The RBA Minutes Show that Rates Could Fall

The AUD/USD hasn’t really reacted to the RBA Minutes in any meaningful way.

RBA Minutes are Out

The AUD/USD hasn’t really reacted to the RBA Minutes in any meaningful way.

As expected, it was a bit of a non-event given that all the fireworks happened at the time and now everything is really priced in. And that includes Governor Lowe’s comments the following day.

Some of the key points from the minutes:

  • The RBA Board saw scenarios where interest rates could eventually rise or fall
  • The probabilities around these scenarios were more evenly balanced than before
  • There’s no strong case for near-term move in rates
  • The economic outlook is uncertain

So as suggested there’s nothing new here and more of what we already know. That’s fine for now as the AUD/USD has taken a fair belting and is only just recovering to some extent.

 

Aussie Outlook

The AUD/USD is above the major level at 0.7100 but failed yesterday at 0.7150. On the session, the Aussie is now down a touch, albeit -0.17% lower and falling.

0.7050 and then 0.7000 are my next two key support levels below, with 0.7100 turning into key support.

0.7200 is R1 and 0.7300 is R2 and the most recent highs sitting at 0.7400.

AUD/USD
AUD/USD – 240min.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Rowan Crosby
Asia-Pacific Analyst
Rowan Crosby is a professional futures trader from Sydney, Australia. Rowan has extensive experience trading commodities, bonds and equity futures in the Asian, European and US markets. Rowan holds a Bachelor of Finance and Economics degree and is focused heavily on Investment Finance and Quantitative Analysis.

Related Articles

Comments

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of
0 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

HFM

Doo Prime

XM

Best Forex Brokers