Oil

38% Daily Retracement Proves Valid, WTI Crude On The Bull

Posted Friday, September 21, 2018 by
Shain Vernier • 1 min read

The November WTI crude oil futures contract is ripping higher, driven by heavy participation. Traded volumes this morning are already approaching 200,000. Traders are pushing fresh yearly highs for November crude, with values eclipsing the $71.50 handle.

Today’s action caps a big week for oil. WTI pricing has jumped more than $3.00 per barrel, fueled by Iranian sanctions, an EIA draw on supply, and a coming meeting of OPEC heads at Algiers over the weekend. At the Algiers meeting, production levels are to be discussed, with a focus on establishing a stable valuation model between $70-$80 per barrel.

At press time, traders are going long ahead of the weekly close. Stay tuned and be on the lookout for some profit taking as the day wears on.

November WTI Crude Oil Technicals

Bids are hitting the market en masse, mowing down all intraday shorts in their way. For the moment, this market is going trend-day-up.

November WTI Crude Oil Futures (CL), Daily Chart
November WTI Crude Oil Futures (CL), Daily Chart

Overview: The daily 38% retracement level held firm on a late-Thursday test. Since then, the bulls have owned this market, driving price toward the $72.00 handle. A bullish bias is in full effect. Aside from the big-round-numbers of $72.00 and $72.50, there isn’t a whole lot to stop the rally.

Today’s close is likely to be an active one. November crude is well in the green for the week and I expect some of the institutional money to take profits ahead of the closing bell. Also, be on the watch for breaking news out of the Algiers OPEC meeting on Sunday. If production cuts are back in play, then we may see even more action on the Sunday electronic open.

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About the author

Shain Vernier is our US Analyst
Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.
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