Oversold Crude Oil Awaits API Report - is it Going to Support it? - FX Leaders News

Oversold Crude Oil Awaits API Report – is it Going to Support it?

Posted Thursday, November 15, 2018 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

The WTI Crude Oil prices continued to tumble as data showed crude stocks have been growing more than foreseen. According to the American Petroleum Institute (API) report, crude inventories grew by 8.8 million barrels in the week ending November 9 to 440.7 million, compared with an initial forecast for an expansion of 3.2 million barrels.

It’s been happening since the trade war between China and the US has begun. These tariffs are not only impacting the Chinese markets but also their demand for crude oil from the world’s biggest crude importer.

Today, the EIA report will remain in highlights at 16:00 (GMT). The economists are expecting a build of 2.9M vs. 5.8M during the previous week. But keeping the trade war, leniency in Iran’s sanctions and the API report, we can expect a higher build which can make oil bearish.

But you know, the build of up to 8 million is already priced in. So any figure below 8 million can cause a bullish reversal in oil.

Technically speaking, crude oil is holding above a very significant support level of $55. It has formed a hammer pattern which is followed by a strong bearish trend. In scenarios like this, the investors usually reverse the trend and that’s what I’m expecting today.

So, let’s wait and watch the market on news. I will be looking to place a buy stop near $56.95 to target $57.50 and $58.45.

Good luck!

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About the author

Arslan Butt is our Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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