oil supply

Inventories Are In, WTI Crude Above $52.00

Posted Wednesday, January 9, 2019 by
Shain Vernier • 1 min read

The weekly crude oil inventories reports are in and energy bulls are enthusiastic about today’s statistics. Draws on supply were evident in both the API and EIA releases, driving bids to the market in mass. Subsequently, February WTI crude oil futures have posted an intraday high above $52.50, up more than $2.00 on the day.

Crude Oil Inventories Down Significantly

January of 2019 has effectively thrown oil seasonality out the window, bringing a strong rally amid dwindling supplies. Here is a quick look at this week’s hard data:

Event                                       Actual           Projected     Previous

API Crude Oil Stocks               -6.27M                NA             -4.50M

EIA Crude Oil Stocks              -1.680M          -2.800M        0.007M

The API and EIA figures are both negative and down week-over-week. Without a doubt, this trend is driving interest to the global oil markets. If lagging supply becomes the norm, we may be in for $55.00 WTI in the very near future.

February WTI Crude Oil Futures: Technical Outlook

It is up, up, and away for crude oil futures. Price has shattered daily topside resistance and it appears that the $52.50-$51.50 value area in February WTI is going to be a key zone moving forward.

February WTI Crude Oil Futures (CL), Daily Chart
February WTI Crude Oil Futures (CL), Daily Chart

Overview: For the time being, it is all systems go for crude oil futures. While I do expect a return and test of $50.00, this market may hit $55.00 before that occurs. However, in the event that we see a retracement to daily downside support in and around $50.00, a long trade setup will likely become available.

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