer hints on its plans to start tapering its bond purchases this year. Any upgrade or downgrade of inflation and GDP forecasts may be indicative of the next moves by the central bank. Overall, no big movement is expected on this release.


USD – CPI m/m

At 13:30 (GMT), the Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers. The US inflation is expected to rise by 0.3% vs. 0.2% in August.

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Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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