Gold Edges Down Ahead of US Inflation – What to Expect?

Gold prices edged higher on Tuesday to test a strong trading level of $1,314 and managed to form a double top setup. Recalling FX Leaders Feb 13 – Economic Events Brief, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will be releasing the consumer price index data at 12:30 (GMT). The US CPI is expected to gain by 0.1% vs. -0.1% in January. Whereas, the Core CPI m/m is expected to remain steady at 0.2%.

As you know, there’s a negative correlation between gold and the Greenback. Therefore, better than expected inflation is likely to drive bearish waves in gold. Perhaps, that’s the reason why we are seeing fewer fluctuations in gold.

The technical side hasn’t changed much. On the 4-hour chart, gold is still facing strong resistance at $1,314. Below this, the yellow metal is highly likely to stay bearish until $1,307 and 1,302. Whereas, the bullish breakout of $1,314 can lead to gold prices towards $1,326 later this week.

Support Resistance
1305.06 1321.37
1295.8 1328.43
1279.48 1344.74
Key Trading Level: 1312.11

Gold – XAU/USD – Trading Plan

The idea is to stay bearish below $1,313.50 with a stop below $1,316 to target $1,310. Whereas, I will be looking for a buy position above $1,314 today.

Good luck!

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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