USD Index Slumps During Powell Testimony

Posted Wednesday, February 27, 2019 by
Shain Vernier • 1 min read

Day one of Jerome Powell’s Congressional testimony was not kind to the Greenback. Powell reinforced the FED’s dovish tone while alluding to “patience” being the key to a successful 2019. March USD Index futures took his comments poorly, as rates fell beneath 96.000 for the first time in three weeks.

Today marks the conclusion of the FED Chairman’s trip to Capitol Hill. From a practical standpoint, anyone long the USD has to be relieved. Since Powell took the stage Tuesday morning, bearish sentiment toward the Greenback has dominated trade of the forex majors.

Powell Back In Front Of Congress

At about 9:00 AM EST this morning, day two of Powell’s testimony got underway. Today’s engagement will feature questions from the House Financial Services Committee. It is expected to be contentious, with several freshman members looking to make names for themselves. While the markets are likely to ignore the noise and political overtones, it will be necessary to keep an eye on the developments from Capitol Hill.

March USD Index Futures (DX), Daily Chart
March USD Index Futures (DX), Daily Chart

The March USD Index is under significant bearish pressure. If we get a bullish bounce today, a short from one of these topside resistance levels may come into play:

  • Resistance(1): Daily SMA, 96.115
  • Resistance(2): Bollinger MP, 96.205

Bottom Line: For the remainder of the session, I will have sells queued up from 96.105. With an initial stop at 96.225, this trade produces 25 ticks on slightly greater than 1:1 risk vs reward management plan.

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